FK Dinamo Moskva vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Dinamo Moskva vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad — RFPL at VTB Arena.
- FK Dinamo Moskva 30 games · 45 pts (2025/26)
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Aug | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Jul | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 3–3 | D |
| 21 Jul | FK Krasnodar | H | 1–3 | L |
| 03 Jun | FK Orenburg | A | 0–3 | L |
| 28 May | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 2–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Aug | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Jul | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Jul | PFK Sochi | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Dinamo Moskva | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #6 |
| 45 | Points | 46 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 12 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 11 / 13 / 6 |
| 51 | Scored | 38 |
| 40 | Conceded | 21 |
| +11 | GD | +17 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 40% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
FK Dinamo Moskva this season
FK Dinamo Moskva this season
47%
Clean Sheets
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
FK Dinamo Moskva are 7th (45 pts). FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Dinamo Moskva
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! FK Dinamo Moskva vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad — let the football do the talking.
- 5' FK Baltika Kaliningrad looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Derik Lacerda scoring 1 goals.
- 10' FK Dinamo Moskva are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Baltika Kaliningrad that had 60 games and scored 40 goals.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FK Baltika Kaliningrad winning 0% of all matches.
- 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 35' Russia international Aleksandr Zhirov has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Tamerlan Musaev. He replaces Gedeon Guzina on 46 minute.
- 51' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Dinamo Moskva in their trying to find a way past FK Baltika Kaliningrad's compact .
- 55' What a moment for Stanislav Bessmertniy! That strike on 55 puts his side firmly in control.
- 60' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nikola Radmanovac, as he is very good at scoring at VTB Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 64' Vyacheslav Grulev makes way for Yaroslav Gladyshev at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Dinamo Moskva.
- 69' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Konstantin Tyukavin suffering a number of foals already.
- 72' A change in the FK Baltika Kaliningrad ranks — Aleksandr Zhirov exits the field as Aslan Dudiev enters on 72.
- 75' A goal from the Russia international Denis Makarov! He fires home on 75 to make it 2-0!
- 78' The FK Baltika Kaliningrad manager makes a substitution. Artur Galoyan departs to be replaced by Tigran Avanesyan.
- 83' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Dinamo Moskva and FK Baltika Kaliningrad are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 88' The crowd applauds Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu as he leaves the pitch. Daniil Lesovoy steps in for FK Dinamo Moskva.
- 90' The referee shows FK Dinamo Moskva player a card on 90.
- The points are shared — FK Dinamo Moskva 2-0 FK Baltika Kaliningrad. Honours even.
Lineups
FK Dinamo Moskva Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 93
- 7
- 10
- 1
- 20
- 74
- 70
- 18
- 13
- 80
Bench
- 31
- 25
- 50
- 15
-
91
Yaroslav Gladyshev ↑ 64'
-
11
Daniil Lesovoy ↑ 88'
-
34
Luka Gagnidze ↑ 78'
- 6
- 76
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
Starting XI
-
2
Aleksandr Zhirov ↓ Aslan Dudiev 72'
- 23
- 7
- 10
-
9
Gedeon Guzina ↓ Tamerlan Musaev 46'
- 3
- 1
- 6
- 26
- 20
- 19
Bench
- 21
-
59
Tigran Avanesyan ↑ 78'
- 18
-
22
Tamerlan Musaev ↑ 46'
- 11
- 67
- 89
- 5
- 17
- 66
-
8
Aslan Dudiev ↑ 72'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Konstantin Tyukavin | 2 |
| Derik Lacerda | 1 |
| Denis Makarov | 1 |
| Stanislav Bessmertniy | 1 |
| Roberto Fernandez | 1 |
| Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu | 1 |
| Kirill Kaplenko | 1 |
| Angelo Henriquez | 1 |
FK Dinamo Moskva Form
2023-08-13
FK Dinamo Moskva
2–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
W
2023-08-06
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
2–3
FK Dinamo Moskva
W
2023-07-29
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
3–3
FK Dinamo Moskva
D
2023-07-21
FK Dinamo Moskva
1–3
FK Krasnodar
L
2023-06-03
FK Orenburg
3–0
FK Dinamo Moskva
L
2023-05-28
FK Dinamo Moskva
2–4
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.53
FK Dinamo Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Dinamo Moskva win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
FK Dinamo Moskva or Draw
77%
Draw or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
50%
FK Dinamo Moskva or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — FK Dinamo Moskva
| Handicap | FK Dinamo Moskva covers | Push | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 23% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FK Dinamo Moskva keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.