Thursday , 2 July 2026

Mirassol FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Mirassol FC
5 – 1
Full Time
EC Bahia
Sun 31 Aug 2025 · 21:30 UTC Campos Maia HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Mirassol FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Campos Maia.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

1
1
1
Mirassol FC 3 games · Avg 3.7 goals EC Bahia
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-31 Mirassol FC 5–1 EC Bahia 2025-04-13 EC Bahia 1–1 Mirassol FC

Recent Form

Mirassol FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug EC Bahia H 5–1 W
24 Aug Fortaleza EC A 1–0 W
18 Aug Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D
09 Aug CR Flamengo A 1–2 L
02 Aug CR Vasco da Gama H 3–2 W
26 Jul EC Vitoria H 1–1 D
EC Bahia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Mirassol FC A 1–5 L
24 Aug Santos FC H 2–0 W
17 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–1 W
10 Aug Fluminense FC H 3–3 D
02 Aug SC Recife A 0–0 D
27 Jul EC Juventude H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Mirassol FC EC Bahia
#19 Position #6
16 Points 26
17 Played 17
4 / 4 / 9 W / D / L 7 / 5 / 5
18 Scored 25
24 Conceded 23
-6 GD +2
0.94 PPG 1.53
24% Win % 41%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
35% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Mirassol FC are 19th (16 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/3
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Igor Formiga 3 G
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Mirassol FC have kicked off against EC Bahia. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 2' Joao Victor makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Mirassol FC are in front.
  • 7' Mirassol FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Bahia backline.
  • 12' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker David Duarte scoring 1 goals.
  • 16' Erick makes way for Kayky at the 16 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
  • 21' Rodrigo Nestor needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 3 Red cards this season.
  • 22' What composure from Chico! The Brazil international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 27' EC Bahia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 30' A stunning finish from Lucas Ramon — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 35' Jemmes is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Mirassol FC so far.
  • 38' Tiago gets the nod from EC Bahia. He replaces Cauly and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 39' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Rezende on, Nicolas Acevedo off on 39 minutes.
  • 44' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Negueba made 171 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 49' EC Bahia has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 54' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 59' Alesson makes no mistake. The score reads 4-0 and Mirassol FC are in front.
  • 64' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 69' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Kayky exits the field as Mateo Sanabria enters on 69.
  • 71' The Mirassol FC manager makes a substitution. Chico departs to be replaced by Cristian Renato.
  • 75' The deadlock is broken! Cristian Renato gets on the scoresheet on 75 minutes.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Matheus Bianqui. He replaces Jose Aldo on 79 minute.
  • 80' Another change for Mirassol FC made on 80 minute. Danielzinho leaves to be changed by Chico.
  • 85' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 88' What a strike from Rodrigo Nestor! The score is 5-1.
  • Another three points for Mirassol FC.

Lineups

Mirassol FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ivan Baitello

EC Bahia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rogério Ceni

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.08 Mirassol FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mirassol FC54% Draw23% EC Bahia23%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Mirassol FC or Draw
77%
Draw or EC Bahia
46%
Mirassol FC or EC Bahia
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Mirassol FC40% Draw40% EC Bahia20%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
6.4%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Mirassol FC

Handicap Mirassol FC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 16% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 21% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.