FC Famalicao vs CF Estrela da Amadora, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Primeira Liga · 2025-26

FC Famalicao

2 – 3

Full Time

CF Estrela da Amadora

Sat 27 Dec 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Famalicao vs CF Estrela da Amadora — Primeira Liga .

FC Famalicao 34 games · 56 pts (2026/27)
CF Estrela da Amadora 33 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Porto	33	85
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	32	80
3	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	33	77
4	Sporting Clube de Braga	32	56
5	FC Famalicao	34	56
6	Gil Vicente FC	33	47
7	Moreirense FC	33	43
8	FC Arouca	33	42
9	GD Estoril Praia	34	39
10	Vitória SC	33	39
11	FC Alverca	33	36
12	Rio Ave FC	33	36
13	CD Santa Clara	33	33
14	CD Nacional	33	31
15	CF Estrela da Amadora	33	30
16	Casa Pia AC	32	30
17	CD Tondela	32	27
18	AVS	33	20

Head-to-Head

FC Famalicao 6 games · Avg 1.5 goals CF Estrela da Amadora

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-27 FC Famalicao 2–3 CF Estrela da Amadora 2025-01-25 FC Famalicao 0–0 CF Estrela da Amadora 2024-08-19 CF Estrela da Amadora 0–3 FC Famalicao 2024-03-16 FC Famalicao 0–0 CF Estrela da Amadora 2023-10-29 CF Estrela da Amadora 1–0 FC Famalicao

Recent Form

FC Famalicao

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Dec	CF Estrela da Amadora	H	2–3	L
22 Dec	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	A	0–1	L
14 Dec	GD Estoril Praia	H	4–0	W
06 Dec	Sporting Clube de Braga	H	1–2	L
29 Nov	Moreirense FC	A	2–2	D
09 Nov	FC Porto	H	0–1	L

CF Estrela da Amadora

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Dec	FC Famalicao	A	3–2	W
20 Dec	Moreirense FC	H	0–0	D
15 Dec	FC Porto	A	1–3	L
07 Dec	FC Arouca	H	3–1	W
30 Nov	Sporting Clube de Portugal	A	0–4	L
09 Nov	CD Nacional	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

FC Famalicao		CF Estrela da Amadora
#5	Position	#15
56	Points	30
34	Played	33
15 / 11 / 8	W / D / L	6 / 12 / 15
42	Scored	37
29	Conceded	54
+13	GD	-17
1.65	PPG	0.91
44%	Win %	18%

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Famalicao are 5th (56 pts). CF Estrela da Amadora are 15th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Famalicao

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

–/1

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: FC Famalicao gets underway.
With this win, CF Estrela da Amadora is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

FC Famalicao Lineups

CF Estrela da Amadora Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Andre Luiz	1
Zaydou Youssouf	1
Mario Gonzalez	1
Marcos Vinicios	1

Head to Head

FC Famalicao Form

2025-12-27 FC Famalicao 2–3 CF Estrela da Amadora L 2025-12-22 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1–0 FC Famalicao L 2025-12-14 FC Famalicao 4–0 GD Estoril Praia W 2025-12-06 FC Famalicao 1–2 Sporting Clube de Braga L 2025-11-29 Moreirense FC 2–2 FC Famalicao D 2025-11-09 FC Famalicao 0–1 FC Porto L

CF Estrela da Amadora Form

2025-12-27 FC Famalicao 2–3 CF Estrela da Amadora W 2025-12-20 CF Estrela da Amadora 0–0 Moreirense FC D 2025-12-15 FC Porto 3–1 CF Estrela da Amadora L 2025-12-07 CF Estrela da Amadora 3–1 FC Arouca W 2025-11-30 Sporting Clube de Portugal 4–0 CF Estrela da Amadora L 2025-11-09 CF Estrela da Amadora 1–1 CD Nacional D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.83 FC Famalicao xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.03 CF Estrela da Amadora xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Famalicao48% Draw26% CF Estrela da Amadora26%

Actual: CF Estrela da Amadora win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.86

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

FC Famalicao or Draw

75%

Draw or CF Estrela da Amadora

52%

FC Famalicao or CF Estrela da Amadora

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Famalicao39% Draw44% CF Estrela da Amadora17%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

11.6%

1 – 0

9.7%

2 – 1

9.5%

2 – 0

9.4%

0 – 0

7.5%

3 – 1

5.8%

3 – 0

5.6%

1 – 2

5.3%

0 – 1

2 – 2

4.9%

3 – 2

3.1%

0 – 2

Asian Handicap — FC Famalicao

Handicap	FC Famalicao covers	Push	CF Estrela da Amadora covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	17%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	23%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	12%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

FC Famalicao keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

CF Estrela da Amadora keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.