FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Dinamo Moskva, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Dinamo Moskva — RFPL at Rostec Arena.
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2025/26)
- FK Dinamo Moskva 30 games · 45 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 1–2 | L |
| 10 May | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 May | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Apr | FK Akron Tolyatti | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Apr | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Apr | FK Krasnodar | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | FK Krasnodar | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 May | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Apr | PFK Sochi | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Baltika Kaliningrad | FK Dinamo Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #7 |
| 46 | Points | 45 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 11 / 13 / 6 | W / D / L | 12 / 9 / 9 |
| 38 | Scored | 51 |
| 21 | Conceded | 40 |
| +17 | GD | +11 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 37% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
47%
Clean Sheets
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
23%
Clean Sheets
FK Dinamo Moskva this season
FK Dinamo Moskva this season
FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts). FK Dinamo Moskva are 7th (45 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Dinamo Moskva
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FK Baltika Kaliningrad is hosting FK Dinamo Moskva for another epic battle.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Dinamo Moskva needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 8' FK Dinamo Moskva is taking the lead after the goal scored by Arthur Gomes on 8.
- 13' Mingiyan Beveev needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 18' FK Baltika Kaliningrad is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 23' FK Dinamo Moskva is showing some good football. However, FK Dinamo Moskva are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 27' It’s a booking for FK Baltika Kaliningrad player. Aymane Mourid gets a card.
- 32' Supporters expect more eagerness from Konstantin Tyukavin, as he is very good at scoring at Rostec Arena with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 37' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 42' Maksim Petrov has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 46' Time for substitution for FK Baltika Kaliningrad. Yuri Kovalev is replaced by Eldar Civic.
- 50' Tenton Yenne was booked on 50.
- 55' GOAL! Derik Lacerda scores on 55. Assisted by Gerhard Karner
- 58' Another change for FK Dinamo Moskva made on 58 minute. Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu leaves to be changed by Yaroslav Gladyshev.
- 61' FK Baltika Kaliningrad receives a card for a hard tackle on 61.
- 64' Another change for FK Dinamo Moskva made on 64 minute. Viktor Okishor leaves to be changed by Ulvi Babaev.
- 67' The supporters are chanting for Andrey Mendel. He replaces Ivan Belikov on 67 minute.
- 71' Sensational shot from Konstantin Tyukavin. FK Dinamo Moskva is back in the lead.
- 74' The FK Baltika Kaliningrad manager makes a substitution. Nathan Gassama departs to be replaced by Mikhail Ryadno.
- 78' That looks like a foul for a card for Timofey Marinkin.
- 80' The referee shows FK Baltika Kaliningrad player a card on 80.
- 85' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 86' FK Dinamo Moskva manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dmitriy Aleksandrov is hanging Daniil Fomin on the field on 86 minute.
- 90' FK Dinamo Moskva player sees a card in front of him.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-2.
Lineups
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 22
-
5
Aymane Mourid ↓ Tenton Yenne 46'
- 18
-
11
Yuri Kovalev ↓ Eldar Civic 46'
- 73
- 2
-
4
Nathan Gassama ↓ Mikhail Ryadno 74'
- 21
-
26
Ivan Belikov ↓ Andrey Mendel 67'
- 44
Bench
-
77
Eldar Civic ↑ 46'
- 14
- 81
-
90
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor ↑ 67'
-
8
Andrey Mendel ↑ 67'
- 69
-
68
Mikhail Ryadno ↑ 74'
-
15
Tenton Yenne ↑ 46'
- 42
- 10
- 46
- 39
Coach
Andrey Talalaev
FK Dinamo Moskva Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 99
- 11
- 74
-
70
Konstantin Tyukavin ↓ Rubens 86'
- 57
- 2
- 13
- 56
-
88
Viktor Okishor ↓ Ulvi Babaev 64'
- 60
Bench
- 21
- 31
- 19
- 50
-
91
Yaroslav Gladyshev ↑ 58'
-
44
Rubens ↑ 86'
-
17
Ulvi Babaev ↑ 64'
- 5
-
30
Dmitriy Aleksandrov ↑ 86'
Coach
Roman Sharonov
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Konstantin Tyukavin | 2 |
| Angelo Henriquez | 1 |
| Arthur Gomes | 1 |
| Derik Lacerda | 1 |
| Denis Makarov | 1 |
| Stanislav Bessmertniy | 1 |
| Roberto Fernandez | 1 |
| Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form
2026-05-17
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
1–2
FK Dinamo Moskva
L
2026-05-10
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2026-05-02
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0–1
FK Rubin Kazan
L
2026-04-27
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0–1
FK Akron Tolyatti
L
2026-04-23
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
D
2026-04-19
FK Krasnodar
2–2
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
D
FK Dinamo Moskva Form
2026-05-17
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
1–2
FK Dinamo Moskva
W
2026-05-11
FK Dinamo Moskva
2–1
FK Krasnodar
W
2026-05-01
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
1–1
FK Dinamo Moskva
D
2026-04-26
FK Dinamo Moskva
2–0
PFK Sochi
W
2026-04-22
FK Dinamo Moskva
0–1
FK Rubin Kazan
L
2026-04-18
FK Nizhny Novgorod
1–1
FK Dinamo Moskva
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.19
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31
FK Dinamo Moskva xG
I would bet for:
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or FK Dinamo Moskva 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Dinamo Moskva win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or Draw
60%
Draw or FK Dinamo Moskva
69%
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or FK Dinamo Moskva
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Dinamo Moskva win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
8.7%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — FK Baltika Kaliningrad
| Handicap | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers | Push | FK Dinamo Moskva covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 18% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 20% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
FK Dinamo Moskva keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.