FC Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 03 May | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | Jubilo Iwata | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–4 | L |
| 06 May | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Machida Zelvia | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #2 |
| 37 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 42 | Scored | 48 |
| 33 | Conceded | 38 |
| +9 | GD | +10 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 72% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
44%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: FC Machida Zelvia gets underway.
- 5' Kosei Tani is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cerezo Osaka FC so far.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' Kazuki Fujimoto has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cerezo Osaka FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 27' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kotaro Hayashi on 27 minutes.
- 32' Hayato Okuda has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 37' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Machida Zelvia and Cerezo Osaka FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 42' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 46' A change in the Cerezo Osaka FC ranks — Hirotaka Tameda exits the field as Leo Ceara enters on 46.
- 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Machida Zelvia must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 56' The supporters are chanting for Sang-ho Na. He replaces Kazuki Fujimoto on 56 minute.
- 61' The 25-year-old Shota Fujio has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 63' Another change for Cerezo Osaka FC made on 63 minute. Hiroto Yamada leaves to be changed by Lucas Fernandes.
- 68' It looks like no one’s ball. Cerezo Osaka FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 70' What a moment for Se-hun Oh! That strike on 70 puts his side firmly in control.
- 71' Vitor Bueno is replacing Masaya Shibayama for the Cerezo Osaka FC side.
- 74' It is a substitution in FC Machida Zelvia team. Se-hun Oh is replaced by Mitchell Duke on 74 minute.
- 77' Satoki Uejo is replacing Jordy Croux for the Cerezo Osaka FC side.
- 80' The referee shows FC Machida Zelvia player a card on 80.
- 84' GOAL! Leo Ceara scores on 84.
- 86' FC Machida Zelvia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hokuto Shimoda is hanging Keiya Sento on the field on 86 minute.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Machida Zelvia to claim maximum points.
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 3
- 45
-
8
Keiya Sento ↓ Hokuto Shimoda 86'
-
22
Kazuki Fujimoto ↓ Sang-ho Na 56'
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Erik 86'
- 6
- 26
-
7
Yu Hirakawa ↓ Shunta Araki 86'
- 14
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Mitchell Duke 74'
Bench
-
11
Erik ↑ 86'
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 86'
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 74'
-
47
Shunta Araki ↑ 86'
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↑ 56'
- 33
- 42
Coach
Go Kuroda
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Jordy Croux ↓ Satoki Uejo 77'
- 25
-
34
Hiroto Yamada ↓ Lucas Fernandes 63'
- 14
- 10
- 33
-
19
Hirotaka Tameda ↓ Leo Ceara 46'
- 24
- 21
- 16
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↓ Vitor Bueno 71'
Bench
-
77
Lucas Fernandes ↑ 63'
-
9
Leo Ceara ↑ 46'
-
13
Hiroshi Kiyotake ↑ 77'
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↑ 71'
- 31
-
7
Satoki Uejo ↑ 77'
- 28
Coach
Akio Kogiku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Se-hun Oh | 3 |
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
| Thiago Andrade | 1 |
| Ibrahim Dresevic | 1 |
| Sang-ho Na | 1 |
| Kotaro Hayashi | 1 |
| Leo Ceara | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
2024-05-15
FC Machida Zelvia
2–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
2024-05-11
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–4
Vissel Kobe
L
2024-05-06
Gamba Osaka
1–0
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
2024-05-03
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
D
2024-04-27
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–2
Yokohama F·Marinos
D
2024-04-21
Nagoya Grampus
2–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.29
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
78%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
43%
FC Machida Zelvia or Cerezo Osaka FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
8.6%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6.1%
1 – 2
5.7%
1 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.5%
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 16% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 20% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.