FC Südtirol vs SS Juve Stabia, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Südtirol vs SS Juve Stabia — Serie B at Stadio M. Druso.
- FC Südtirol 38 games · 41 pts (2026/27)
- SS Juve Stabia 38 games · 51 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Antonio Giua
- Assistant 1 Emanuele Prenna
- Assistant 2 Eugenio Scarpa (Italy)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezia FC | 38 | 82 |
| 2 | Frosinone Calcio | 38 | 81 |
| 3 | AC Monza | 38 | 76 |
| 4 | Palermo FC | 38 | 72 |
| 5 | US Catanzaro | 38 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena FC 2018 | 38 | 55 |
| 7 | SS Juve Stabia | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Calcio Avellino SSD | 38 | 49 |
| 9 | Padova Calcio | 38 | 46 |
| 10 | AC Cesena | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | Mantova 1911 SSD | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Carrarese Calcio | 38 | 44 |
| 13 | UC Sampdoria | 38 | 44 |
| 14 | ACD Virtus Entella | 38 | 42 |
| 15 | Empoli FC | 38 | 41 |
| 16 | FC Südtirol | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | SSC Bari | 38 | 40 |
| 18 | AC Reggiana | 38 | 37 |
| 19 | Delfino Pescara 1936 | 38 | 35 |
| 20 | Spezia Calcio | 38 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | SS Juve Stabia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | US Salernitana 1919 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Apr | AC Cesena | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | Mantova 1911 SSD | A | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Mar | Carrarese Calcio | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Mar | AS Cittadella | A | 5–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | FC Südtirol | A | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Apr | US Cremonese | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Apr | US Salernitana 1919 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | AC Cesena | A | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Modena FC 2018 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | Mantova 1911 SSD | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Südtirol | SS Juve Stabia | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #7 |
| 41 | Points | 51 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 8 / 17 / 13 | W / D / L | 11 / 18 / 9 |
| 38 | Scored | 44 |
| 48 | Conceded | 45 |
| -10 | GD | -1 |
| 1.08 | PPG | 1.34 |
| 21% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FC Südtirol are 16th (41 pts). SS Juve Stabia are 7th (51 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' FC Sudtirol have kicked off against SS Juve Stabia. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Giuseppe Leone is ready to make an impact after coming on for Davide Buglio at the 5 minute mark.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Guido Pagliuca will be considering his options from the bench.
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 18' Raphael Odogwu has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 18 minutes.
- 23' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 28' Romano Floriani has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 33' Simone Davi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 114 appearances.
- 38' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with SS Juve Stabia winning 50% of all matches.
- 42' The referee shows FC Sudtirol player a card on 42.
- 47' The 28-year-old Davide Buglio has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 52' That looks like a foul for a card for Fabio Maistro.
- 56' It’s a booking for SS Juve Stabia player. Leonardo Candellone gets a card.
- 61' It looks surprising FC Sudtirol does not make any changes. Leonardo Candellone has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 63' Another change for SS Juve Stabia made on 63 minute. Kevin Piscopo leaves to be changed by Lorenzo Sgarbi.
- 68' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Sudtirol must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 69' The referee has no hesitation. Christian Pierobon is booked for SS Juve Stabia — card on 69.
- 71' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lorenzo Sgarbi on 71 minutes.
- 73' Fresh legs for FC Sudtirol! Freddie Veseli comes on to replace Andrea Masiello.
- 78' Silvio Merkaj adds to his 0 season tally! FC Sudtirol lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 78' The referee shows FC Sudtirol player a card on 78.
- 80' FC Sudtirol manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luca Belardinelli is hanging Niklas Pyyhtia on the field on 80 minute.
- 84' SS Juve Stabia make a change. Marco Varnier trudges off to be replaced by Marco Bellich on 84 minutes.
- 88' FC Sudtirol make a change. Silvio Merkaj trudges off to be replaced by Gabriele Gori on 88 minutes.
- 90' Poor challenge from Gabriele Gori. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — FC Sudtirol 2-0 SS Juve Stabia.
Lineups
FC Südtirol Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 19
- 17
- 5
- 79
- 31
- 18
- 90
- 24
- 30
- 28
- 33
Bench
- 9
- 7
- 3
- 1
- 20
- 8
- 63
- 2
- 34
- 21
- 14
- 6
Coach
Fabrizio Castori
SS Juve Stabia Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 8
-
24
Marco Varnier ↓ Marco Bellich 84'
- 20
-
11
Kevin Piscopo ↓ Lorenzo Sgarbi 63'
- 10
-
37
Fabio Maistro ↓ Nicola Mosti 63'
- 15
- 45
- 27
- 29
- 4
Bench
- 25
- 28
- 2
-
6
Marco Bellich ↑ 84'
-
7
Edgaras Dubickas ↑ 84'
-
18
Lorenzo Sgarbi ↑ 63'
-
98
Nicola Mosti ↑ 63'
-
55
Giuseppe Leone ↑ 5'
- 1
- 13
- 14
- 80
Coach
Guido Pagliuca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Kofler | 1 |
| Raphael Odogwu | 1 |
| Silvio Merkaj | 1 |
| Alessandro Gabrielloni | 1 |
| Domen Crnigoj | 1 |
| Marco Bellich | 1 |
| Leonardo Candellone | 1 |
FC Südtirol Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.31
FC Südtirol xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
SS Juve Stabia xG
I would bet for:
FC Südtirol or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Südtirol win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
FC Südtirol or Draw
73%
Draw or SS Juve Stabia
56%
FC Südtirol or SS Juve Stabia
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Südtirol win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.9%
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Südtirol
| Handicap | FC Südtirol covers | Push | SS Juve Stabia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 22% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FC Südtirol keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
SS Juve Stabia keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

