FK Dinamo Moskva vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Dinamo Moskva vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad — RFPL at VTB Arena.
- FK Dinamo Moskva 30 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Aug | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Jul | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 3–3 | D |
| 21 Jul | FK Krasnodar | H | 1–3 | L |
| 03 Jun | FK Orenburg | A | 0–3 | L |
| 28 May | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 2–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Aug | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Jul | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Jul | PFK Sochi | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Dinamo Moskva | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #6 |
| 45 | Points | 46 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 12 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 11 / 13 / 6 |
| 51 | Scored | 38 |
| 40 | Conceded | 21 |
| +11 | GD | +17 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 40% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Dinamo Moskva are 7th (45 pts). FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FK Dinamo Moskva is hosting FK Baltika Kaliningrad for another epic battle.
- 5' With 1 assists to his name this season, Gedeon Guzina is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FK Baltika Kaliningrad.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Dinamo Moskva that had 363 games and scored 348 goals.
- 15' Anton Shunin has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 30' FK Dinamo Moskva have won 348 goals from 363 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 35' FK Baltika Kaliningrad are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 45' The travelling FK Baltika Kaliningrad supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 46' A tactical swap from FK Baltika Kaliningrad — Tamerlan Musaev on, Gedeon Guzina off on 46 minutes.
- 51' Roberto Fernandez, a Bolivia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 55' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Stanislav Bessmertniy makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Dinamo Moskva needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 64' The FK Dinamo Moskva bench stirs into life. Vyacheslav Grulev is withdrawn and Yaroslav Gladyshev gets his opportunity.
- 69' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 72' The FK Baltika Kaliningrad manager makes a substitution. Aleksandr Zhirov departs to be replaced by Aslan Dudiev.
- 75' Denis Makarov makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and FK Dinamo Moskva are in front.
- 78' Another substitution for FK Baltika Kaliningrad to replace Artur Galoyan by Tigran Avanesyan on 78 minute.
- 83' FK Baltika Kaliningrad seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 88' Another change for FK Dinamo Moskva made on 88 minute. Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu leaves to be changed by Daniil Lesovoy.
- 90' A moment of madness from Luka Gagnidze on 90 minutes earns him a card. FK Dinamo Moskva will be frustrated.
- With this win, FK Dinamo Moskva is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
FK Dinamo Moskva Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 93
- 7
- 10
- 1
- 20
- 74
- 70
- 18
- 13
- 80
Bench
- 31
- 25
- 50
- 15
-
91
Yaroslav Gladyshev ↑ 64'
-
11
Daniil Lesovoy ↑ 88'
-
34
Luka Gagnidze ↑ 78'
- 6
- 76
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
Starting XI
-
2
Aleksandr Zhirov ↓ Aslan Dudiev 72'
- 23
- 7
- 10
-
9
Gedeon Guzina ↓ Tamerlan Musaev 46'
- 3
- 1
- 6
- 26
- 20
- 19
Bench
- 21
-
59
Tigran Avanesyan ↑ 78'
- 18
-
22
Tamerlan Musaev ↑ 46'
- 11
- 67
- 89
- 5
- 17
- 66
-
8
Aslan Dudiev ↑ 72'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Konstantin Tyukavin | 2 |
| Derik Lacerda | 1 |
| Denis Makarov | 1 |
| Stanislav Bessmertniy | 1 |
| Roberto Fernandez | 1 |
| Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu | 1 |
| Kirill Kaplenko | 1 |
| Angelo Henriquez | 1 |
FK Dinamo Moskva Form
2023-08-13
FK Dinamo Moskva
2–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
W
2023-08-06
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
2–3
FK Dinamo Moskva
W
2023-07-29
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
3–3
FK Dinamo Moskva
D
2023-07-21
FK Dinamo Moskva
1–3
FK Krasnodar
L
2023-06-03
FK Orenburg
3–0
FK Dinamo Moskva
L
2023-05-28
FK Dinamo Moskva
2–4
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.53
FK Dinamo Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Dinamo Moskva win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
FK Dinamo Moskva or Draw
77%
Draw or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
50%
FK Dinamo Moskva or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — FK Dinamo Moskva
| Handicap | FK Dinamo Moskva covers | Push | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 23% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FK Dinamo Moskva keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

