FC Erzgebirge Aue vs VfB Stuttgart, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

FC Erzgebirge Aue

1 – 0

Full Time

VfB Stuttgart

Sun 11 Feb 2018 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Erzgebirge Aue vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga .

FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts
VfB Stuttgart 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FC Erzgebirge Aue 2.50

Draw 3.39

VfB Stuttgart 2.79

Head-to-Head

FC Erzgebirge Aue 7 games · Avg 2.3 goals VfB Stuttgart

Last 5 meetings

2018-02-11 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–0 VfB Stuttgart 2017-09-19 VfB Stuttgart 2–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2016-10-25 VfB Stuttgart 2–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2016-03-02 VfB Stuttgart 4–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2015-09-26 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–3 VfB Stuttgart

Recent Form

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Feb	VfB Stuttgart	H	1–0	W
03 Feb	1. CfR Pforzheim	A	1–1	D
27 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	0–2	L
20 Jan	SV Linx 1949	A	2–3	L
13 Jan	SV Sandhausen 1916	H	1–0	W
19 Dec	SV Linx 1949	A	1–3	L

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Feb	FC Erzgebirge Aue	A	0–1	L
03 Feb	TuS Erndtebruck	H	0–1	L
26 Jan	FC Hansa Rostock	A	0–2	L
20 Jan	MSV Duisburg	H	2–0	W
14 Jan	Karlsruher SC	A	1–2	L
20 Dec	SV Drochtersen/Assel	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)

29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! FC Erzgebirge Aue vs VfB Stuttgart — let the football do the talking.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — FC Erzgebirge Aue 1-0 VfB Stuttgart.

Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

FC Erzgebirge Aue Form

2018-02-11 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–0 VfB Stuttgart W 2018-02-03 1. CfR Pforzheim 1–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue D 2018-01-27 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2018-01-20 SV Linx 1949 3–2 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2018-01-13 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–0 SV Sandhausen 1916 W 2017-12-19 SV Linx 1949 3–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue L

VfB Stuttgart Form

2018-02-11 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2018-02-03 VfB Stuttgart 0–1 TuS Erndtebruck L 2018-01-26 FC Hansa Rostock 2–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2018-01-20 VfB Stuttgart 2–0 MSV Duisburg W 2018-01-14 Karlsruher SC 2–1 VfB Stuttgart L 2017-12-20 VfB Stuttgart 0–1 SV Drochtersen/Assel L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.09 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.11 VfB Stuttgart xG

I would bet for: FC Erzgebirge Aue or VfB Stuttgart 70% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Erzgebirge Aue38% Draw30% VfB Stuttgart32%

Actual: FC Erzgebirge Aue win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes45% 0% No55%

Avg goals/match: 2.2

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	37%	63%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

FC Erzgebirge Aue or Draw

68%

Draw or VfB Stuttgart

62%

FC Erzgebirge Aue or VfB Stuttgart

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Erzgebirge Aue24% Draw52% VfB Stuttgart24%

Actual: FC Erzgebirge Aue win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.4%

0 – 0

13.4%

0 – 1

11.1%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 2

7.2%

2 – 1

0 – 2

6.6%

2 – 0

6.3%

2 – 2

1 – 3

2.7%

3 – 1

2.6%

0 – 3

2.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Erzgebirge Aue

Handicap	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers	Push	VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	20%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	20%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	10%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

34% ✗

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.