FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Chicago Fire FC 34 games · 55 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Malik Badawi (USA)
- Assistant 1 Justin Howard (USA)
8 games this season
🟨 3.8/game
⚽ 14.1 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 11 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 15 Mar | New England Revolution | A | 1–6 | L |
| 08 Mar | Toronto FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | FC Cincinnati | A | 3–3 | D |
| 12 Apr | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | Nashville SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | Philadelphia Union | A | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | D.C. United SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Chicago Fire FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #4 |
| 46 | Points | 55 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 16 / 7 / 11 |
| 67 | Scored | 64 |
| 75 | Conceded | 54 |
| -8 | GD | +10 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.62 |
| 35% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season
Chicago Fire FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 4th (55 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
9/4
16-30
9/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
10/9
61-75
10/4
76+
6/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Chicago Fire FC
| Maren Haile-Selassie | 13 G | 5 A |
| Hugo Cuypers | 12 G | |
| Hugo Cuypers | 11 G | |
| Robert Lewandowski | 9 G | 3 A |
| Philip Zinckernagel | 5 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati are looking to make home advantage count against Chicago Fire FC.
- 5' FC Cincinnati has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 7' Samuel Gidi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 7.
- 11' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tom Barlow on 11.
- 16' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 21' Anton Saletros needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 26' GOAL! Hugo Cuypers fires home to make it 0-1!
- 31' Roman Celentano has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 36' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 36 minutes.
- 41' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 42' Tom Barlow does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Cincinnati surge ahead!
- 46' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Teenage Hadebe on, Gilberto Flores off on 46 minutes.
- 48' GOAL! Hugo Cuypers fires home to make it 1-2!
- 50' Philip Zinckernagel does the damage! The net is bulging and Chicago Fire FC surge ahead!
- 55' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 60' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 64' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Miles Robinson by Alvas Powell on 64 minute.
- 69' USA international Miles Robinson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 70' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Tom Barlow is replaced by Ayoub Jabbari.
- 73' The Chicago Fire FC manager makes a substitution. Philip Zinckernagel departs to be replaced by Joel Waterman.
- 78' Dje Davilla is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Chicago Fire FC tonight.
- 79' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Evander makes no mistake. 2-3!
- 83' The whistle greets Robin Lod as he departs to be replaced by Puso Dithejane.
- 86' The Ivory Coast Dje Davilla breaks the deadlock on 86 minutes. 2-4!
- 86' The crowd applauds Kenji Mboma as he leaves the pitch. Kyle Smith steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- 90' Bryan Ramirez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- 90' Viktor Radojevic gets the nod from Chicago Fire FC. He replaces Maren Haile-Selassie and will look to change the dynamic.
- It finishes all square. FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire FC share the spoils 3-3.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 10
- 4
-
12
Miles Robinson ↓ Alvas Powell 64'
- 20
-
16
Tom Barlow ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 70'
- 18
-
17
Kenji Mboma ↓ Kyle Smith 86'
- 3
- 66
- 11
- 29
Bench
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 64'
-
24
Kyle Smith ↑ 86'
-
15
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 46'
- 27
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 70'
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 70'
Coach
Pat Noonan
Chicago Fire FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
17
Robin Lod ↓ Puso Dithejane 83'
- 6
- 3
- 7
- 15
- 11
- 1
- 9
-
24
Jonathan Dean ↓ Dylan Borso 83'
- 42
- 4
Bench
- 44
-
16
Joel Waterman ↑ 73'
- 22
- 35
- 29
-
27
Dylan Borso ↑ 83'
- 20
-
12
Puso Dithejane ↑ 83'
-
14
Viktor Radojevic ↑ 90'
Coach
Gregg Berhalter
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evander | 7 |
| Hugo Cuypers | 5 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Jhon Duran | 3 |
| Brian Gutierrez | 3 |
| Robert Beric | 3 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Rafael Czichos | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Chicago Fire FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.21
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.28
Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 79%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.49
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
63%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
60%
FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Chicago Fire FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
5%
1 – 3
4.8%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 3
Actual
0 – 2
3.1%
2 – 4
3%
2 – 0
2.9%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Chicago Fire FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 11% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 16% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 17% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

