Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Ricardo Fierro (USA)
- Assistant 1 Eric Weisbrod
- Assistant 2 Jeffrey Greeson
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | FC Cincinnati | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Apr | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Mar | Columbus Crew SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Mar | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Mar | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 15 Mar | New England Revolution | A | 1–6 | L |
| 08 Mar | Toronto FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Feb | Minnesota United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #7 |
| 14 | Points | 20 |
| 14 | Played | 15 |
| 3 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 5 / 5 / 5 |
| 22 | Scored | 36 |
| 29 | Conceded | 37 |
| -7 | GD | -1 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 21% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds BMO Field will turn into a battlefield for Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gilberto Flores, as he is very good at scoring at BMO Field with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 15' FC Cincinnati seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 20' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 25' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Cincinnati needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 38' That looks like a foul for a card for Benjamin Kuscevic.
- 43' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jonathan Osorio on 45.
- 50' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 280 games and scored 369 goals.
- 55' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matt Miazga made 426 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 58' A meaty challenge results in booking for Bryan Ramirez on 58.
- 62' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Matt Miazga departs to be replaced by Kyle Smith.
- 67' It’s high time Pat Noonan made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 69' Kevin Denkey was booked on 69.
- 70' It’s a booking for Toronto FC player. Robin Fraser gets a card.
- 71' The referee calls foul for Kevin Denkey. He receives a card.
- 76' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 81' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Bryan Ramirez suffering a number of foals already.
- 82' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Emilio Aristizabal is hanging Jose Cifuentes on the field on 82 minute.
- 83' GOAL! Gilberto Flores scores on 83.
- 88' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kenji Mboma is hanging Bryan Ramirez on the field on 88 minute.
- 90' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 90 minute. Ender Echenique leaves to be changed by Obinna Nwobodo.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 20
-
11
Derrick Etienne ↓ Malik Henry 82'
- 21
- 22
- 9
- 13
- 8
-
3
Matheus Pereira ↓ Kobe Franklin 82'
- 1
- 14
- 12
Bench
- 23
-
19
Kobe Franklin ↑ 82'
- 71
-
76
Lazar Stefanovic ↑ 82'
-
17
Emilio Aristizabal ↑ 82'
- 77
-
78
Malik Henry ↑ 82'
- 96
- 64
Coach
Robin Fraser
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 10
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Kyle Smith 62'
- 4
- 20
- 9
-
16
Tom Barlow ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 62'
- 18
- 3
- 66
- 11
-
29
Bryan Ramirez ↓ Kenji Mboma 88'
Bench
- 13
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↑ 90'
-
24
Kyle Smith ↑ 62'
- 27
- 37
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 88'
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 62'
-
17
Kenji Mboma ↑ 88'
- 88
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
| Allan Cruz | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.3
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.15
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 79%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.45
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
67%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
55%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.9%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.2%
4 – 2
3%
4 – 1
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 13% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 17% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 16% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 11% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

