Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Ricardo Fierro (USA)
- Assistant 1 Eric Weisbrod
- Assistant 2 Jeffrey Greeson
6 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 14.5 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | FC Cincinnati | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Apr | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Mar | Columbus Crew SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Mar | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Mar | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 15 Mar | New England Revolution | A | 1–6 | L |
| 08 Mar | Toronto FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Feb | Minnesota United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #8 |
| 39 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 12 / 13 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 12 |
| 52 | Scored | 67 |
| 67 | Conceded | 75 |
| -15 | GD | -8 |
| 1.15 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 26% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Toronto FC launch into their encounter with FC Cincinnati.
- 5' Toronto FC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's 3-4-1-2 shape.
- 10' It’s high time Robin Fraser made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' Evander needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jose Cifuentes made 15 appearances and scored 17 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 25' FC Cincinnati have won 378 goals from 261 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 297 games and scored 393 goals.
- 35' Toronto FC currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 38' Benjamin Kuscevic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 38.
- 43' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 45' It’s gonna be a card for Jonathan Osorio.
- 50' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 55' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 58' Bryan Ramirez was booked on 58.
- 62' Matt Miazga makes way for Kyle Smith at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 67' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 69' Kevin Denkey is having his name booked by the referee on 69.
- 70' The referee has no hesitation. Robin Fraser is booked for Toronto FC — card on 70.
- 71' Kevin Denkey has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 71.
- 76' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 81' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 82' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Jose Cifuentes is withdrawn and Emilio Aristizabal gets his opportunity.
- 83' Goal! Gilberto Flores scores his 1 goal in 261 matches.
- 88' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Bryan Ramirez by Kenji Mboma on 88 minute.
- 90' Obinna Nwobodo gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Ender Echenique and will look to change the dynamic.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 20
-
11
Derrick Etienne ↓ Malik Henry 82'
- 21
- 22
- 9
- 13
- 8
-
3
Matheus Pereira ↓ Kobe Franklin 82'
- 1
- 14
- 12
Bench
- 23
-
19
Kobe Franklin ↑ 82'
- 71
-
76
Lazar Stefanovic ↑ 82'
-
17
Emilio Aristizabal ↑ 82'
- 77
-
78
Malik Henry ↑ 82'
- 96
- 64
Coach
Robin Fraser
FC Cincinnati Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 10
-
21
Matt Miazga ↓ Kyle Smith 62'
- 4
- 20
- 9
-
16
Tom Barlow ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 62'
- 18
- 3
- 66
- 11
-
29
Bryan Ramirez ↓ Kenji Mboma 88'
Bench
- 13
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↑ 90'
-
24
Kyle Smith ↑ 62'
- 27
- 37
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 88'
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 62'
-
17
Kenji Mboma ↑ 88'
- 88
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Acosta | 5 |
| Nick DeLeon | 2 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Ian Murphy | 2 |
| Marky Delgado | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 2 |
| Patrick Mullins | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.15
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 74%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
69%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
53%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.5%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 13% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 18% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 16% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 10% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

