Monday , 12 October 2026

Gremio FBPA vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026
Gremio FBPA
1 – 1
Full Time
Fluminense FC
Sun 26 Jul 2026 · 21:30 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 65' Hulk pen
Diego Caito 89' 1–1
Y 12' Hercules
Y 13' Guga
Y 69' Thiago Silva
Carlos Vinicius 76' Y
Y 79' Agustin Canobbio
Juan Ignacio Nardoni 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 30 64
2 SE Palmeiras 30 63
3 Fluminense FC 30 51
4 CA Paranaense 29 50
5 EC Bahia 30 49
6 Cruzeiro EC 29 48
7 CA Mineiro 30 47
8 Santos FC 30 42
9 Sao Paulo FC 30 39
10 Coritiba FBC 29 38
11 RB Bragantino 29 37
12 EC Vitoria 30 36
13 Botafogo FR 29 35
14 CR Vasco da Gama 29 35
15 Mirassol FC 30 33
16 SC Internacional 30 32
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 30 32
18 Gremio FBPA 30 31
19 Clube do Remo 30 25
20 Chapecoense AF 28 18

Head-to-Head

9
3
6
Gremio FBPA 18 games · Avg 2.8 goals Fluminense FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-07-26 Gremio FBPA 1–1 Fluminense FC 2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2025-12-03 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC 2025-08-03 Fluminense FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2024-11-02 Fluminense FC 2–2 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–1 D
17 Jul Mirassol FC A 1–2 L
30 May SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–0 D
23 May Santos FC H 3–2 W
17 May EC Bahia A 1–1 D
10 May CR Flamengo H 0–0 D
Fluminense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jul Gremio FBPA A 1–1 D
17 Jul RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
31 May Cruzeiro EC A 0–0 D
23 May Mirassol FC A 0–1 L
16 May Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
09 May EC Vitoria H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA Fluminense FC
#18 Position #3
31 Points 51
30 Played 30
7 / 10 / 13 W / D / L 14 / 9 / 7
32 Scored 48
40 Conceded 37
-8 GD +11
1.03 PPG 1.70
23% Win % 47%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
23% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (51 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/5
61-75
5/6
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 5 A
Jefferson Savarino 6 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 5 G 5 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Gremio FBPA and Fluminense FC has kicked off!
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Juan Freytes suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 12' Hercules was booked on 12.
  • 13' Guga is having his name booked by the referee on 13.
  • 18' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 21' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — Rene on, Guilherme Arana off on 21 minutes.
  • 26' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fluminense FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 31' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Gremio FBPA side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 36' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 41' It is a cagey affair so far. Gremio FBPA in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 46' Fluminense FC is showing some good football. However, Fluminense FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 51' Gabriel Chapeco has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 56' Fluminense FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Hulk scoring 1 goals.
  • 61' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 61 minutes.
  • 65' What composure from Hulk! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 69' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Thiago Silva on 69 minutes.
  • 69' Gremio FBPA make a change. Erick Noriega trudges off to be replaced by Martin Braithwaite on 69 minutes.
  • 74' Fluminense FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 75' German Cano gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Hulk and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 76' Poor challenge from Carlos Vinicius. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 76' Nonato has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luciano Acosta on 76 minute.
  • 78' The crowd applauds Marlon as he leaves the pitch. Jovane Cabral steps in for Gremio FBPA.
  • 79' Agustin Canobbio is having his name booked by the referee on 79.
  • 80' Pedro Gabriel has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marlon on 80 minute.
  • 85' Gremio FBPA are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 87' Fluminense FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yeferson Soteldo is hanging Hercules on the field on 87 minute.
  • 89' The Brazil Diego Caito breaks the deadlock on 89 minutes. 1-1!
  • 90' Juan Ignacio Nardoni has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Castro

Fluminense FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luis Suarez 2
Yony Gonzalez 2
Yeferson Soteldo 2
Jhon Arias 2
Everton 2
Diego Souza 2
Cesar Pinares 2
Hulk 1

Head to Head

2026-07-26 Gremio FBPA 1–1 Fluminense FC 2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2025-12-03 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC 2025-08-03 Fluminense FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2024-11-02 Fluminense FC 2–2 Gremio FBPA

Gremio FBPA Form

2026-07-26 Gremio FBPA 1–1 Fluminense FC D 2026-07-17 Mirassol FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2026-05-30 Gremio FBPA 0–0 SC Corinthians Paulista D 2026-05-23 Gremio FBPA 3–2 Santos FC W 2026-05-17 EC Bahia 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2026-05-10 Gremio FBPA 0–0 CR Flamengo D

Fluminense FC Form

2026-07-26 Gremio FBPA 1–1 Fluminense FC D 2026-07-17 Fluminense FC 1–1 RB Bragantino D 2026-05-31 Cruzeiro EC 0–0 Fluminense FC D 2026-05-23 Mirassol FC 1–0 Fluminense FC L 2026-05-16 Fluminense FC 2–1 Sao Paulo FC W 2026-05-09 Fluminense FC 2–2 EC Vitoria D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.04 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or Fluminense FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA32% Draw30% Fluminense FC38%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
62%
Draw or Fluminense FC
68%
Gremio FBPA or Fluminense FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA21% Draw51% Fluminense FC28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12%
0 – 1
11.4%
1 – 0
9%
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 22% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.