Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Porto vs AC Milan, Champions League 2021-22 GROUP STAGE

1 0
Full Time
Tue 19 Oct 2021 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Do Dragao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Porto vs AC MilanChampions League at Estadio Do Dragao.

Match Details

  • Referee Chris Kavanagh
  • Referee Stefan Lupp
  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Referee Mark Borsch
  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Referee Daniel Schlager
8 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
FC Porto 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals AC Milan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct AC Milan H 1–0 W
02 Oct FC Pacos de Ferreira H 2–1 W
28 Sep Liverpool FC H 1–5 L
24 Sep Gil Vicente FC A 2–1 W
19 Sep Moreirense FC H 5–0 W
15 Sep Club Atlético de Madrid A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct FC Porto A 0–1 L
16 Oct Hellas Verona FC H 3–2 W
03 Oct Atalanta BC A 3–2 W
28 Sep Club Atlético de Madrid H 1–2 L
25 Sep Spezia Calcio A 2–1 W
22 Sep Venezia FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! FC Porto vs AC Milan — let the football do the talking.
  • 3' Sergio Oliveira was booked on 3.
  • 4' The referee has no hesitation. Sergio Oliveira is booked for FC Porto — Yellow card on 4.
  • 9' FC Porto are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 14' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 16' The referee shows AC Milan player a Yellow card on 16.
  • 20' The referee calls foul for Olivier Giroud. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 21' Olivier Giroud is having his name booked by the referee on 21.
  • 26' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Pepe suffering a number of foals already.
  • 36' Mateus Uribe has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 4 cards already picked up this season.
  • 38' The referee shows FC Porto player a Yellow card on 38.
  • 43' Supporters expect more eagerness from Fode Ballo-Toure, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Do Dragao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 46' The FC Porto manager makes a substitution. Wendell departs to be replaced by Zaidu Sanusi.
  • 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 58' Another change for AC Milan made on 58 minute. Fode Ballo-Toure leaves to be changed by Pierre Kalulu.
  • 59' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Fikayo Tomori is replaced by Alessio Romagnoli on 59 minute.
  • 64' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 65' GOAL! Luis Diaz scores on 65.
  • 67' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Sandro Tonali by Tiemoue Bakayoko on 67 minute.
  • 72' FC Porto are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 77' A quiet spell here at Estadio Do Dragao. FC Porto seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 82' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Pierre Kalulu.
  • 83' Daniel Maldini is replacing Rade Krunic for the AC Milan side.
  • 84' Fresh legs for FC Porto! Toni Martinez comes on to replace Mehdi Taremi.
  • 87' AC Milan receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 87.
  • 89' The referee calls foul for Rafael Leao. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 90' Time for substitution for FC Porto. Otavio is replaced by Marko Grujic.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.37 FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto47% Draw28% AC Milan25%
Actual: FC Porto win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

FC Porto or Draw
75%
Draw or AC Milan
53%
FC Porto or AC Milan
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto31% Draw50% AC Milan19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.6%
2 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Porto

Handicap FC Porto covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 23% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Porto keeps clean sheet
38%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.