FC Erzgebirge Aue vs VfL Wolfsburg, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

FC Erzgebirge Aue

0 – 1

Full Time

VfL Wolfsburg

Sat 16 Dec 2017 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Erzgebirge Aue vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga .

FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts
VfL Wolfsburg 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FC Erzgebirge Aue 10.00

Draw 5.00

VfL Wolfsburg 1.33

Head-to-Head

FC Erzgebirge Aue 6 games · Avg 3.0 goals VfL Wolfsburg

Last 5 meetings

2017-12-16 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2016-04-09 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg 2015-11-07 VfL Wolfsburg 4–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2015-02-07 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg 2014-09-13 VfL Wolfsburg 2–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue

Recent Form

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Dec	VfL Wolfsburg	H	0–1	L
13 Dec	SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	A	0–1	L
08 Dec	SV Drochtersen/Assel	H	0–2	L
02 Dec	Wroxham FC	A	0–1	L
24 Nov	1. FC Nurnberg	A	1–1	D
17 Nov	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	2–1	W

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Dec	FC Erzgebirge Aue	A	1–0	W
13 Dec	Karlsruher SC	H	1–0	W
09 Dec	FC Hansa Rostock	A	1–0	W
02 Dec	1. FC Nurnberg	H	3–1	W
25 Nov	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–2	L
18 Nov	MSV Duisburg	H	3–0	W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. FC Erzgebirge Aue kicks off things out of here…
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC Erzgebirge Aue.

Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

FC Erzgebirge Aue Form

2017-12-16 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg L 2017-12-13 SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 1–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2017-12-08 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–2 SV Drochtersen/Assel L 2017-12-02 Wroxham FC 1–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2017-11-24 1. FC Nurnberg 1–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue D 2017-11-17 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2017-12-16 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg W 2017-12-13 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 Karlsruher SC W 2017-12-09 FC Hansa Rostock 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg W 2017-12-02 VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 1. FC Nurnberg W 2017-11-25 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 VfL Wolfsburg L 2017-11-18 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 MSV Duisburg W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

0.83 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.38 VfL Wolfsburg xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Erzgebirge Aue22% Draw29% VfL Wolfsburg49%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes43% 0% No57%

Avg goals/match: 2.21

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

FC Erzgebirge Aue or Draw

51%

Draw or VfL Wolfsburg

78%

FC Erzgebirge Aue or VfL Wolfsburg

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Erzgebirge Aue16% Draw51% VfL Wolfsburg33%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

13.4%

0 – 0

13.2%

0 – 2

10.1%

1 – 2

8.4%

1 – 0

7.9%

2 – 1

0 – 3

4.6%

1 – 3

2 – 2

3.6%

2 – 0

3.6%

2 – 3

1.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Erzgebirge Aue

Handicap	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers	Push	VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	5%	93%
-1.5	7%	—	93%
-1	7%	14%	79%
-0.5	21%	—	79%
+0.5	52%	—	48%
+1	52%	24%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	15%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

44% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.