1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Erzgebirge Aue, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

1. FSV Mainz 05

3 – 1

Full Time

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Sun 10 Sep 2017 · 16:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Erzgebirge Aue — Bundesliga .

1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts
FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

1. FSV Mainz 05 1.70

Draw 3.75

FC Erzgebirge Aue 5.00

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · Avg 3.2 goals FC Erzgebirge Aue

Last 5 meetings

2017-09-10 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2016-02-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2015-09-20 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2015-05-02 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–2 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2014-12-06 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–4 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Sep	FC Erzgebirge Aue	H	3–1	W
27 Aug	1. FC Nurnberg	A	0–1	L
19 Aug	TuS Erndtebruck	H	2–0	W
14 Aug	CD Feirense	A	2–0	W
20 May	1. FC Koln	A	1–1	D
13 May	TuS Dassendorf	H	1–1	D

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Sep	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	1–3	L
26 Aug	SV Linx 1949	H	1–0	W
19 Aug	SV Sandhausen 1916	A	0–2	L
13 Aug	CS Maritimo	A	2–2	D
21 May	FC Groningen	H	4–1	W
14 May	1. FC Nurnberg	A	0–1	L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. FC Erzgebirge Aue kicks off things out of here…
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC Erzgebirge Aue.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Alexandru Maxim	2
Alexandru Maxim	2
Delano Burgzorg	1
Marcus Ingvartsen	1
Pascal Testroet	1
Robin Quaison	1
Pascal Testroet	1
Robin Quaison	1

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2017-09-10 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue W 2017-08-27 1. FC Nurnberg 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2017-08-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TuS Erndtebruck W 2017-08-14 CD Feirense 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2017-05-20 1. FC Koln 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2017-05-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 TuS Dassendorf D

FC Erzgebirge Aue Form

2017-09-10 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2017-08-26 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–0 SV Linx 1949 W 2017-08-19 SV Sandhausen 1916 2–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2017-08-13 CS Maritimo 2–2 FC Erzgebirge Aue D 2017-05-21 FC Erzgebirge Aue 4–1 FC Groningen W 2017-05-14 1. FC Nurnberg 1–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.84 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.92 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0559% Draw24% FC Erzgebirge Aue17%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.76

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

83%

Draw or FC Erzgebirge Aue

41%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Erzgebirge Aue

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0541% Draw45% FC Erzgebirge Aue14%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.6%

1 – 0

10.9%

2 – 0

10.5%

2 – 1

9.5%

0 – 0

8.2%

3 – 0

6.3%

3 – 1

Actual

0 – 1

1 – 2

4.7%

2 – 2

4.4%

4 – 0

2.9%

3 – 2

2.8%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	18%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	24%	43%
-0.5	57%	—	43%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	11%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

40% ✓

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.