Thursday , 2 July 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Fortaleza EC
0 – 1
Full Time
Mirassol FC
Sun 24 Aug 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 25' Lucas Ramon
Adam Bareiro 62' Y
Yago Pikachu 88' Y
Y 88' Joao Victor
Matheus Pereira 90' Y
Marinho 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

1
1
Fortaleza EC 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Mirassol FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-24 Fortaleza EC 0–1 Mirassol FC 2025-04-06 Mirassol FC 1–1 Fortaleza EC

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Mirassol FC H 0–1 L
16 Aug Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
09 Aug Botafogo FR H 0–5 L
03 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D
29 Jul Grêmio FBPA A 1–2 L
26 Jul RB Bragantino H 3–1 W
Mirassol FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Fortaleza EC A 1–0 W
18 Aug Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D
09 Aug CR Flamengo A 1–2 L
02 Aug CR Vasco da Gama H 3–2 W
26 Jul EC Vitoria H 1–1 D
23 Jul Ceará SC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/3
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Igor Formiga 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Castelao that hosts another battle between Fortaleza EC and Mirassol FC.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Mirassol FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Mirassol FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 17' What a strike from Edson Carioca! The score is 0-1.
  • 22' It looks like no one’s ball. Fortaleza EC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 25' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lucas Ramon on 25.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
  • 46' Another change for Fortaleza EC made on 46 minute. Pablo Barbosa leaves to be changed by Tomas Pochettino.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucas Sasha, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Mirassol FC that had 55 games and scored 73 goals.
  • 61' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 62' A meaty challenge results in booking for Adam Bareiro on 62.
  • 63' The whistle greets Lucas Sasha as he departs to be replaced by Yago Pikachu.
  • 68' The Mirassol FC manager makes a substitution. Chico departs to be replaced by Carlos Eduardo.
  • 73' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Helton Leite made 365 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 74' Juan Lucero is replacing Adam Bareiro for the Fortaleza EC side.
  • 75' Time for substitution for Mirassol FC. Negueba is replaced by Yago Felipe.
  • 76' Cristian Renato has so much to prove this time. He replaces Edson Carioca on 76 minute.
  • 79' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marinho is hanging Allanzinho on the field on 79 minute.
  • 84' It looks surprising Fortaleza EC does not make any changes. Yago Felipe has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 88' Fortaleza EC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 88' It is a substitution in Mirassol FC team. Neto Moura is replaced by Roni on 88 minute.
  • 90' Fortaleza EC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • Another three points for Mirassol FC.

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Mirassol FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.96 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for: Mirassol FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC28% Draw30% Mirassol FC42%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
58%
Draw or Mirassol FC
72%
Fortaleza EC or Mirassol FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC19% Draw51% Mirassol FC30%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.8%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 3
3.6%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Mirassol FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 23% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 13% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.