FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Dinamo Moskva, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2025-26

FK Baltika Kaliningrad

1 – 2

Full Time

FK Dinamo Moskva

Sun 17 May 2026 · 15:00 UTC Rostec Arena 21,626 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 8' Arthur Gomes

Derik Lacerda 55' 1–1

1–2 71' Konstantin Tyukavin

Aymane Mourid 27' Y

Tenton Yenne 50' Y

Ivan Belikov 61' Y

Y 78' Timofey Marinkin

Andrey Mendel 80' Y

Y 90' Rubens

Y 90' Nicolas Marichal

Overview

Match Preview

FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Dinamo Moskva — RFPL at Rostec Arena.

FK Baltika Kaliningrad 9 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
FK Dinamo Moskva 9 games · 19 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Krasnodar	9	21
2	FK Dinamo Moskva	9	19
3	PFC CSKA Moskva	9	19
4	FK Spartak Moskva	9	19
5	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	9	18
6	FK Rubin Kazan	9	12
7	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	9	12
8	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	9	11
9	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	9	11
10	FK Rostov	10	11
11	RFK Akhmat Grozny	9	10
12	FK Orenburg	9	9
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	10	8
14	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	9	7
15	FK Rodina Moskva	9	5
16	FK Fakel Voronezh	9	3

Head-to-Head

FK Baltika Kaliningrad 4 games · Avg 3.0 goals FK Dinamo Moskva

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-17 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 1–2 FK Dinamo Moskva 2025-07-18 FK Dinamo Moskva 1–1 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 2024-05-11 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 2–3 FK Dinamo Moskva 2023-08-13 FK Dinamo Moskva 2–0 FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Recent Form

FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 May	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	1–2	L
10 May	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	A	0–1	L
02 May	FK Rubin Kazan	H	0–1	L
27 Apr	FK Akron Tolyatti	H	0–1	L
23 Apr	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	1–1	D
19 Apr	FK Krasnodar	A	2–2	D

FK Dinamo Moskva

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 May	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	A	2–1	W
11 May	FK Krasnodar	H	2–1	W
01 May	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	A	1–1	D
26 Apr	PFK Sochi	H	2–0	W
22 Apr	FK Rubin Kazan	H	0–1	L
18 Apr	FK Nizhny Novgorod	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

FK Baltika Kaliningrad		FK Dinamo Moskva
#8	Position	#2
11	Points	19
9	Played	9
3 / 2 / 4	W / D / L	6 / 1 / 2
14	Scored	14
12	Conceded	8
+2	GD	+6
1.22	PPG	2.11
33%	Win %	67%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

40% Clean Sheets
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season

75% Clean Sheets
FK Dinamo Moskva this season

FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 8th (11 pts). FK Dinamo Moskva are 2nd (19 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Baltika Kaliningrad

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/2

61-75

2/–

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Dinamo Moskva

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

3/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Brayan Gil	4 G	1 A
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor	2 G
Maksim Petrov	1 G	1 A
Aymane Mourid	1 G

FK Dinamo Moskva

Konstantin Tyukavin	4 G	1 A
Viktor Okishor	2 G	1 A
Anton Miranchuk	2 G
Arthur Gomes	2 G
Maksim Osipenko	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' FK Baltika Kaliningrad have kicked off against FK Dinamo Moskva. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' FK Dinamo Moskva fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
8' The deadlock is broken! Arthur Gomes gets on the scoresheet on 8 minutes.
13' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Aymane Mourid made 205 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
18' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
23' Ivan Belikov is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Baltika Kaliningrad tonight.
27' It’s a booking for FK Baltika Kaliningrad player. Aymane Mourid gets a card.
32' FK Dinamo Moskva seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
37' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
46' The FK Baltika Kaliningrad manager makes a substitution. Yuri Kovalev departs to be replaced by Eldar Civic.
50' The referee shows FK Baltika Kaliningrad player a card on 50.
55' What composure from Derik Lacerda! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-1.
58' The FK Dinamo Moskva manager makes a substitution. Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu departs to be replaced by Yaroslav Gladyshev.
61' Ivan Belikov picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
64' The crowd applauds Viktor Okishor as he leaves the pitch. Ulvi Babaev steps in for FK Dinamo Moskva.
67' The whistle greets Ivan Belikov as he departs to be replaced by Andrey Mendel.
71' Konstantin Tyukavin does the damage! The net is bulging and FK Dinamo Moskva surge ahead!
74' A change in the FK Baltika Kaliningrad ranks — Nathan Gassama exits the field as Mikhail Ryadno enters on 74.
78' A meaty challenge results in booking for Timofey Marinkin on 78.
80' The referee shows FK Baltika Kaliningrad player a card on 80.
85' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FK Baltika Kaliningrad and FK Dinamo Moskva are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
86' The FK Dinamo Moskva manager makes a substitution. Daniil Fomin departs to be replaced by Dmitriy Aleksandrov.
90' The referee has no hesitation. Rubens is booked for FK Dinamo Moskva — card on 90.
FK Baltika Kaliningrad will have plenty to reflect on. FK Dinamo Moskva were simply the better side today.

