FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 23 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Chicago Fire FC 23 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Malik Badawi (USA)
- Assistant 1 Justin Howard (USA)
5 games this season
🟨 3.2/game
⚽ 13.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 24 | 53 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 24 | 44 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 24 | 40 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 23 | 39 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 24 | 39 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 23 | 31 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 24 | 31 |
| 8 | Philadelphia Union | 24 | 30 |
| 9 | New York City FC | 24 | 29 |
| 10 | Toronto FC | 24 | 29 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 23 | 28 |
| 12 | New York Red Bulls | 24 | 27 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew SC | 24 | 23 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 24 | 22 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 24 | 21 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 23 | 46 |
| 17 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | 43 |
| 18 | Los Angeles FC | 25 | 40 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 24 | 40 |
| 20 | San Jose Earthquakes | 24 | 38 |
| 21 | St. Louis City | 24 | 38 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 24 | 32 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids SC | 24 | 32 |
| 24 | San Diego FC | 24 | 30 |
| 25 | Real Salt Lake | 23 | 29 |
| 26 | Minnesota United FC | 24 | 29 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 25 | 29 |
| 28 | Seattle Sounders FC | 22 | 27 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 24 | 26 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 23 | 15 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 11 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 15 Mar | New England Revolution | A | 1–6 | L |
| 08 Mar | Toronto FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | FC Cincinnati | A | 3–3 | D |
| 12 Apr | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | Nashville SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | Philadelphia Union | A | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | D.C. United SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Chicago Fire FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #4 |
| 31 | Points | 39 |
| 23 | Played | 23 |
| 8 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 6 / 6 |
| 49 | Scored | 44 |
| 56 | Conceded | 33 |
| -7 | GD | +11 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.70 |
| 35% | Win % | 48% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
30%
Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season
Chicago Fire FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (31 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 4th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
5/7
31-45
9/8
46-60
4/9
61-75
2/2
76+
11/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
7/2
16-30
7/5
31-45
3/6
46-60
3/5
61-75
7/–
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 11 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 6 G | 1 A |
Chicago Fire FC
| Hugo Cuypers | 11 G | |
| Maren Haile-Selassie | 7 G | 3 A |
| Philip Zinckernagel | 5 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. FC Cincinnati host Chicago Fire FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' With 1 assists to his name this season, Kenji Mboma is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Chicago Fire FC.
- 7' Poor challenge from Samuel Gidi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 11' Tom Barlow was booked on 11.
- 16' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 21' Chicago Fire FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 21.
- 26' What composure from Hugo Cuypers! The Belgium international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 31' Viktor Radojevic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Dje Davilla made 280 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 41' FC Cincinnati seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 42' A goal from the USA international Tom Barlow! He fires home on 42 to make it 1-1!
- 46' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Teenage Hadebe comes on to replace Gilberto Flores.
- 48' What a strike from Hugo Cuypers! The score is 1-2.
- 50' Philip Zinckernagel makes no mistake. The score reads 1-3 and Chicago Fire FC are in front.
- 55' Chicago Fire FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 60' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 64' The whistle greets Miles Robinson as he departs to be replaced by Alvas Powell.
- 69' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past Chicago Fire FC's compact 4-4-2.
- 70' Ayoub Jabbari is replacing Tom Barlow for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 73' Joel Waterman has so much to prove this time. He replaces Philip Zinckernagel on 73 minute.
- 78' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gilberto Flores suffering a number of foals already.
- 79' The Brazil Evander breaks the deadlock on 79 minutes. 2-3!
- 83' It is a substitution in Chicago Fire FC team. Robin Lod is replaced by Puso Dithejane on 83 minute.
- 86' The deadlock is broken! Dje Davilla gets on the scoresheet on 86 minutes.
- 86' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Kenji Mboma exits the field as Kyle Smith enters on 86.
- 90' A moment of madness from Bryan Ramirez on 90 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
- 90' The whistle greets Maren Haile-Selassie as he departs to be replaced by Viktor Radojevic.
- It finishes all square. FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire FC share the spoils 3-3.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 10
- 4
-
12
Miles Robinson ↓ Alvas Powell 64'
- 20
-
16
Tom Barlow ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 70'
- 18
-
17
Kenji Mboma ↓ Kyle Smith 86'
- 3
- 66
- 11
- 29
Bench
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 64'
-
24
Kyle Smith ↑ 86'
-
15
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 46'
- 27
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 70'
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 70'
Coach
Pat Noonan
Chicago Fire FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
17
Robin Lod ↓ Puso Dithejane 83'
- 6
- 3
- 7
- 15
- 11
- 1
- 9
-
24
Jonathan Dean ↓ Dylan Borso 83'
- 42
- 4
Bench
- 44
-
16
Joel Waterman ↑ 73'
- 22
- 35
- 29
-
27
Dylan Borso ↑ 83'
- 20
-
12
Puso Dithejane ↑ 83'
-
14
Viktor Radojevic ↑ 90'
Coach
Gregg Berhalter
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evander | 7 |
| Hugo Cuypers | 5 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Jhon Duran | 3 |
| Brian Gutierrez | 3 |
| Robert Beric | 3 |
| Junior Moreno | 2 |
| Philip Zinckernagel | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Chicago Fire FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.19
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.45
Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.64
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
60%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
62%
FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Chicago Fire FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.3%
1 – 1
5.9%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 3
5.4%
1 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 3
Actual
2 – 4
3.3%
1 – 4
3.1%
0 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Chicago Fire FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 15% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 17% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 13% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

