FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Chicago Fire FC 17 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Malik Badawi (USA)
- Assistant 1 Justin Howard (USA)
5 games this season
🟨 3.2/game
⚽ 13.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 11 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 15 Mar | New England Revolution | A | 1–6 | L |
| 08 Mar | Toronto FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | FC Cincinnati | A | 3–3 | D |
| 12 Apr | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | Nashville SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | Philadelphia Union | A | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | D.C. United SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Chicago Fire FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #4 |
| 26 | Points | 29 |
| 18 | Played | 17 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 9 / 2 / 6 |
| 45 | Scored | 32 |
| 44 | Conceded | 23 |
| +1 | GD | +9 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.71 |
| 39% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
41%
Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season
Chicago Fire FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 4th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
7/4
31-45
1/5
46-60
2/2
61-75
6/–
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Chicago Fire FC
| Hugo Cuypers | 11 G | |
| Philip Zinckernagel | 5 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 7' That looks like a foul for a card for Samuel Gidi.
- 11' It’s gonna be a card for Tom Barlow.
- 16' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Cincinnati winning 50% of all matches.
- 21' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 26' What a moment for Hugo Cuypers! That strike on 26 puts his side firmly in control.
- 31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Dje Davilla made 275 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 36' Chicago Fire FC have won 393 goals from 275 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 41' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 42' Magnificent from Tom Barlow! That is 24 goals in 283 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 46' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Teenage Hadebe is hanging Gilberto Flores on the field on 46 minute.
- 48' Chicago Fire FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Hugo Cuypers on 48.
- 50' Against the run of play, Philip Zinckernagel has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 55' USA international Miles Robinson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 60' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 64' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Miles Robinson departs to be replaced by Alvas Powell.
- 69' Pavel Bucha has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Ayoub Jabbari. He replaces Tom Barlow on 70 minute.
- 73' A change in the Chicago Fire FC ranks — Philip Zinckernagel exits the field as Joel Waterman enters on 73.
- 78' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past Chicago Fire FC's compact 4-4-2.
- 79' What a moment for Evander! That strike on 79 puts his side firmly in control.
- 83' Puso Dithejane has so much to prove this time. He replaces Robin Lod on 83 minute.
- 86' The Ivory Coast Dje Davilla breaks the deadlock on 86 minutes. 2-4!
- 86' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Kenji Mboma exits the field as Kyle Smith enters on 86.
- 90' Poor challenge from Bryan Ramirez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 90' The whistle greets Maren Haile-Selassie as he departs to be replaced by Viktor Radojevic.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 10
- 4
-
12
Miles Robinson ↓ Alvas Powell 64'
- 20
-
16
Tom Barlow ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 70'
- 18
-
17
Kenji Mboma ↓ Kyle Smith 86'
- 3
- 66
- 11
- 29
Bench
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 64'
-
24
Kyle Smith ↑ 86'
-
15
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 46'
- 27
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 70'
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 70'
Coach
Pat Noonan
Chicago Fire FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
17
Robin Lod ↓ Puso Dithejane 83'
- 6
- 3
- 7
- 15
- 11
- 1
- 9
-
24
Jonathan Dean ↓ Dylan Borso 83'
- 42
- 4
Bench
- 44
-
16
Joel Waterman ↑ 73'
- 22
- 35
- 29
-
27
Dylan Borso ↑ 83'
- 20
-
12
Puso Dithejane ↑ 83'
-
14
Viktor Radojevic ↑ 90'
Coach
Gregg Berhalter
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evander | 7 |
| Hugo Cuypers | 5 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Jhon Duran | 3 |
| Brian Gutierrez | 3 |
| Robert Beric | 3 |
| Philip Zinckernagel | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Chicago Fire FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.31
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.42
Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 81%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.73
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 4.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
62%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
60%
FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Chicago Fire FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 1
5.6%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 3
Actual
2 – 4
3.2%
4 – 2
2.9%
1 – 4
2.9%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Chicago Fire FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 11% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 16% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 17% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 12% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

