Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 18 Apr 2026 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium 25,513 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 26' Hugo Cuypers
Tom Barlow 42' 1–1
1–2 45+5' Philip Zinckernagel pen
1–3 48' Hugo Cuypers
Evander pen 79' 2–3
Dje Davilla og 86' 3–3

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FCMLS at TQL Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Malik Badawi (USA)
  • Assistant 1 Justin Howard (USA)
5 games this season 🟨 3.2/game 13.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Chicago Fire FC H 3–3 D
11 Apr Toronto FC A 1–1 D
04 Apr New York Red Bulls A 2–4 L
22 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 4–3 W
15 Mar New England Revolution A 1–6 L
08 Mar Toronto FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr FC Cincinnati A 3–3 D
12 Apr Atlanta United FC H 1–0 W
05 Apr Nashville SC H 1–0 W
21 Mar Philadelphia Union A 2–1 W
15 Mar D.C. United SC H 1–2 L
08 Mar Columbus Crew SC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Chicago Fire FC
#7 Position #3
20 Points 26
15 Played 14
5 / 5 / 5 W / D / L 8 / 2 / 4
36 Scored 27
37 Conceded 16
-1 GD +11
1.33 PPG 1.86
33% Win % 57%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
50% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 3rd (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
3/
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at TQL Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' FC Cincinnati seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 7' FC Cincinnati player sees a card in front of him.
  • 11' Tom Barlow is having his name booked by the referee on 11.
  • 16' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 16.
  • 21' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Cincinnati needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 26' Goal! Hugo Cuypers scores his 76 goal in 223 matches.
  • 31' It’s high time Gregg Berhalter made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 36' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 41' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 42' GOAL! Tom Barlow scores on 42.
  • 46' Teenage Hadebe is replacing Gilberto Flores for the FC Cincinnati side.
  • 48' Hugo Cuypers with the second goal in the match!
  • 50' GOAL! Philip Zinckernagel scores on 45.
  • 55' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 55 minutes.
  • 60' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Evander suffering a number of foals already.
  • 64' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Miles Robinson is replaced by Alvas Powell on 64 minute.
  • 69' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 70' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ayoub Jabbari is hanging Tom Barlow on the field on 70 minute.
  • 73' Another change for Chicago Fire FC made on 73 minute. Philip Zinckernagel leaves to be changed by Joel Waterman.
  • 78' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Chicago Fire FC that had 275 games and scored 393 goals.
  • 79' Goal! Evander scores his 55 goal in 287 matches.
  • 83' Puso Dithejane has so much to prove this time. He replaces Robin Lod on 83 minute.
  • 86' Goal! Dje Davilla scores his 3 goal in 275 matches.
  • 86' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 86 minute. Kenji Mboma leaves to be changed by Kyle Smith.
  • 90' Bryan Ramirez is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Viktor Radojevic. He replaces Maren Haile-Selassie on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 3-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.05 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.44 Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati37% Draw22% Chicago Fire FC41%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 64%
36%
± 4.5 46%
54%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
59%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
63%
FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati28% Draw35% Chicago Fire FC37%
Actual: Chicago Fire FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 1
6.4%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 3
5.4%
1 – 3
5.4%
3 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 3
Actual
0 – 2
3.5%
2 – 4
3.3%
1 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Chicago Fire FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 10% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 15% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 53% 47%
+1 53% 18% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 14% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10%
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.