Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cerezo Osaka FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 3–0 | W |
| 15 May | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–4 | L |
| 06 May | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 May | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 5–0 | W |
| 15 May | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–3 | L |
| 06 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 2–3 | L |
| 03 May | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Cerezo Osaka FC | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #4 |
| 31 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 11 / 0 / 7 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 48 | Scored | 41 |
| 38 | Conceded | 33 |
| +10 | GD | +8 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 61% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
52%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
31%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/5
61-75
5/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 4 G |
| Pablo Sabbag | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 G |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Cerezo Osaka FC host Sanfrecce Hiroshima — let the battle begin!
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' Sanfrecce Hiroshima has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jordy Croux suffering a number of foals already.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Makoto Mitsuta made 347 appearances and scored 18 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 25' Douglas Vieira is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
- 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 35' The 39-year-old Jin-hyeon Kim has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 45' Over 45 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 50' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 53' A goal from the Japan international Hayato Araki! He fires home on 53 to make it 0-1!
- 58' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 63' A quiet spell here at Yodoko Sakura Stadium. Cerezo Osaka FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 66' The deadlock is broken! Ryuya Nishio gets on the scoresheet on 66 minutes.
- 71' Cerezo Osaka FC have won 407 goals from 381 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 74' The Cerezo Osaka FC bench stirs into life. Jordy Croux is withdrawn and Hirotaka Tameda gets his opportunity.
- 78' It’s gonna be a card for Hayato Araki.
- 81' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Mutsuki Kato by Makoto Mitsuta on 81 minute.
- 86' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kakeru Funaki, as he is very good at scoring at Yodoko Sakura Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Shunta Tanaka on 88.
- 89' A tactical swap from Cerezo Osaka FC — Hiroshi Kiyotake on, Vitor Bueno off on 89 minutes.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Yuki Ohashi.
- 90' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Hiroya Matsumoto comes on to replace Tsukasa Shiotani.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
- 9
-
11
Jordy Croux ↓ Hirotaka Tameda 74'
- 25
- 14
- 10
- 2
- 33
- 24
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↓ Hiroshi Kiyotake 89'
- 21
Bench
-
23
Tatsuya Yamashita ↑ 90'
-
13
Hiroshi Kiyotake ↑ 89'
- 34
-
19
Hirotaka Tameda ↑ 74'
- 31
- 7
- 16
Coach
Akio Kogiku
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
- 14
- 8
- 24
- 77
- 33
-
4
Hayato Araki ↓ Sota Koshimichi 89'
- 13
- 15
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Makoto Mitsuta 81'
Bench
- 22
-
5
Hiroya Matsumoto ↑ 90'
- 20
-
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 89'
- 16
-
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↑ 81'
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 89'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 |
| Douglas Vieira | 3 |
| Toshiyuki Takagi | 2 |
| Toshiyuki Takagi | 2 |
| Hayato Araki | 2 |
| Tolgay Arslan | 2 |
| Lucas Fernandes | 2 |
| Akito Suzuki | 2 |
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
2024-05-26
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-05-18
Avispa Fukuoka
0–3
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2024-05-15
FC Machida Zelvia
2–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
2024-05-11
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–4
Vissel Kobe
L
2024-05-06
Gamba Osaka
1–0
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
2024-05-03
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
D
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-05-26
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-05-19
Kyōto Sanga FC
0–5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-05-15
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–3
Kashima Antlers
L
2024-05-06
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–3
Nagoya Grampus
L
2024-05-03
Albirex Niigata
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2024-04-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–2
Kawasaki Frontale
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.64
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Cerezo Osaka FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 75% + Over 2.5 goals 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
67%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 3
5.6%
0 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
4.7%
2 – 3
4.6%
0 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC
| Handicap | Cerezo Osaka FC covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 9% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 15% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 19% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 14% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

