Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 18 Apr 2026 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium 25,513 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 26' Hugo Cuypers
Tom Barlow 42' 1–1
1–2 45+5' Philip Zinckernagel pen
1–3 48' Hugo Cuypers
Evander pen 79' 2–3
Dje Davilla og 86' 3–3

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Malik Badawi (USA)
  • Assistant 1 Justin Howard (USA)
6 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Chicago Fire FC H 3–3 D
11 Apr Toronto FC A 1–1 D
04 Apr New York Red Bulls A 2–4 L
22 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 4–3 W
15 Mar New England Revolution A 1–6 L
08 Mar Toronto FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr FC Cincinnati A 3–3 D
12 Apr Atlanta United FC H 1–0 W
05 Apr Nashville SC H 1–0 W
21 Mar Philadelphia Union A 2–1 W
15 Mar D.C. United SC H 1–2 L
08 Mar Columbus Crew SC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Chicago Fire FC
#9 Position #5
33 Points 42
26 Played 26
8 / 9 / 9 W / D / L 12 / 6 / 8
55 Scored 46
64 Conceded 38
-9 GD +8
1.27 PPG 1.62
31% Win % 46%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
31% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 5th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
7/2
16-30
7/5
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/6
61-75
8/–
76+
3/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 14 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 7 G 2 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A
Chicago Fire FC
Hugo Cuypers 11 G
Maren Haile-Selassie 8 G 3 A
Philip Zinckernagel 5 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past Chicago Fire FC's compact 4-4-2.
  • 7' That is a card for FC Cincinnati. Samuel Gidi will be fuming at that decision.
  • 11' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tom Barlow.
  • 16' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gregg Berhalter will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 21' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joel Waterman made 291 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 26' A stunning finish from Hugo Cuypers — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 31' Ender Echenique needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 36' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Chicago Fire FC that had 286 games and scored 408 goals.
  • 41' Nick Hagglund has been relatively quiet despite scoring 13 goals in his last 292 appearances.
  • 42' Tom Barlow has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 42 minutes.
  • 46' Teenage Hadebe is replacing Gilberto Flores for the FC Cincinnati side.
  • 48' A goal from the Belgium international Hugo Cuypers! He fires home on 48 to make it 1-2!
  • 50' Philip Zinckernagel does the damage! The net is bulging and Chicago Fire FC surge ahead!
  • 55' Roman Celentano has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 60' Supporters expect more eagerness from Chris Brady, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 64' Alvas Powell is ready to make an impact after coming on for Miles Robinson at the 64 minute mark.
  • 69' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 70' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Tom Barlow exits the field as Ayoub Jabbari enters on 70.
  • 73' Fresh legs for Chicago Fire FC! Joel Waterman comes on to replace Philip Zinckernagel.
  • 78' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Cincinnati needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 79' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Evander makes it 2-3.
  • 83' Chicago Fire FC ring the changes. Robin Lod has done his job and it is now time for Puso Dithejane to step up.
  • 86' Dje Davilla is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
  • 86' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Kenji Mboma departs to be replaced by Kyle Smith.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Bryan Ramirez on 90 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
  • 90' Viktor Radojevic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Maren Haile-Selassie at the 90 minute mark.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.2 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.35 Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati39% Draw22% Chicago Fire FC39%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
62%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
61%
FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati31% Draw35% Chicago Fire FC34%
Actual: Chicago Fire FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.3%
1 – 1
6.2%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
4.9%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
Actual
2 – 4
3.1%
0 – 2
3.1%
1 – 4
2.9%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Chicago Fire FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 11% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 16% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 17% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 13% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.