Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Porto vs CF Estrela da Amadora, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Mon 15 Dec 2025 · 20:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Porto vs CF Estrela da AmadoraPrimeira Liga .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec CF Estrela da Amadora H 3–1 W
11 Dec Malmo FF H 2–1 W
07 Dec CD Tondela A 2–0 W
30 Nov GD Estoril Praia H 1–0 W
27 Nov OGC Nice H 3–0 W
09 Nov FC Famalicão A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec FC Porto A 1–3 L
07 Dec FC Arouca H 3–1 W
30 Nov Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–4 L
09 Nov CD Nacional H 1–1 D
01 Nov Casa Pia AC A 5–3 W
25 Oct Rio Ave FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

FC Porto CF Estrela da Amadora
#1 Position #15
88 Points 30
34 Played 34
28 / 4 / 2 W / D / L 6 / 12 / 16
66 Scored 38
18 Conceded 56
+48 GD -18
2.59 PPG 0.88
82% Win % 18%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
62% Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season
24% Clean Sheets
CF Estrela da Amadora this season

FC Porto are 1st (88 pts). CF Estrela da Amadora are 15th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Porto
0-15
1/
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CF Estrela da Amadora
0-15
2/1
16-30
/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
/2
61-75
/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Porto Lineups

CF Estrela da Amadora Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.59 FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69 CF Estrela da Amadora xG
I would bet for: FC Porto to win 73% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto73% Draw17% CF Estrela da Amadora10%
Actual: FC Porto win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

FC Porto or Draw
90%
Draw or CF Estrela da Amadora
27%
FC Porto or CF Estrela da Amadora
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto56% Draw36% CF Estrela da Amadora8%
Actual: FC Porto win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.6%
3 – 0
10.6%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 1
7.3%
3 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
5.1%
4 – 1
4.8%
5 – 0
3.6%
2 – 2
2.9%
5 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Porto

Handicap FC Porto covers Push CF Estrela da Amadora covers
-2.5 34% 66%
-2 34% 22% 44%
-1.5 56% 44%
-1 56% 21% 23%
-0.5 77% 23%
+0.5 93% 7%
+1 93% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Porto keeps clean sheet
50%
CF Estrela da Amadora keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.