FC Erzgebirge Aue vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, 2015

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1. Bundesliga 2015/16 · 2015

FC Erzgebirge Aue

0 – 1

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sun 20 Sep 2015 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Erzgebirge Aue vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts
1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FC Erzgebirge Aue 2.63

Draw 3.50

1. FSV Mainz 05 2.60

Head-to-Head

FC Erzgebirge Aue 9 games · Avg 3.2 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2015-09-20 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2015-05-02 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–2 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2014-12-06 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 1996-08-17 FC Erzgebirge Aue 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Sep	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	0–1	L
12 Sep	SV Sandhausen 1916	A	1–2	L
29 Aug	FC Hansa Rostock	H	1–4	L
22 Aug	TuS Dassendorf	A	2–3	L
16 Aug	Karlsruher SC	H	1–3	L
23 May	CD Santa Clara	A	2–1	W

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Sep	FC Erzgebirge Aue	A	1–0	W
13 Sep	SV Linx 1949	H	2–1	W
28 Aug	1. CfR Pforzheim	A	0–3	L
22 Aug	RB Leipzig	H	1–1	D
15 Aug	Wroxham FC	A	3–0	W
23 May	TuS Dassendorf	A	0–2	L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . FC Erzgebirge Aue are looking to make home advantage count against 1. FSV Mainz 05.
The points are shared — FC Erzgebirge Aue 0-1 1. FSV Mainz 05. Honours even.

Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Alexandru Maxim	2
Alexandru Maxim	2
Pascal Testroet	1
Robin Quaison	1
Pascal Testroet	1
Robin Quaison	1
Dominik Kohr	1
Delano Burgzorg	1

Head to Head

FC Erzgebirge Aue Form

2015-09-20 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2015-09-12 SV Sandhausen 1916 2–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2015-08-29 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–4 FC Hansa Rostock L 2015-08-22 TuS Dassendorf 3–2 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2015-08-16 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–3 Karlsruher SC L 2015-05-23 CD Santa Clara 1–2 FC Erzgebirge Aue W

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2015-09-20 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2015-09-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 SV Linx 1949 W 2015-08-28 1. CfR Pforzheim 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2015-08-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 RB Leipzig D 2015-08-15 Wroxham FC 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2015-05-23 TuS Dassendorf 2–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 3

1.22 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.47 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: FC Erzgebirge Aue or 1. FSV Mainz 05 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Erzgebirge Aue30% Draw28% 1. FSV Mainz 0542%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.69

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

FC Erzgebirge Aue or Draw

58%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

70%

FC Erzgebirge Aue or 1. FSV Mainz 05

72%

Half-Time Result

FC Erzgebirge Aue23% Draw47% 1. FSV Mainz 0530%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.1%

0 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

8.7%

1 – 2

8.6%

1 – 0

7.2%

0 – 2

7.2%

2 – 1

7.1%

2 – 2

5.3%

2 – 0

4.9%

1 – 3

4.3%

0 – 3

3.5%

3 – 1

2.9%

Asian Handicap — FC Erzgebirge Aue

Handicap	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	9%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	17%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	21%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	13%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

30% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.