Júbilo Iwata vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Júbilo Iwata vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Yamaha Stadium.
- Júbilo Iwata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Jun | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jun | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
| 25 May | Shonan Bellmare | H | 3–2 | W |
| 19 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun | Júbilo Iwata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Jun | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Jun | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 3–0 | W |
| 15 May | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Yamaha Stadium!
- 5' Masaya Matsumoto has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 10' Cerezo Osaka FC is showing some good football. However, Cerezo Osaka FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' Jubilo Iwata are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 25' A quiet spell here at Yamaha Stadium. Jubilo Iwata seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 40' Cerezo Osaka FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Akinobu Yokouchi will be considering his options from the bench.
- 46' Rei Hirakawa makes way for Shota Kaneko at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Jubilo Iwata.
- 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Jubilo Iwata needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 53' Ko Matsubara does the damage! The net is bulging and Jubilo Iwata surge ahead!
- 58' It looks like no one’s ball. Jubilo Iwata is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 63' The whistle greets Satoki Uejo as he departs to be replaced by Masaya Shibayama.
- 67' Ryo Watanabe is replacing Hiroaki Okuno for the Cerezo Osaka FC side.
- 72' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cerezo Osaka FC that had 370 games and scored 396 goals.
- 76' A goal from the Brazil international Leo Ceara! He fires home on 76 to make it 1-1!
- 81' The whistle greets Masaya Matsumoto as he departs to be replaced by Bruno Jose.
- 82' Shunsuke Nishikubo is replacing Hiroto Uemura for the Jubilo Iwata side.
- 87' Over 87 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 88' Fresh legs for Cerezo Osaka FC! Jordy Croux comes on to replace Capixaba.
- 89' Yuichi Hirano has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shunta Tanaka on 89 minute.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Júbilo Iwata Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 99
- 1
- 11
- 37
- 4
- 7
- 14
- 15
- 36
- 50
Bench
- 40
- 10
- 19
- 3
- 28
- 24
- 26
Coach
Akinobu Yokouchi
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
- 9
-
27
Capixaba ↓ Jordy Croux 88'
-
25
Hiroaki Okuno ↓ Ryo Watanabe 67'
- 14
-
10
Shunta Tanaka ↓ Yuichi Hirano 89'
- 33
- 24
-
7
Satoki Uejo ↓ Masaya Shibayama 63'
- 21
- 16
Bench
-
11
Jordy Croux ↑ 88'
- 23
- 19
-
4
Yuichi Hirano ↑ 89'
- 31
-
35
Ryo Watanabe ↑ 67'
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 63'
Coach
Akio Kogiku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
| Kota Mizunuma | 2 |
| Ryo Germain | 2 |
| Seiya Maikuma | 2 |
| Adam Taggart | 2 |
| Ko Matsubara | 1 |
| Osmar Barba | 1 |
| Bruno Mendes | 1 |
Head to Head
Júbilo Iwata Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22
Júbilo Iwata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Júbilo Iwata or Cerezo Osaka FC 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Júbilo Iwata or Draw
63%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
66%
Júbilo Iwata or Cerezo Osaka FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10%
0 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.6%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Júbilo Iwata
| Handicap | Júbilo Iwata covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 18% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 20% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.