Thursday , 1 October 2026

FC Porto vs AC Milan, Champions League 2021-22 GROUP STAGE

1 – 0
Full Time
Tue 19 Oct 2021 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Do Dragao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Porto vs AC Milan — Champions League at Estadio Do Dragao.

Match Details

  • Referee Chris Kavanagh
  • Referee Stefan Lupp
  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Referee Mark Borsch
  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Referee Daniel Schlager
5 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 12.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
FC Porto 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals AC Milan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct AC Milan H 1–0 W
02 Oct FC Paços de Ferreira H 2–1 W
28 Sep Liverpool FC H 1–5 L
24 Sep Gil Vicente FC A 2–1 W
19 Sep Moreirense FC H 5–0 W
15 Sep Club Atlético de Madrid A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct FC Porto A 0–1 L
16 Oct Hellas Verona FC H 3–2 W
03 Oct Atalanta BC A 3–2 W
28 Sep Club Atlético de Madrid H 1–2 L
25 Sep Spezia Calcio A 2–1 W
22 Sep Venezia FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: AC Milan gets underway.
  • 3' Sergio Oliveira has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 3.
  • 4' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Sergio Oliveira on 4 minutes.
  • 9' The 26-year-old Joao Mario Lopes has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 14' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 16' A meaty challenge results in booking for Fikayo Tomori on 16.
  • 20' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Olivier Giroud on 20 minutes.
  • 21' Olivier Giroud was booked on 21.
  • 26' It’s high time Sergio Conceicao made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 31' Ciprian Tatarusanu, a Romania , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 36' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 38' Mateus Uribe was booked on 38.
  • 43' Italy international Daniel Maldini has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 46' Zaidu Sanusi gets the nod from FC Porto. He replaces Wendell and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Stefano Pioli might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Porto and AC Milan are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 58' The whistle greets Fode Ballo-Toure as he departs to be replaced by Pierre Kalulu.
  • 59' AC Milan make a change. Fikayo Tomori trudges off to be replaced by Alessio Romagnoli on 59 minutes.
  • 64' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 65' FC Porto is taking the lead after the goal scored by Luis Diaz on 65.
  • 67' The whistle greets Sandro Tonali as he departs to be replaced by Tiemoue Bakayoko.
  • 72' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Porto needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 77' Otavio needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 48 Yellow cards this season.
  • 82' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Pierre Kalulu.
  • 83' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Rade Krunic departs to be replaced by Daniel Maldini.
  • 84' Fresh legs for FC Porto! Toni Martinez comes on to replace Mehdi Taremi.
  • 87' Zlatan Ibrahimovic is having his name booked by the referee on 87.
  • 89' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Rafael Leao.
  • 90' It is a substitution in FC Porto team. Otavio is replaced by Marko Grujic on 90 minute.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Porto take all three points.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.37 FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto47% Draw28% AC Milan25%
Actual: FC Porto win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

FC Porto or Draw
75%
Draw or AC Milan
53%
FC Porto or AC Milan
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto31% Draw50% AC Milan19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.6%
2 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Porto

Handicap FC Porto covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 23% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Porto keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.