Saturday , 14 November 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Fortaleza EC
0 – 1
Full Time
Mirassol FC
Sun 24 Aug 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 25' Lucas Ramon
Adam Bareiro 62' Y
Yago Pikachu 88' Y
Y 88' Joao Victor
Matheus Pereira 90' Y
Marinho 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 34 76
2 SE Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro EC 34 60
4 Fluminense FC 34 57
5 CA Paranaense 34 54
6 EC Bahia 34 53
7 CA Mineiro 35 51
8 RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos FC 34 47
10 Sao Paulo FC 34 44
11 Botafogo FR 34 42
12 Coritiba FBC 34 42
13 CR Vasco da Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol FC 35 41
15 SC Internacional 34 38
16 EC Vitoria 34 38
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 34 37
18 Gremio FBPA 34 37
19 Clube do Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense AF 33 21

Head-to-Head

1
1
Fortaleza EC 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Mirassol FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-24 Fortaleza EC 0–1 Mirassol FC 2025-04-06 Mirassol FC 1–1 Fortaleza EC

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Mirassol FC H 0–1 L
16 Aug Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
09 Aug Botafogo FR H 0–5 L
03 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D
29 Jul Gremio FBPA A 1–2 L
26 Jul RB Bragantino H 3–1 W
Mirassol FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Fortaleza EC A 1–0 W
18 Aug Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D
09 Aug CR Flamengo A 1–2 L
02 Aug CR Vasco da Gama H 3–2 W
26 Jul EC Vitoria H 1–1 D
23 Jul Ceará SC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
–/6
16-30
7/2
31-45
7/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/8
76+
5/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Carlos Eduardo 7 G
Igor Formiga 4 G 5 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Castelao will turn into a battlefield for Fortaleza EC and Mirassol FC.
  • 5' Mirassol FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Castelao. Fortaleza EC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 17' GOAL! Edson Carioca scores on 17.
  • 22' Fortaleza EC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Mirassol FC's shape.
  • 25' That looks like a foul for a card for Lucas Ramon.
  • 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 35' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 46' Tomas Pochettino is replacing Pablo Barbosa for the Fortaleza EC side.
  • 51' Danielzinho has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 61' Fortaleza EC is showing some good football. However, Fortaleza EC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 62' That is a card for Fortaleza EC. Adam Bareiro will be fuming at that decision.
  • 63' The Fortaleza EC bench stirs into life. Lucas Sasha is withdrawn and Yago Pikachu gets his opportunity.
  • 68' Fresh legs for Mirassol FC! Carlos Eduardo comes on to replace Chico.
  • 73' The travelling Mirassol FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 74' The Fortaleza EC manager makes a substitution. Adam Bareiro departs to be replaced by Juan Lucero.
  • 75' Another substitution for Mirassol FC to replace Negueba by Yago Felipe on 75 minute.
  • 76' Time for substitution for Mirassol FC. Edson Carioca is replaced by Cristian Renato.
  • 79' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Allanzinho by Marinho on 79 minute.
  • 84' Cristian Renato needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 88' It’s a booking for Fortaleza EC player. Yago Pikachu gets a card.
  • 88' A tactical swap from Mirassol FC — Roni on, Neto Moura off on 88 minutes.
  • 90' Fortaleza EC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • 0-1 the final result. Fortaleza EC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Mirassol FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.96 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for: Mirassol FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC28% Draw30% Mirassol FC42%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
58%
Draw or Mirassol FC
72%
Fortaleza EC or Mirassol FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC19% Draw51% Mirassol FC30%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.8%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 3
3.6%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Mirassol FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 23% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 13% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.