Lineups

FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups

Starting XI

23
Mingiyan Beveev
22
Nikolai Titkov
5
Aymane Mourid ↓ Tenton Yenne 46'
18
Derik Lacerda ↓ Nnamdi Chinonso Offor 67'
11
Yuri Kovalev ↓ Eldar Civic 46'
73
Maksim Petrov
2
Sergey Varatynov
4
Nathan Gassama ↓ Mikhail Ryadno 74'
21
Eduardo Anderson
26
Ivan Belikov ↓ Andrey Mendel 67'
44
Egor Lyubakov

Bench

Coach Andrey Talalaev

FK Dinamo Moskva Lineups

Starting XI

7
Dmitrii Skopintsev
99
Andrei Lunev
11
Arthur Gomes
74
Daniil Fomin ↓ Dmitriy Aleksandrov 86'
70
Konstantin Tyukavin ↓ Rubens 86'
57
David Loiola
2
Nicolas Marichal
13
Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu ↓ Yaroslav Gladyshev 58'
56
Leon Zaydenzal
88
Viktor Okishor ↓ Ulvi Babaev 64'
60
Timofey Marinkin

Bench

Coach Roman Sharonov

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Konstantin Tyukavin	2
Arthur Gomes	1
Derik Lacerda	1
Denis Makarov	1
Stanislav Bessmertniy	1
Roberto Fernandez	1
Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu	1
Kirill Kaplenko	1

Head to Head

FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form

2026-05-17 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 1–2 FK Dinamo Moskva L 2026-05-10 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–0 FK Baltika Kaliningrad L 2026-05-02 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 0–1 FK Rubin Kazan L 2026-04-27 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 0–1 FK Akron Tolyatti L 2026-04-23 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–1 FK Baltika Kaliningrad D 2026-04-19 FK Krasnodar 2–2 FK Baltika Kaliningrad D

FK Dinamo Moskva Form

2026-05-17 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 1–2 FK Dinamo Moskva W 2026-05-11 FK Dinamo Moskva 2–1 FK Krasnodar W 2026-05-01 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–1 FK Dinamo Moskva D 2026-04-26 FK Dinamo Moskva 2–0 PFK Sochi W 2026-04-22 FK Dinamo Moskva 0–1 FK Rubin Kazan L 2026-04-18 FK Nizhny Novgorod 1–1 FK Dinamo Moskva D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.01 FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.59 FK Dinamo Moskva xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Baltika Kaliningrad24% Draw27% FK Dinamo Moskva49%

Actual: FK Dinamo Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.6

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

FK Baltika Kaliningrad or Draw

52%

Draw or FK Dinamo Moskva

76%

FK Baltika Kaliningrad or FK Dinamo Moskva

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Baltika Kaliningrad18% Draw47% FK Dinamo Moskva35%

Actual: FK Dinamo Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.8%

0 – 1

10.8%

0 – 0

9.4%

0 – 2

9.1%

1 – 2

Actual

1 – 0

6.5%

2 – 1

5.8%

1 – 3

4.9%

0 – 3

4.8%

2 – 2

4.7%

2 – 0

3.7%

2 – 3

2.6%

Asian Handicap — FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Handicap	FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers	Push	FK Dinamo Moskva covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	6%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	14%	77%
-0.5	23%	—	77%
+0.5	51%	—	49%
+1	51%	23%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	15%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

FK Dinamo Moskva keeps clean sheet

37% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.