Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Erzgebirge Aue vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, 2017

1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017
Sat 27 Jan 2018 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Erzgebirge Aue vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FC Erzgebirge Aue 2.89
Draw 3.25
1. FSV Mainz 05 2.50

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–2 L
20 Jan SV Linx 1949 A 2–3 L
13 Jan SV Sandhausen 1916 H 1–0 W
19 Dec SV Linx 1949 A 1–3 L
16 Dec VfL Wolfsburg H 0–1 L
13 Dec SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan FC Erzgebirge Aue A 2–0 W
21 Jan 1. FC Nurnberg H 1–1 D
13 Jan TuS Erndtebruck A 1–3 L
19 Dec Karlsruher SC H 1–0 W
16 Dec FC Hansa Rostock A 2–2 D
13 Dec MSV Duisburg H 3–2 W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.09 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Erzgebirge Aue28% Draw29% 1. FSV Mainz 0543%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

FC Erzgebirge Aue or Draw
57%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
72%
FC Erzgebirge Aue or 1. FSV Mainz 05
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Erzgebirge Aue21% Draw49% 1. FSV Mainz 0530%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
10.6%
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
8.1%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.9%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Erzgebirge Aue

Handicap FC Erzgebirge Aue covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 17% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 22% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 13% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet
26%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.