FC Erzgebirge Aue vs Karlsruher SC, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

FC Erzgebirge Aue

2 – 1

Full Time

Karlsruher SC

Fri 13 Oct 2017 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Erzgebirge Aue vs Karlsruher SC — Bundesliga .

FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts
Karlsruher SC 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FC Erzgebirge Aue 1.83

Draw 3.60

Karlsruher SC 4.33

Head-to-Head

FC Erzgebirge Aue 6 games · Avg 3.0 goals Karlsruher SC

Last 5 meetings

2017-10-13 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2–1 Karlsruher SC 2016-01-23 Karlsruher SC 1–3 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2015-08-16 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–3 Karlsruher SC 2015-02-04 Karlsruher SC 0–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2014-08-30 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–2 Karlsruher SC

Recent Form

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Oct	Karlsruher SC	H	2–1	W
30 Sep	FC Hansa Rostock	A	1–2	L
23 Sep	MSV Duisburg	H	0–0	D
19 Sep	VfB Stuttgart	A	0–2	L
16 Sep	1. CfR Pforzheim	H	1–0	W
10 Sep	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	1–3	L

Karlsruher SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Oct	FC Erzgebirge Aue	A	1–2	L
01 Oct	TuS Erndtebruck	H	1–2	L
24 Sep	1. FC Nurnberg	A	0–0	D
20 Sep	FC Hansa Rostock	H	0–1	L
17 Sep	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	0–5	L
09 Sep	MSV Duisburg	A	0–3	L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Erzgebirge Aue and Karlsruher SC is underway.
Another three points for FC Erzgebirge Aue.

Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

Karlsruher SC Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

FC Erzgebirge Aue Form

2017-10-13 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2–1 Karlsruher SC W 2017-09-30 FC Hansa Rostock 2–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2017-09-23 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–0 MSV Duisburg D 2017-09-19 VfB Stuttgart 2–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2017-09-16 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–0 1. CfR Pforzheim W 2017-09-10 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue L

Karlsruher SC Form

2017-10-13 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2–1 Karlsruher SC L 2017-10-01 Karlsruher SC 1–2 TuS Erndtebruck L 2017-09-24 1. FC Nurnberg 0–0 Karlsruher SC D 2017-09-20 Karlsruher SC 0–1 FC Hansa Rostock L 2017-09-17 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–0 Karlsruher SC L 2017-09-09 MSV Duisburg 3–0 Karlsruher SC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.42 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.94 Karlsruher SC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Erzgebirge Aue50% Draw28% Karlsruher SC22%

Actual: FC Erzgebirge Aue win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.36

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	68%	32%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

FC Erzgebirge Aue or Draw

77%

Draw or Karlsruher SC

50%

FC Erzgebirge Aue or Karlsruher SC

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Erzgebirge Aue32% Draw50% Karlsruher SC18%

Actual: FC Erzgebirge Aue win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.5%

1 – 0

12.4%

0 – 0

11.6%

2 – 0

9.3%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 1

7.7%

1 – 2

5.7%

3 – 0

4.3%

3 – 1

4.2%

2 – 2

4.1%

0 – 2

3 – 2

2.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Erzgebirge Aue

Handicap	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers	Push	Karlsruher SC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	14%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	23%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	15%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

40% ✓

Karlsruher SC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.