Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs MSV Duisburg, 2017

1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017
1. FSV Mainz 05
3 – 2
Full Time
MSV Duisburg
Wed 13 Dec 2017 · 20:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs MSV Duisburg — Bundesliga .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

1. FSV Mainz 05 1.83
Draw 3.60
MSV Duisburg 4.50

Head-to-Head

4
3
1
1. FSV Mainz 05 8 games · Avg 2.4 goals MSV Duisburg
Last 5 meetings
2017-12-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–2 MSV Duisburg 2017-03-12 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–0 MSV Duisburg 2016-10-15 MSV Duisburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2016-05-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 MSV Duisburg 2015-12-13 MSV Duisburg 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Dec MSV Duisburg H 3–2 W
09 Dec VfB Stuttgart A 1–1 D
02 Dec Karlsruher SC H 2–2 D
25 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 4–4 D
19 Nov TuS Dassendorf H 2–0 W
04 Nov Hamburger SV A 1–0 W
MSV Duisburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–3 L
10 Dec SV Sandhausen 1916 H 1–1 D
02 Dec SV Linx 1949 A 3–1 W
25 Nov 1. CfR Pforzheim H 2–1 W
18 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 0–3 L
04 Nov SV Drochtersen/Assel H 1–1 D

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

MSV Duisburg Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

2017-12-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–2 MSV Duisburg 2017-03-12 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–0 MSV Duisburg 2016-10-15 MSV Duisburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2016-05-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 MSV Duisburg 2015-12-13 MSV Duisburg 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2017-12-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–2 MSV Duisburg W 2017-12-09 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2017-12-02 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Karlsruher SC D 2017-11-25 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2017-11-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TuS Dassendorf W 2017-11-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W

MSV Duisburg Form

2017-12-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–2 MSV Duisburg L 2017-12-10 MSV Duisburg 1–1 SV Sandhausen 1916 D 2017-12-02 SV Linx 1949 1–3 MSV Duisburg W 2017-11-25 MSV Duisburg 2–1 1. CfR Pforzheim W 2017-11-18 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 MSV Duisburg L 2017-11-04 MSV Duisburg 1–1 SV Drochtersen/Assel D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.77 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 MSV Duisburg xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0550% Draw24% MSV Duisburg26%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
75%
Draw or MSV Duisburg
50%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or MSV Duisburg
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0535% Draw43% MSV Duisburg22%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push MSV Duisburg covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 21% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.