Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 18 Apr 2026 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium 25,513 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 26' Hugo Cuypers
Tom Barlow 42' 1–1
1–2 45+5' Philip Zinckernagel pen
1–3 48' Hugo Cuypers
Evander pen 79' 2–3
Dje Davilla og 86' 3–3

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FCMLS at TQL Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Malik Badawi (USA)
  • Assistant 1 Justin Howard (USA)
5 games this season 🟨 3.2/game 13.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Chicago Fire FC H 3–3 D
11 Apr Toronto FC A 1–1 D
04 Apr New York Red Bulls A 2–4 L
22 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 4–3 W
15 Mar New England Revolution A 1–6 L
08 Mar Toronto FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr FC Cincinnati A 3–3 D
12 Apr Atlanta United FC H 1–0 W
05 Apr Nashville SC H 1–0 W
21 Mar Philadelphia Union A 2–1 W
15 Mar D.C. United SC H 1–2 L
08 Mar Columbus Crew SC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Chicago Fire FC
#6 Position #4
26 Points 29
18 Played 17
7 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 9 / 2 / 6
45 Scored 32
44 Conceded 23
+1 GD +9
1.44 PPG 1.71
39% Win % 53%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
41% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 4th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
7/4
31-45
1/5
46-60
2/2
61-75
6/
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Evander 10 G 4 A
Kevin Denkey 10 G 1 A
Tom Barlow 5 G
Chicago Fire FC
Hugo Cuypers 11 G
Philip Zinckernagel 5 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 7' That looks like a foul for a card for Samuel Gidi.
  • 11' It’s gonna be a card for Tom Barlow.
  • 16' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Cincinnati winning 50% of all matches.
  • 21' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 26' What a moment for Hugo Cuypers! That strike on 26 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Dje Davilla made 275 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 36' Chicago Fire FC have won 393 goals from 275 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 41' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 42' Magnificent from Tom Barlow! That is 24 goals in 283 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 46' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Teenage Hadebe is hanging Gilberto Flores on the field on 46 minute.
  • 48' Chicago Fire FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Hugo Cuypers on 48.
  • 50' Against the run of play, Philip Zinckernagel has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 55' USA international Miles Robinson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 60' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 64' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Miles Robinson departs to be replaced by Alvas Powell.
  • 69' Pavel Bucha has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Ayoub Jabbari. He replaces Tom Barlow on 70 minute.
  • 73' A change in the Chicago Fire FC ranks — Philip Zinckernagel exits the field as Joel Waterman enters on 73.
  • 78' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past Chicago Fire FC's compact 4-4-2.
  • 79' What a moment for Evander! That strike on 79 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 83' Puso Dithejane has so much to prove this time. He replaces Robin Lod on 83 minute.
  • 86' The Ivory Coast Dje Davilla breaks the deadlock on 86 minutes. 2-4!
  • 86' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Kenji Mboma exits the field as Kyle Smith enters on 86.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Bryan Ramirez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' The whistle greets Maren Haile-Selassie as he departs to be replaced by Viktor Radojevic.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.31 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.42 Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 81%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati40% Draw22% Chicago Fire FC38%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes81% 0% No19%
Avg goals/match: 4.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 84%
16%
± 3.5 68%
32%
± 4.5 50%
50%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
62%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
60%
FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati31% Draw35% Chicago Fire FC34%
Actual: Chicago Fire FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 1
5.6%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
Actual
2 – 4
3.2%
4 – 2
2.9%
1 – 4
2.9%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Chicago Fire FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 11% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 16% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 17% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 12% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10%
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.