Saturday , 14 November 2026

Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Hamburger SV
1 – 2
Full Time
RB Leipzig
Sun 1 Mar 2026 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
5 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 31.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 9 21
2 Borussia Dortmund 9 21
3 SC Freiburg 9 19
4 RB Leipzig 9 18
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 16
6 SV Werder Bremen 9 15
7 SV 07 Elversberg 9 13
8 VfB Stuttgart 9 12
9 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 9 12
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9 12
11 Hamburger SV 9 12
12 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 10
13 SC Paderborn 07 9 10
14 FC Augsburg 9 9
15 1. FC Köln 9 9
16 1. FC Union Berlin 9 7
17 FC Schalke 04 9 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9 4

Head-to-Head

1
6
Hamburger SV 7 games · Avg 3.3 goals RB Leipzig
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-01 Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig 2025-10-18 RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV 2022-10-18 RB Leipzig 4–0 Hamburger SV 2019-04-23 Hamburger SV 1–3 RB Leipzig 2017-04-29 RB Leipzig 3–0 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–2 L
20 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
14 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–2 W
07 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
31 Jan FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
23 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Hamburger SV A 2–1 W
21 Feb Borussia Dortmund H 2–2 D
15 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
11 Feb FC Bayern München A 0–2 L
08 Feb 1. FC Köln A 2–1 W
31 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Hamburger SV RB Leipzig
#11 Position #4
12 Points 18
9 Played 9
4 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 0 / 3
10 Scored 27
20 Conceded 13
-10 GD +14
1.33 PPG 2.00
44% Win % 67%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
86% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Hamburger SV are 11th (12 pts). RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
3/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/3
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Hamburger SV
Miro Muheim 3 G 1 A
Yussuf Poulsen 2 G
RB Leipzig
Christopher Nkunku 5 G 2 A
Romulo Cruz 5 G
Antonio Nusa 4 G 7 A
Tidiam Gomis 3 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • It finishes all square. Hamburger SV and RB Leipzig share the spoils 1-2.

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Yussuf Poulsen 4
Benjamin Henrichs 2
Vasilije Janjicic 1
Bakery Jatta 1
Emil Forsberg 1
Mohamed Simakan 1
Christopher Nkunku 1
Willi Orban 1

Head to Head

2026-03-01 Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig 2025-10-18 RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV 2022-10-18 RB Leipzig 4–0 Hamburger SV 2019-04-23 Hamburger SV 1–3 RB Leipzig 2017-04-29 RB Leipzig 3–0 Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV Form

2026-03-01 Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig L 2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV D 2026-02-14 Hamburger SV 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin W 2026-02-07 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–2 Hamburger SV W 2026-01-31 Hamburger SV 2–2 FC Bayern München D 2026-01-23 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–0 Hamburger SV D

RB Leipzig Form

2026-03-01 Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig W 2026-02-21 RB Leipzig 2–2 Borussia Dortmund D 2026-02-15 RB Leipzig 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg D 2026-02-11 FC Bayern München 2–0 RB Leipzig L 2026-02-08 1. FC Köln 1–2 RB Leipzig W 2026-01-31 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.16 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.94 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV18% Draw20% RB Leipzig62%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 4.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
38%
Draw or RB Leipzig
82%
Hamburger SV or RB Leipzig
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV12% Draw33% RB Leipzig55%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
7.9%
0 – 2
7.4%
0 – 3
7%
1 – 1
6.4%
1 – 4
5.8%
0 – 4
5.1%
0 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
2 – 3
4.5%
1 – 5
3.5%
2 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 7% 88%
-0.5 12% — 88%
+0.5 28% — 72%
+1 28% 19% 53%
+1.5 47% — 53%
+2 47% 20% 33%
+2.5 67% — 33%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
6% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.