Gremio FBPA vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gremio FBPA vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Gremio FBPA 20 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 20 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 21 | 47 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 20 | 39 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 21 | 37 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 21 | 34 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 21 | 32 |
| 6 | RB Bragantino | 20 | 31 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro EC | 21 | 30 |
| 8 | Botafogo FR | 20 | 29 |
| 9 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 21 | 29 |
| 10 | CA Mineiro | 20 | 28 |
| 11 | Coritiba FBC | 21 | 27 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 20 | 26 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 21 | 26 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 20 | 23 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 20 | 22 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 21 | 22 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 20 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 20 | 21 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 21 | 21 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 20 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul | Fluminense FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Mirassol FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 May | Santos FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 May | EC Bahia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | CR Flamengo | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul | CR Flamengo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Jul | CA Paranaense | H | 1–2 | L |
| 31 May | Clube do Remo | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 May | Fluminense FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #12 |
| 22 | Points | 26 |
| 20 | Played | 20 |
| 5 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 8 |
| 22 | Scored | 25 |
| 26 | Conceded | 23 |
| -4 | GD | +2 |
| 1.10 | PPG | 1.30 |
| 25% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
25%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
Gremio FBPA are 17th (22 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 12th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/4
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/6
61-75
3/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G |
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 7 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Everton | 3 |
| Everton | 2 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Franco Cristaldo | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Vanderson | 1 |
| Lucas Moura | 1 |
Head to Head
Gremio FBPA Form
Predictions
1.13
Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Gremio FBPA or Sao Paulo FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Gremio FBPA or Draw
69%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
61%
Gremio FBPA or Sao Paulo FC
70%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
12.9%
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
2.7%
3 – 0
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA
| Handicap | Gremio FBPA covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 20% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 20% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
33%
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

