FC Erzgebirge Aue vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

FC Erzgebirge Aue

0 – 2

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sat 27 Jan 2018 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Erzgebirge Aue vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts
1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FC Erzgebirge Aue 2.89

Draw 3.25

1. FSV Mainz 05 2.50

Head-to-Head

FC Erzgebirge Aue 9 games · Avg 3.2 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2018-01-27 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2017-09-10 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2016-02-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2015-09-20 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2015-05-02 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–2 FC Erzgebirge Aue

Recent Form

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	0–2	L
20 Jan	SV Linx 1949	A	2–3	L
13 Jan	SV Sandhausen 1916	H	1–0	W
19 Dec	SV Linx 1949	A	1–3	L
16 Dec	VfL Wolfsburg	H	0–1	L
13 Dec	SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	A	0–1	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Jan	FC Erzgebirge Aue	A	2–0	W
21 Jan	1. FC Nürnberg	H	1–1	D
13 Jan	TuS Erndtebruck	A	1–3	L
19 Dec	Karlsruher SC	H	1–0	W
16 Dec	FC Hansa Rostock	A	2–2	D
13 Dec	MSV Duisburg	H	3–2	W

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! FC Erzgebirge Aue welcome 1. FSV Mainz 05 for this crunch clash at .
FC Erzgebirge Aue will have plenty to reflect on. 1. FSV Mainz 05 were simply the better side today.

Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Alexandru Maxim	2
Alexandru Maxim	2
Dominik Kohr	1
Delano Burgzorg	1
Marcus Ingvartsen	1
Pascal Testroet	1
Robin Quaison	1
Pascal Testroet	1

Head to Head

FC Erzgebirge Aue Form

2018-01-27 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2018-01-20 SV Linx 1949 3–2 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2018-01-13 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–0 SV Sandhausen 1916 W 2017-12-19 SV Linx 1949 3–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2017-12-16 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg L 2017-12-13 SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2018-01-27 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2018-01-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg D 2018-01-13 TuS Erndtebruck 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2017-12-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–0 Karlsruher SC W 2017-12-16 FC Hansa Rostock 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2017-12-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–2 MSV Duisburg W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.09 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.37 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Erzgebirge Aue28% Draw29% 1. FSV Mainz 0543%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.46

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	44%	56%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

FC Erzgebirge Aue or Draw

57%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

72%

FC Erzgebirge Aue or 1. FSV Mainz 05

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Erzgebirge Aue21% Draw49% 1. FSV Mainz 0530%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.7%

0 – 0

10.6%

0 – 1

10.6%

1 – 2

8.4%

1 – 0

8.1%

0 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

6.7%

2 – 0

4.9%

2 – 2

4.7%

1 – 3

3.9%

0 – 3

3.5%

3 – 1

2.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Erzgebirge Aue

Handicap	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	8%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	17%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	22%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	13%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

34% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.