Júbilo Iwata vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Júbilo Iwata

3 – 4

Full Time

Gamba Osaka

Sat 9 Nov 2024 · 06:00 UTC Yamaha Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Ryo Germain 41' Y

Ryo Watanabe 54' Y

Y 54' Ryoya Yamashita

Ricardo Graca 60' Y

Kaito Suzuki 83' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Júbilo Iwata vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Yamaha Stadium.

Júbilo Iwata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Júbilo Iwata 14 games · Avg 2.3 goals Gamba Osaka

Last 5 meetings

2024-11-09 Júbilo Iwata 3–4 Gamba Osaka 2024-03-16 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Júbilo Iwata 2022-10-29 Gamba Osaka 2–0 Júbilo Iwata 2022-03-12 Júbilo Iwata 1–1 Gamba Osaka 2019-08-18 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Júbilo Iwata

Recent Form

Júbilo Iwata

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Nov	Gamba Osaka	H	3–4	L
01 Nov	Vissel Kobe	A	0–2	L
19 Oct	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	2–1	W
06 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–2	L
28 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–2	L
21 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–0	D

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Nov	Júbilo Iwata	A	4–3	W
23 Oct	Nagoya Grampus	H	3–2	W
18 Oct	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–1	D
05 Oct	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	2–1	W
02 Oct	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	0–1	L
28 Sep	Tōkyō Verdy	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

0-15

1/2

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/–

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

Issam Jebali	2 G	1 A
Deniz Hummet	2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani	1 G
Asahi Uenaka	1 G
Welton	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Yamaha Stadium!
5' Jubilo Iwata are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Gamba Osaka's shape.
10' Keisuke Kurokawa is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gamba Osaka tonight.
15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Eiji Kawashima made 368 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
23' Ryo Watanabe doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
27' A goal from the Japan international Riku Handa! He fires home on 27 to make it 1-1!
32' Both keepers have barely been tested. Jubilo Iwata and Gamba Osaka are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
37' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
41' Jubilo Iwata player sees a card in front of him.
46' The Jubilo Iwata bench stirs into life. Masaya Matsumoto is withdrawn and Hiroto Uemura gets his opportunity.
51' Ryoya Yamashita is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Jubilo Iwata so far.
54' What composure from Ryoya Yamashita! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-2.
54' It’s gonna be a card for Ryo Watanabe.
59' Gamba Osaka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
60' The referee calls foul for Ricardo Graca. He receives a card.
61' Jubilo Iwata ring the changes. Ryo Watanabe has done his job and it is now time for Hiroki Yamada to step up.
62' Takashi Usami is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
67' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 67 minutes.
71' Makito Ito makes way for Matheus Peixoto at the 71 minute mark. A tactical switch from Jubilo Iwata.
72' Another substitution for Jubilo Iwata to replace Ko Matsubara by Keita Takahata on 72 minute.
77' The Gamba Osaka manager makes a substitution. Shu Kurata departs to be replaced by Yuya Fukuda.
82' Kaito Suzuki is replacing Hassan Hilo for the Jubilo Iwata side.
83' Jubilo Iwata player sees a card in front of him.
87' The deadlock is broken! Rikiya Uehara gets on the scoresheet on 87 minutes.
88' Gamba Osaka make a change. Tokuma Suzuki trudges off to be replaced by Rin Mito on 88 minutes.
90' Gamba Osaka make a change. Isa Sakamoto trudges off to be replaced by Takeru Kishimoto on 90 minutes.
Gamba Osaka celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Júbilo Iwata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Akinobu Yokouchi

Gamba Osaka Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Issam Jebali ↑ 88'
1
Masaaki Higashiguchi
47
Juan Alano ↑ 77'
14
Yuya Fukuda ↑ 77'
33
Shinya Nakano
15
Takeru Kishimoto ↑ 90'
27
Rin Mito ↑ 88'

Coach Dani Poyatos

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Hwang Uijo	2
Takashi Usami	2
Hwang Uijo	2
Ryoya Yamashita	1
Kentaro Oi	1
Riku Handa	1
Kosuke Onose	1
Isa Sakamoto	1

Head to Head

Júbilo Iwata Form

2024-11-09 Júbilo Iwata 3–4 Gamba Osaka L 2024-11-01 Vissel Kobe 2–0 Júbilo Iwata L 2024-10-19 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–2 Júbilo Iwata W 2024-10-06 Júbilo Iwata 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2024-09-28 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Júbilo Iwata L 2024-09-21 Júbilo Iwata 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D

Gamba Osaka Form

2024-11-09 Júbilo Iwata 3–4 Gamba Osaka W 2024-10-23 Gamba Osaka 3–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-10-18 Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Gamba Osaka D 2024-10-05 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2024-10-02 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Gamba Osaka L 2024-09-28 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Tōkyō Verdy D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.46 Júbilo Iwata xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.66 Gamba Osaka xG

I would bet for: Júbilo Iwata or Gamba Osaka 74% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Júbilo Iwata32% Draw26% Gamba Osaka42%

Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.12

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Júbilo Iwata or Draw

58%

Draw or Gamba Osaka

68%

Júbilo Iwata or Gamba Osaka

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Júbilo Iwata26% Draw43% Gamba Osaka31%

Actual: Gamba Osaka win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted

3 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

11.6%

1 – 2

8.5%

2 – 1

7.5%

0 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

6.2%

0 – 0

6.1%

0 – 2

1 – 0

5.6%

1 – 3

4.7%

2 – 0

4.7%

3 – 1

3.7%

2 – 3

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Júbilo Iwata

Handicap	Júbilo Iwata covers	Push	Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	17%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	19%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	13%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.