FC Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 03 May | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | Jubilo Iwata | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | FC Tokyo | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–4 | L |
| 06 May | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Machida Zelvia | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #2 |
| 37 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 42 | Scored | 48 |
| 33 | Conceded | 38 |
| +9 | GD | +10 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 72% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Machida GION Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between FC Machida Zelvia and Cerezo Osaka FC.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Min-Gyu Jang suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 27' FC Machida Zelvia receives a card for a hard tackle on 27.
- 32' Koji Toriumi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 37' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Machida Zelvia and Cerezo Osaka FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 42' FC Machida Zelvia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cerezo Osaka FC's shape.
- 46' It is a substitution in Cerezo Osaka FC team. Hirotaka Tameda is replaced by Leo Ceara on 46 minute.
- 51' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Machida Zelvia in their trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact .
- 56' Sang-ho Na is replacing Kazuki Fujimoto for the FC Machida Zelvia side.
- 61' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 63' Lucas Fernandes is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hiroto Yamada at the 63 minute mark.
- 68' Cerezo Osaka FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 70' The deadlock is broken! Se-hun Oh gets on the scoresheet on 70 minutes.
- 71' The supporters are chanting for Vitor Bueno. He replaces Masaya Shibayama on 71 minute.
- 74' The whistle greets Se-hun Oh as he departs to be replaced by Mitchell Duke.
- 77' A change in the Cerezo Osaka FC ranks — Jordy Croux exits the field as Satoki Uejo enters on 77.
- 80' The referee calls foul for Keiya Sento. He receives a card.
- 84' Leo Ceara doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 86' Another change for FC Machida Zelvia made on 86 minute. Keiya Sento leaves to be changed by Hokuto Shimoda.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Machida Zelvia to claim maximum points.
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 3
- 45
-
8
Keiya Sento ↓ Hokuto Shimoda 86'
-
22
Kazuki Fujimoto ↓ Sang-ho Na 56'
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Erik 86'
- 6
- 26
-
7
Yu Hirakawa ↓ Shunta Araki 86'
- 14
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Mitchell Duke 74'
Bench
-
11
Erik ↑ 86'
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 86'
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 74'
-
47
Shunta Araki ↑ 86'
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↑ 56'
- 33
- 42
Coach
Go Kuroda
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Jordy Croux ↓ Satoki Uejo 77'
- 25
-
34
Hiroto Yamada ↓ Lucas Fernandes 63'
- 14
- 10
- 33
-
19
Hirotaka Tameda ↓ Leo Ceara 46'
- 24
- 21
- 16
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↓ Vitor Bueno 71'
Bench
-
77
Lucas Fernandes ↑ 63'
-
9
Leo Ceara ↑ 46'
-
13
Hiroshi Kiyotake ↑ 77'
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↑ 71'
- 31
-
7
Satoki Uejo ↑ 77'
- 28
Coach
Akio Kogiku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Se-hun Oh | 3 |
| Leo Ceara | 1 |
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
| Thiago Andrade | 1 |
| Ibrahim Dresevic | 1 |
| Sang-ho Na | 1 |
| Kotaro Hayashi | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
2024-05-15
FC Machida Zelvia
2–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
2024-05-11
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–4
Vissel Kobe
L
2024-05-06
Gamba Osaka
1–0
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
2024-05-03
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
D
2024-04-27
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–2
Yokohama F.Marinos
D
2024-04-21
Nagoya Grampus
2–1
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.29
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
78%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
43%
FC Machida Zelvia or Cerezo Osaka FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
8.6%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6.1%
1 – 2
5.7%
1 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.5%
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 16% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 20% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

