Saturday , 22 August 2026

Júbilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 25 May 2024 · 05:00 UTC Yamaha Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Shonan Bellmare H 3–2 W
19 May Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–1 D
15 May Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 0–1 L
11 May Sagan Tosu FC H 0–3 L
06 May Tōkyō Verdy A 2–3 L
03 May Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Júbilo Iwata A 2–3 L
19 May Albirex Niigata H 2–1 W
15 May Kashiwa Reysol A 1–2 L
11 May FC Machida Zelvia H 0–0 D
06 May Sagan Tosu FC H 2–1 W
03 May Kashima Antlers A 1–3 L

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Júbilo Iwata and Shonan Bellmare has kicked off!
  • 1' What composure from Lukian! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 6' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Júbilo Iwata and Shonan Bellmare are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 11' It is a cagey affair so far. Júbilo Iwata in their trying to find a way past Shonan Bellmare's compact .
  • 15' Rikiya Uehara was booked on 15.
  • 20' Shonan Bellmare come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kohei Okuno, as he is very good at scoring at Yamaha Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 29' What a strike from Sho Fukuda! The score is 0-2.
  • 34' It looks surprising Júbilo Iwata does not make any changes. Masaya Matsumoto has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 39' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 49' Júbilo Iwata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Shonan Bellmare backline.
  • 50' Hiroki Yamada adds to his 0 season tally! Jubilo Iwata lead 0-3 — and this changes everything.
  • 54' Daiki Sugioka picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 59' The 29-year-old Rikiya Uehara has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 61' Hiroki Yamada makes way for Shota Kaneko at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from Jubilo Iwata.
  • 63' The referee shows Jubilo Iwata player a card on 63.
  • 68' Over 68 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Kohei Okuno. He replaces Masaki Ikeda on 69 minute.
  • 74' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kaito Suzuki on 74 minutes.
  • 76' Sho Fukuda makes way for Akira Silvano Disaro at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Shonan Bellmare.
  • 77' The whistle greets Masaya Matsumoto as he departs to be replaced by Bruno Jose.
  • 82' The deadlock is broken! Matheus Peixoto gets on the scoresheet on 82 minutes.
  • 86' A goal from the Brazil international Leo Gomes! He fires home on 86 to make it 0-5!
  • 88' Akimi Barada is ready to make an impact after coming on for Daiki Sugioka at the 88 minute mark.
  • Another three points for Júbilo Iwata.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64 Júbilo Iwata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Júbilo Iwata48% Draw26% Shonan Bellmare26%
Actual: Júbilo Iwata win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Júbilo Iwata or Draw
73%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
52%
Júbilo Iwata or Shonan Bellmare
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Júbilo Iwata33% Draw45% Shonan Bellmare22%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
7.3%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Júbilo Iwata

Handicap Júbilo Iwata covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
29%
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.