Sunday , 16 August 2026

Mirassol FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Mirassol FC
5 – 1
Full Time
EC Bahia
Sun 31 Aug 2025 · 21:30 UTC Campos Maia HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Mirassol FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Campos Maia.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 23 48
2 CR Flamengo 21 42
3 CA Paranaense 23 41
4 Fluminense FC 23 38
5 EC Bahia 23 34
6 Cruzeiro EC 22 33
7 RB Bragantino 22 32
8 SC Corinthians Paulista 22 32
9 Coritiba FBC 23 31
10 Botafogo FR 21 30
11 CA Mineiro 21 29
12 Sao Paulo FC 22 27
13 EC Vitoria 22 26
14 Gremio FBPA 21 25
15 SC Internacional 22 23
16 Mirassol FC 21 23
17 Santos FC 21 22
18 CR Vasco da Gama 21 22
19 Clube do Remo 22 22
20 Chapecoense AF 22 11

Head-to-Head

1
1
1
Mirassol FC 3 games · Avg 3.7 goals EC Bahia
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-31 Mirassol FC 5–1 EC Bahia 2025-04-13 EC Bahia 1–1 Mirassol FC

Recent Form

Mirassol FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug EC Bahia H 5–1 W
24 Aug Fortaleza EC A 1–0 W
18 Aug Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D
09 Aug CR Flamengo A 1–2 L
02 Aug CR Vasco da Gama H 3–2 W
26 Jul EC Vitoria H 1–1 D
EC Bahia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Mirassol FC A 1–5 L
24 Aug Santos FC H 2–0 W
17 Aug SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–1 W
10 Aug Fluminense FC H 3–3 D
02 Aug SC Recife A 0–0 D
27 Jul EC Juventude H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Mirassol FC EC Bahia
#16 Position #5
23 Points 34
21 Played 23
6 / 5 / 10 W / D / L 8 / 10 / 5
24 Scored 32
30 Conceded 28
-6 GD +4
1.10 PPG 1.48
29% Win % 35%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
39% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

Mirassol FC are 16th (23 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (34 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/3
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/3
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Igor Formiga 4 G 1 A
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Mirassol FC host EC Bahia — let the battle begin!
  • 2' Joao Victor doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 7' Mirassol FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against EC Bahia's shape.
  • 12' Mirassol FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 16' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Erick departs to be replaced by Kayky.
  • 21' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 22' The Brazil Chico breaks the deadlock on 22 minutes. 2-0!
  • 27' Cauly is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
  • 30' Lucas Ramon makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and Mirassol FC are in front.
  • 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 38' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Cauly is withdrawn and Tiago gets his opportunity.
  • 39' Nicolas Acevedo makes way for Rezende at the 39 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
  • 44' The travelling EC Bahia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 49' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ivan Baitello will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 54' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 59' The Brazil Alesson breaks the deadlock on 59 minutes. 4-0!
  • 64' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 69' Mateo Sanabria has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kayky on 69 minute.
  • 71' The Mirassol FC bench stirs into life. Chico is withdrawn and Cristian Renato gets his opportunity.
  • 75' Cristian Renato has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 75 minutes.
  • 79' Another change for Mirassol FC made on 79 minute. Jose Aldo leaves to be changed by Matheus Bianqui.
  • 80' Mirassol FC ring the changes. Danielzinho has done his job and it is now time for Chico to step up.
  • 85' Santiago Arias has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 523 appearances.
  • 88' GOAL! Rodrigo Nestor scores on 88. Assisted by Luciano Rodriguez
  • Mirassol FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Mirassol FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ivan Baitello

EC Bahia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rogério Ceni

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.07 Mirassol FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mirassol FC54% Draw23% EC Bahia23%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Mirassol FC or Draw
77%
Draw or EC Bahia
46%
Mirassol FC or EC Bahia
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Mirassol FC40% Draw41% EC Bahia19%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Mirassol FC

Handicap Mirassol FC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 16% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 21% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.