FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Dinamo Moskva, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Dinamo Moskva — RFPL at Arena Baltika.
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2026/27)
- FK Dinamo Moskva 30 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 2–3 | L |
| 06 May | FK Ural | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Apr | FK Krasnodar | A | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Apr | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 7–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 3–2 | W |
| 05 May | PFK Sochi | H | 3–2 | W |
| 28 Apr | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Apr | FK Orenburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Apr | FK Ural | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Baltika Kaliningrad | FK Dinamo Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #7 |
| 46 | Points | 45 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 11 / 13 / 6 | W / D / L | 12 / 9 / 9 |
| 38 | Scored | 51 |
| 21 | Conceded | 40 |
| +17 | GD | +11 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 37% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts). FK Dinamo Moskva are 7th (45 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FK Baltika Kaliningrad is hosting FK Dinamo Moskva for another epic battle.
- 3' Brilliant from the ! Konstantin Tyukavin makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 3.
- 8' The travelling FK Dinamo Moskva supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 13' Diego Laxalt has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 18' FK Baltika Kaliningrad are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Dinamo Moskva backline.
- 23' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 28' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yuriy Kovalev made 342 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 32' Assisted by Dmitrii Rybchinskii with the perfectly-timed delivery and Angelo Henriquez makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 37' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 42' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 47' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FK Baltika Kaliningrad side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 52' Aleksandr Osipov has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 60 appearances.
- 57' Dmitrii Skopintsev has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 57.
- 62' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 66' Bitelo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luis Chavez at the 66 minute mark.
- 68' Brilliant from the ! Kirill Kaplenko makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 68.
- 71' Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 71.
- 74' It is a substitution in FK Baltika Kaliningrad team. Vitaliy Lisakovich is replaced by Maksim Kuzmin on 74 minute.
- 78' Tigran Avanesyan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Angelo Henriquez on 78 minute.
- 81' Diego Laxalt is having his name booked by the referee on 81.
- 86' Dmitrii Skopintsev is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Dinamo Moskva tonight.
- 87' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Daniil Fomin.
- 87' Sergey Pryakhin has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alex Fernandes on 87 minute.
- 88' The crowd applauds Jorge Carrascal as he leaves the pitch. Vyacheslav Grulev steps in for FK Dinamo Moskva.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FK Dinamo Moskva to claim maximum points.
Lineups
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 17
- 8
- –
- 18
- –
- –
- 1
- –
- –
- –
Bench
- –
-
7
Roberto Fernandez ↑ 74'
- 21
- 3
-
59
Tigran Avanesyan ↑ 78'
- –
-
6
Maksim Kuzmin ↑ 74'
- 26
-
19
Sergey Pryakhin ↑ 87'
- 67
- 89
-
5
Aleksandr Osipov ↑ 87'
Coach
Sergey Ignashevich
FK Dinamo Moskva Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 93
- 7
- 31
- 8
- 74
- 70
- 6
- 18
- 13
-
24
Luis Chavez ↓ Bitelo 66'
Bench
- 10
- 1
-
20
Vyacheslav Grulev ↑ 88'
- 2
- 91
- 34
- 4
- 76
-
89
Bitelo ↑ 66'
- 80
- 5
Coach
Marcel Licka
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Konstantin Tyukavin | 2 |
| Arthur Gomes | 1 |
| Derik Lacerda | 1 |
| Denis Makarov | 1 |
| Stanislav Bessmertniy | 1 |
| Roberto Fernandez | 1 |
| Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu | 1 |
| Kirill Kaplenko | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form
2024-05-11
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–3
FK Dinamo Moskva
L
2024-05-06
FK Ural
2–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2024-04-28
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
3–1
PFC CSKA Moskva
W
2024-04-24
FK Krasnodar
3–2
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2024-04-20
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–1
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
W
2024-04-13
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–7
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
W
FK Dinamo Moskva Form
2024-05-11
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–3
FK Dinamo Moskva
W
2024-05-05
FK Dinamo Moskva
3–2
PFK Sochi
W
2024-04-28
FK Dinamo Moskva
1–0
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
W
2024-04-24
FK Orenburg
1–2
FK Dinamo Moskva
W
2024-04-21
FK Nizhny Novgorod
1–4
FK Dinamo Moskva
W
2024-04-14
FK Ural
2–1
FK Dinamo Moskva
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.59
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67
FK Dinamo Moskva xG
I would bet for:
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or FK Dinamo Moskva 74% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Dinamo Moskva win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or Draw
60%
Draw or FK Dinamo Moskva
66%
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or FK Dinamo Moskva
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
5.4%
1 – 0
5.4%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.9%
1 – 3
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
Actual
Asian Handicap — FK Baltika Kaliningrad
| Handicap | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers | Push | FK Dinamo Moskva covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 19% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
FK Dinamo Moskva keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.