Thursday , 2 July 2026

CF Estrela da Amadora vs FC Arouca, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CF Estrela da Amadora vs FC AroucaPrimeira Liga .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec FC Arouca H 3–1 W
30 Nov Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–4 L
09 Nov CD Nacional H 1–1 D
01 Nov Casa Pia AC A 5–3 W
25 Oct Rio Ave FC H 1–2 L
04 Oct Gil Vicente FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec CF Estrela da Amadora A 1–3 L
01 Dec Sporting Clube de Braga H 0–4 L
07 Nov GD Estoril Praia A 3–4 L
02 Nov Moreirense FC H 0–2 L
25 Oct Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–5 L
05 Oct FC Famalicão H 1–1 D

Season Stats

CF Estrela da Amadora FC Arouca
#15 Position #8
30 Points 42
34 Played 34
6 / 12 / 16 W / D / L 12 / 6 / 16
38 Scored 47
56 Conceded 64
-18 GD -17
0.88 PPG 1.24
18% Win % 35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
CF Estrela da Amadora this season
21% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season

CF Estrela da Amadora are 15th (30 pts). FC Arouca are 8th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CF Estrela da Amadora
0-15
2/1
16-30
/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
/2
61-75
/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Arouca
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/
61-75
2/4
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

CF Estrela da Amadora Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.05 CF Estrela da Amadora xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 FC Arouca xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CF Estrela da Amadora52% Draw23% FC Arouca25%
Actual: CF Estrela da Amadora win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

CF Estrela da Amadora or Draw
74%
Draw or FC Arouca
48%
CF Estrela da Amadora or FC Arouca
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CF Estrela da Amadora37% Draw40% FC Arouca23%
Actual: CF Estrela da Amadora win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.2%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — CF Estrela da Amadora

Handicap CF Estrela da Amadora covers Push FC Arouca covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 15% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 20% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

CF Estrela da Amadora keeps clean sheet
23%
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.