Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig, DFB-Pokal 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS

DFB-Pokal · 2025-26
Wed 11 Feb 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs RB LeipzigDFB-Pokal .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
29 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb RB Leipzig H 2–0 W
08 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 5–1 W
31 Jan Hamburger SV A 2–2 D
28 Jan PSV A 2–1 W
24 Jan FC Augsburg H 1–2 L
21 Jan Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Feb FC Bayern München A 0–2 L
08 Feb 1. FC Koln A 2–1 W
31 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
27 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–1 D
24 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 3–0 W
17 Jan FC Bayern München H 1–5 L

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.1 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: FC Bayern München to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München62% Draw22% RB Leipzig16%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
83%
Draw or RB Leipzig
38%
FC Bayern München or RB Leipzig
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Bayern München44% Draw41% RB Leipzig15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
6.4%
0 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.6%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 22% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
36%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.