Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 18 Apr 2026 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium 25,513 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 26' Hugo Cuypers
Tom Barlow 42' 1–1
1–2 45+5' Philip Zinckernagel pen
1–3 48' Hugo Cuypers
Evander pen 79' 2–3
Dje Davilla og 86' 3–3

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Malik Badawi (USA)
  • Assistant 1 Justin Howard (USA)
8 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 14.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Chicago Fire FC H 3–3 D
11 Apr Toronto FC A 1–1 D
04 Apr New York Red Bulls A 2–4 L
22 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 4–3 W
15 Mar New England Revolution A 1–6 L
08 Mar Toronto FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr FC Cincinnati A 3–3 D
12 Apr Atlanta United FC H 1–0 W
05 Apr Nashville SC H 1–0 W
21 Mar Philadelphia Union A 2–1 W
15 Mar D.C. United SC H 1–2 L
08 Mar Columbus Crew SC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Chicago Fire FC
#8 Position #4
46 Points 55
34 Played 34
12 / 10 / 12 W / D / L 16 / 7 / 11
67 Scored 64
75 Conceded 54
-8 GD +10
1.35 PPG 1.62
35% Win % 47%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
24% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 4th (55 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
9/4
16-30
9/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
10/9
61-75
10/4
76+
6/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 17 G 2 A
Evander 14 G 13 A
Tom Barlow 10 G 4 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A
Chicago Fire FC
Maren Haile-Selassie 13 G 5 A
Hugo Cuypers 12 G
Hugo Cuypers 11 G
Robert Lewandowski 9 G 3 A
Philip Zinckernagel 5 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.21 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.28 Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati40% Draw22% Chicago Fire FC38%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 64%
36%
± 4.5 46%
54%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
63%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
60%
FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati31% Draw36% Chicago Fire FC33%
Actual: Chicago Fire FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
5%
1 – 3
4.8%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 3
Actual
0 – 2
3.1%
2 – 4
3%
2 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Chicago Fire FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 11% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 16% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 17% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 12% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.