Thursday , 1 October 2026

Mirassol FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Mirassol FC
5 – 1
Full Time
EC Bahia
Sun 31 Aug 2025 · 21:30 UTC Campos Maia HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Mirassol FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Campos Maia.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

1
1
1
Mirassol FC 3 games · Avg 3.7 goals EC Bahia
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-31 Mirassol FC 5–1 EC Bahia 2025-04-13 EC Bahia 1–1 Mirassol FC

Recent Form

Mirassol FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug EC Bahia H 5–1 W
24 Aug Fortaleza EC A 1–0 W
18 Aug Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D
09 Aug CR Flamengo A 1–2 L
02 Aug CR Vasco da Gama H 3–2 W
26 Jul EC Vitoria H 1–1 D
EC Bahia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Mirassol FC A 1–5 L
24 Aug Santos FC H 2–0 W
17 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–1 W
10 Aug Fluminense FC H 3–3 D
02 Aug SC Recife A 0–0 D
27 Jul EC Juventude H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Mirassol FC EC Bahia
#15 Position #5
32 Points 46
28 Played 28
8 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 12 / 10 / 6
33 Scored 43
42 Conceded 35
-9 GD +8
1.14 PPG 1.64
29% Win % 43%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Mirassol FC are 15th (32 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
–/5
16-30
7/2
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
3/8
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Carlos Eduardo 6 G
Igor Formiga 4 G 5 A
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Campos Maia that hosts another battle between Mirassol FC and EC Bahia.
  • 2' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Joao Victor makes it 1-0.
  • 7' Tiago is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
  • 12' Mirassol FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Bahia backline.
  • 16' The supporters are chanting for Kayky. He replaces Erick on 16 minute.
  • 21' It is a cagey affair so far. Mirassol FC in their trying to find a way past EC Bahia's compact .
  • 22' Chico has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 22 minutes.
  • 27' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Reinaldo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 30' GOAL! Lucas Ramon fires home to make it 3-0!
  • 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Mirassol FC that had 63 games and scored 81 goals.
  • 38' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tiago is hanging Cauly on the field on 38 minute.
  • 39' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Nicolas Acevedo is replaced by Rezende.
  • 44' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 49' Both keepers have barely been tested. Mirassol FC and EC Bahia are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 54' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 59' A goal from the Brazil international Alesson! He fires home on 59 to make it 4-0!
  • 64' Mirassol FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 69' The crowd applauds Kayky as he leaves the pitch. Mateo Sanabria steps in for EC Bahia.
  • 71' Another change for Mirassol FC made on 71 minute. Chico leaves to be changed by Cristian Renato.
  • 75' What a strike from Cristian Renato! The score is 5-0.
  • 79' Matheus Bianqui is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jose Aldo at the 79 minute mark.
  • 80' Mirassol FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Chico is hanging Danielzinho on the field on 80 minute.
  • 85' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Mirassol FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 88' Rodrigo Nestor makes no mistake. The score reads 5-1 and EC Bahia are in front.
  • It finishes all square. Mirassol FC and EC Bahia share the spoils 5-1.

Lineups

Mirassol FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ivan Baitello

EC Bahia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rogério Ceni

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.09 Mirassol FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mirassol FC53% Draw23% EC Bahia24%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Mirassol FC or Draw
76%
Draw or EC Bahia
47%
Mirassol FC or EC Bahia
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Mirassol FC39% Draw40% EC Bahia21%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.9%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Mirassol FC

Handicap Mirassol FC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 16% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 21% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 14% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.