Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Hamburger SV
2 – 2
Full Time
FC Bayern München
Sat 31 Jan 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
19 games this season 🟨 0.9/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

1
1
Hamburger SV 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals FC Bayern München
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-31 Hamburger SV 2–2 FC Bayern München 2025-09-13 FC Bayern München 5–0 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
23 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
17 Jan Borussia Monchengladbach H 0–0 D
10 Jan SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
20 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
13 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–4 L
FC Bayern München
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan Hamburger SV A 2–2 D
28 Jan PSV A 2–1 W
24 Jan FC Augsburg H 1–2 L
21 Jan Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 2–0 W
17 Jan RB Leipzig A 5–1 W
14 Jan 1. FC Koln A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Hamburger SV FC Bayern München
#13 Position #1
38 Points 89
34 Played 34
9 / 11 / 14 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
40 Scored 122
54 Conceded 36
-14 GD +86
1.12 PPG 2.62
26% Win % 82%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Hamburger SV are 13th (38 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/4
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/–
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Hamburger SV to score. At the same time, FC Bayern München does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.04 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.01 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + FC Bayern München to win 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV18% Draw19% FC Bayern München63%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 4.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
37%
Draw or FC Bayern München
82%
Hamburger SV or FC Bayern München
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV11% Draw32% FC Bayern München57%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
8.2%
1 – 2
8.1%
1 – 3
8%
0 – 3
7.9%
1 – 1
6.2%
1 – 4
6%
0 – 4
5.8%
0 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 5
3.7%
0 – 5
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 97%
-1.5 3% — 97%
-1 3% 6% 90%
-0.5 10% — 90%
+0.5 25% — 75%
+1 25% 19% 56%
+1.5 44% — 56%
+2 44% 20% 36%
+2.5 64% — 36%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
6% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.