CF Estrela da Amadora vs FC Arouca, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CF Estrela da Amadora vs FC Arouca — Primeira Liga .
- CF Estrela da Amadora 34 games · 30 pts (2025/26)
- FC Arouca 34 games · 42 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | FC Arouca | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Nov | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 0–4 | L |
| 09 Nov | CD Nacional | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Nov | Casa Pia AC | A | 5–3 | W |
| 25 Oct | Rio Ave FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Oct | Gil Vicente FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | CF Estrela da Amadora | A | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Dec | Sporting Clube de Braga | H | 0–4 | L |
| 07 Nov | GD Estoril Praia | A | 3–4 | L |
| 02 Nov | Moreirense FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Oct | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 0–5 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC Famalicão | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| CF Estrela da Amadora | FC Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #8 |
| 30 | Points | 42 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 6 / 12 / 16 | W / D / L | 12 / 6 / 16 |
| 38 | Scored | 47 |
| 56 | Conceded | 64 |
| -18 | GD | -17 |
| 0.88 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 18% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
CF Estrela da Amadora this season
CF Estrela da Amadora this season
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
FC Arouca this season
CF Estrela da Amadora are 15th (30 pts). FC Arouca are 8th (42 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CF Estrela da Amadora
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Arouca
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/4
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: FC Arouca gets underway.
- With this win, CF Estrela da Amadora is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
CF Estrela da Amadora Lineups
FC Arouca Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jason | 2 |
| Kialonda Gaspar | 1 |
| Rodrigo Pinho | 1 |
| Tiago Esgaio | 1 |
| Dylan Nandin | 1 |
| Francisco Montero | 1 |
| Andre Bukia | 1 |
| Rafa Mujica | 1 |
Head to Head
CF Estrela da Amadora Form
2025-12-07
CF Estrela da Amadora
3–1
FC Arouca
W
2025-11-30
Sporting Clube de Portugal
4–0
CF Estrela da Amadora
L
2025-11-09
CF Estrela da Amadora
1–1
CD Nacional
D
2025-11-01
Casa Pia AC
3–5
CF Estrela da Amadora
W
2025-10-25
CF Estrela da Amadora
1–2
Rio Ave FC
L
2025-10-04
Gil Vicente FC
2–0
CF Estrela da Amadora
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.05
CF Estrela da Amadora xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52
FC Arouca xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CF Estrela da Amadora win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.57
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
CF Estrela da Amadora or Draw
74%
Draw or FC Arouca
48%
CF Estrela da Amadora or FC Arouca
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CF Estrela da Amadora win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.2%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — CF Estrela da Amadora
| Handicap | CF Estrela da Amadora covers | Push | FC Arouca covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 15% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 20% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 15% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
CF Estrela da Amadora keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

