Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Arouca vs CD Tondela, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
3 – 1
Full Time
Sat 16 May 2026 · 17:00 UTC Municipal de Arouca HT 45' · FT 45'
Taichi Fukui 20' 1–0
1–1 65' Rony Lopes
Alfonso Trezza 77' 2–1
Hyun-Ju Lee 85' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

FC Arouca vs CD Tondela — Primeira Liga at Municipal de Arouca.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May CD Tondela H 3–1 W
11 May Gil Vicente FC A 3–1 W
02 May CD Santa Clara H 2–2 D
24 Apr FC Alverca A 1–2 L
19 Apr CF Estrela da Amadora H 1–0 W
12 Apr Sporting Clube de Braga A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May FC Arouca A 1–3 L
11 May Moreirense FC H 2–0 W
03 May Casa Pia AC A 1–0 W
29 Apr Sporting Clube de Portugal A 2–2 D
25 Apr CD Nacional H 0–2 L
19 Apr FC Porto A 0–2 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
55% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Arouca
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Arouca
Barbero 5 G
Jose Fontan 2 G
Dylan Nandin 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Arouca and CD Tondela is underway.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Arouca in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past CD Tondela's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Arouca side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 20' What composure from Taichi Fukui! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 30' FC Arouca are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CD Tondela backline.
  • 35' With 1 assists to his name this season, Pablo Gozalbez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Arouca.
  • 39' Omar Fayed has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 39.
  • 41' Rodrigo Conceicao picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' FC Arouca started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 46.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 56' A quiet spell here at Municipal de Arouca. FC Arouca seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 61' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Arouca must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 65' What composure from Rodrigo Conceicao! The Portugal international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 70' FC Arouca are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 75' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 77' Alfonso Trezza doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 81' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Hyun-Ju Lee on 81 minutes.
  • 85' A goal from the South Korea international Hyun-Ju Lee! He fires home on 85 to make it 3-1!
  • 90' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • With this win, FC Arouca is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.69 FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 CD Tondela xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Arouca51% Draw25% CD Tondela24%
Actual: FC Arouca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

FC Arouca or Draw
76%
Draw or CD Tondela
49%
FC Arouca or CD Tondela
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Arouca35% Draw45% CD Tondela20%
Actual: FC Arouca win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8.8%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Arouca

Handicap FC Arouca covers Push CD Tondela covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
CD Tondela keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.