FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Chicago Fire FC 26 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Malik Badawi (USA)
- Assistant 1 Justin Howard (USA)
6 games this season
🟨 3.5/game
⚽ 11.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 11 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 15 Mar | New England Revolution | A | 1–6 | L |
| 08 Mar | Toronto FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | FC Cincinnati | A | 3–3 | D |
| 12 Apr | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | Nashville SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | Philadelphia Union | A | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | D.C. United SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Chicago Fire FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #5 |
| 33 | Points | 42 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 12 / 6 / 8 |
| 55 | Scored | 46 |
| 64 | Conceded | 38 |
| -9 | GD | +8 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.62 |
| 31% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
31%
Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season
Chicago Fire FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 5th (42 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
7/2
16-30
7/5
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/6
61-75
8/–
76+
3/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Chicago Fire FC
| Hugo Cuypers | 11 G | |
| Maren Haile-Selassie | 8 G | 3 A |
| Philip Zinckernagel | 5 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past Chicago Fire FC's compact 4-4-2.
- 7' That is a card for FC Cincinnati. Samuel Gidi will be fuming at that decision.
- 11' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tom Barlow.
- 16' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gregg Berhalter will be considering his options from the bench.
- 21' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joel Waterman made 291 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 26' A stunning finish from Hugo Cuypers — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 31' Ender Echenique needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 36' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Chicago Fire FC that had 286 games and scored 408 goals.
- 41' Nick Hagglund has been relatively quiet despite scoring 13 goals in his last 292 appearances.
- 42' Tom Barlow has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 42 minutes.
- 46' Teenage Hadebe is replacing Gilberto Flores for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 48' A goal from the Belgium international Hugo Cuypers! He fires home on 48 to make it 1-2!
- 50' Philip Zinckernagel does the damage! The net is bulging and Chicago Fire FC surge ahead!
- 55' Roman Celentano has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 60' Supporters expect more eagerness from Chris Brady, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 64' Alvas Powell is ready to make an impact after coming on for Miles Robinson at the 64 minute mark.
- 69' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 70' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Tom Barlow exits the field as Ayoub Jabbari enters on 70.
- 73' Fresh legs for Chicago Fire FC! Joel Waterman comes on to replace Philip Zinckernagel.
- 78' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Cincinnati needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 79' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Evander makes it 2-3.
- 83' Chicago Fire FC ring the changes. Robin Lod has done his job and it is now time for Puso Dithejane to step up.
- 86' Dje Davilla is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
- 86' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Kenji Mboma departs to be replaced by Kyle Smith.
- 90' A moment of madness from Bryan Ramirez on 90 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
- 90' Viktor Radojevic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Maren Haile-Selassie at the 90 minute mark.
- Game over. The scoreline of 3-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 10
- 4
-
12
Miles Robinson ↓ Alvas Powell 64'
- 20
-
16
Tom Barlow ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 70'
- 18
-
17
Kenji Mboma ↓ Kyle Smith 86'
- 3
- 66
- 11
- 29
Bench
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 64'
-
24
Kyle Smith ↑ 86'
-
15
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 46'
- 27
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 70'
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 70'
Coach
Pat Noonan
Chicago Fire FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
17
Robin Lod ↓ Puso Dithejane 83'
- 6
- 3
- 7
- 15
- 11
- 1
- 9
-
24
Jonathan Dean ↓ Dylan Borso 83'
- 42
- 4
Bench
- 44
-
16
Joel Waterman ↑ 73'
- 22
- 35
- 29
-
27
Dylan Borso ↑ 83'
- 20
-
12
Puso Dithejane ↑ 83'
-
14
Viktor Radojevic ↑ 90'
Coach
Gregg Berhalter
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evander | 7 |
| Hugo Cuypers | 5 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Brian Gutierrez | 3 |
| Robert Beric | 3 |
| Jhon Duran | 3 |
| Ignacio Aliseda | 2 |
| Alvaro Medran | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Chicago Fire FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.2
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.35
Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.55
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 4.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
62%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
61%
FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Chicago Fire FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.3%
1 – 1
6.2%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
4.9%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
Actual
2 – 4
3.1%
0 – 2
3.1%
1 – 4
2.9%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Chicago Fire FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 11% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 16% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 17% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 13% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

