Italy vs Croatia, 2017
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Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetingsRecent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 23 Sep Croatia H 1–0 W 16 Sep Slovakia A 2–1 W 12 Sep Germany H 2–0 W 09 Sep Turkey H 0–3 L 02 Sep England A 0–0 D 26 Aug Spain A 2–2 D Date Opponent H/A Score Result 23 Sep Italy A 0–1 L 16 Sep Switzerland H 1–2 L 12 Sep Wales A 1–1 D 09 Sep Ukraine A 1–5 L 02 Sep Northern Ireland H 0–0 D 26 Aug Blyth Town FC A 1–4 L Key Stats
33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history -
Events
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Lineups
Italy Lineups
Croatia Lineups
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H2H
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy4 / 41.4 Italy xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo0.76 Croatia xGI would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.16Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 86% 14% ± 1.5 64% 36% ± 2.5 36% 64% ± 3.5 18% 82% ± 4.5 7% 93% Double Chance
Italy or Draw 81%Draw or Croatia 46%Italy or Croatia 72%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 0 Actual0 – 0 13.8%1 – 1 13.1%2 – 0 10.9%2 – 1 8.4%0 – 1 7.6%3 – 0 5%1 – 2 4.5%3 – 1 4%2 – 2 3.3%0 – 2 3.2%4 – 0 1.8%Asian Handicap — Italy
Handicap Italy covers Push Croatia covers -2.5 10% — 90% -2 10% 16% 75% -1.5 25% — 75% -1 25% 25% 50% -0.5 50% — 50% +0.5 81% — 19% +1 81% 13% 6% +1.5 94% — 6% +2 94% 5% 1% +2.5 99% — 1% Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet 47% ✗Croatia keeps clean sheet 26% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.