FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Dinamo Moskva, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

RFPL · 2025-26

FK Baltika Kaliningrad

1 – 2

Full Time

FK Dinamo Moskva

Sun 17 May 2026 · 15:00 UTC Rostec Arena 21,626 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 8' Arthur Gomes

Derik Lacerda 55' 1–1

1–2 71' Konstantin Tyukavin

Aymane Mourid 27' Y

Tenton Yenne 50' Y

Ivan Belikov 61' Y

Y 78' Timofey Marinkin

Andrey Mendel 80' Y

Y 90' Rubens

Y 90' Nicolas Marichal

Overview

Match Preview

FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Dinamo Moskva — RFPL at Rostec Arena.

FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2026/27)
FK Dinamo Moskva 30 games · 45 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Baltika Kaliningrad 4 games · Avg 3.0 goals FK Dinamo Moskva

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-17 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 1–2 FK Dinamo Moskva 2025-07-18 FK Dinamo Moskva 1–1 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 2024-05-11 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 2–3 FK Dinamo Moskva 2023-08-13 FK Dinamo Moskva 2–0 FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Recent Form

FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 May	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	1–2	L
10 May	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	A	0–1	L
02 May	FK Rubin Kazan	H	0–1	L
27 Apr	FK Akron Tolyatti	H	0–1	L
23 Apr	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	1–1	D
19 Apr	FK Krasnodar	A	2–2	D

FK Dinamo Moskva

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 May	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	A	2–1	W
11 May	FK Krasnodar	H	2–1	W
01 May	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	A	1–1	D
26 Apr	PFK Sochi	H	2–0	W
22 Apr	FK Rubin Kazan	H	0–1	L
18 Apr	FK Nizhny Novgorod	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

FK Baltika Kaliningrad		FK Dinamo Moskva
#6	Position	#7
46	Points	45
30	Played	30
11 / 13 / 6	W / D / L	12 / 9 / 9
38	Scored	51
21	Conceded	40
+17	GD	+11
1.53	PPG	1.50
37%	Win %	40%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts). FK Dinamo Moskva are 7th (45 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. FK Baltika Kaliningrad host FK Dinamo Moskva — let the battle begin!
5' The 28-year-old Arthur Gomes has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
8' What composure from Arthur Gomes! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-1.
13' FK Baltika Kaliningrad currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
18' Ulvi Babaev has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
23' FK Baltika Kaliningrad are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Dinamo Moskva backline.
27' FK Baltika Kaliningrad receives a card for a hard tackle on 27.
32' Both keepers have barely been tested. FK Baltika Kaliningrad and FK Dinamo Moskva are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
37' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
42' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
46' The crowd applauds Yuri Kovalev as he leaves the pitch. Eldar Civic steps in for FK Baltika Kaliningrad.
50' The referee calls foul for Tenton Yenne. He receives a card.
55' A goal from the Brazil international Derik Lacerda! He fires home on 55 to make it 1-1!
58' Another change for FK Dinamo Moskva made on 58 minute. Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu leaves to be changed by Yaroslav Gladyshev.
61' The referee shows FK Baltika Kaliningrad player a card on 61.
64' The crowd applauds Viktor Okishor as he leaves the pitch. Ulvi Babaev steps in for FK Dinamo Moskva.
67' Andrey Mendel has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ivan Belikov on 67 minute.
71' Konstantin Tyukavin puts FK Dinamo Moskva on the lead.
74' The FK Baltika Kaliningrad bench stirs into life. Nathan Gassama is withdrawn and Mikhail Ryadno gets his opportunity.
78' It’s a booking for FK Dinamo Moskva player. Timofey Marinkin gets a card.
80' A meaty challenge results in booking for Andrey Mendel on 80.
85' Brazil international Rubens has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
86' FK Dinamo Moskva manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dmitriy Aleksandrov is hanging Daniil Fomin on the field on 86 minute.
90' The referee has no hesitation. Rubens is booked for FK Dinamo Moskva — card on 90.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FK Baltika Kaliningrad.

Lineups

FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups

Starting XI

23
Mingiyan Beveev
22
Nikolai Titkov
5
Aymane Mourid ↓ Tenton Yenne 46'
18
Derik Lacerda ↓ Nnamdi Chinonso Offor 67'
11
Yuri Kovalev ↓ Eldar Civic 46'
73
Maksim Petrov
2
Sergey Varatynov
4
Nathan Gassama ↓ Mikhail Ryadno 74'
21
Eduardo Anderson
26
Ivan Belikov ↓ Andrey Mendel 67'
44
Egor Lyubakov

Bench

Coach Andrey Talalaev

FK Dinamo Moskva Lineups

Starting XI

7
Dmitrii Skopintsev
99
Andrei Lunev
11
Arthur Gomes
74
Daniil Fomin ↓ Dmitriy Aleksandrov 86'
70
Konstantin Tyukavin ↓ Rubens 86'
57
David Loiola
2
Nicolas Marichal
13
Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu ↓ Yaroslav Gladyshev 58'
56
Leon Zaydenzal
88
Viktor Okishor ↓ Ulvi Babaev 64'
60
Timofey Marinkin

Bench

Coach Roman Sharonov

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Konstantin Tyukavin	2
Derik Lacerda	1
Denis Makarov	1
Stanislav Bessmertniy	1
Roberto Fernandez	1
Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu	1
Kirill Kaplenko	1
Angelo Henriquez	1

Head to Head

FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form

2026-05-17 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 1–2 FK Dinamo Moskva L 2026-05-10 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–0 FK Baltika Kaliningrad L 2026-05-02 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 0–1 FK Rubin Kazan L 2026-04-27 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 0–1 FK Akron Tolyatti L 2026-04-23 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–1 FK Baltika Kaliningrad D 2026-04-19 FK Krasnodar 2–2 FK Baltika Kaliningrad D

FK Dinamo Moskva Form

2026-05-17 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 1–2 FK Dinamo Moskva W 2026-05-11 FK Dinamo Moskva 2–1 FK Krasnodar W 2026-05-01 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–1 FK Dinamo Moskva D 2026-04-26 FK Dinamo Moskva 2–0 PFK Sochi W 2026-04-22 FK Dinamo Moskva 0–1 FK Rubin Kazan L 2026-04-18 FK Nizhny Novgorod 1–1 FK Dinamo Moskva D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.19 FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.31 FK Dinamo Moskva xG

I would bet for: FK Baltika Kaliningrad or FK Dinamo Moskva 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Baltika Kaliningrad31% Draw29% FK Dinamo Moskva40%

Actual: FK Dinamo Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.5

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	45%	55%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

FK Baltika Kaliningrad or Draw

60%

Draw or FK Dinamo Moskva

69%

FK Baltika Kaliningrad or FK Dinamo Moskva

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Baltika Kaliningrad24% Draw49% FK Dinamo Moskva27%

Actual: FK Dinamo Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.7%

0 – 0

10.3%

0 – 1

9.6%

1 – 0

8.7%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

7.3%

0 – 2

6.8%

2 – 0

5.7%

2 – 2

4.9%

1 – 3

3.6%

3 – 1

0 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Handicap	FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers	Push	FK Dinamo Moskva covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	18%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	20%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	11%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

FK Dinamo Moskva keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.