Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Toronto FC
1 – 1
Full Time
FC Cincinnati
Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 17:00 UTC BMO Field 15,770 HT 45' · FT 45'
Gilberto Flores og 83' 1–0
1–1 90+2' Kenji Mboma
Benjamin Kuscevic 38' Y
Jonathan Osorio 45' Y
Y 58' Bryan Ramirez
Y 69' Kevin Denkey
Robin Fraser 70' Y
YR 71' Kevin Denkey

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at BMO Field.

Match Details

  • Referee Ricardo Fierro (USA)
  • Assistant 1 Eric Weisbrod
  • Assistant 2 Jeffrey Greeson
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 10.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 60
2 Internacional CF Miami 27 46
3 New England Revolution 27 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 43
5 Chicago Fire FC 26 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 39
7 Orlando City SC 27 34
8 New York City FC 27 33
9 FC Cincinnati 26 33
10 New York Red Bulls 26 33
11 D.C. United SC 26 30
12 Columbus Crew SC 27 29
13 Toronto FC 27 29
14 Atlanta United FC 27 27
15 Montreal Impact FC 27 24
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 26 50
17 FC Dallas 27 47
18 San Jose Earthquakes 27 45
19 St. Louis City 26 44
20 Houston Dynamo 27 44
21 Los Angeles FC 28 41
22 Colorado Rapids SC 27 36
23 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 36
24 Seattle Sounders FC 26 35
25 San Diego FC 27 32
26 Portland Timbers 27 32
27 Real Salt Lake 27 32
28 Austin FC 27 31
29 Minnesota United FC 27 29
30 Sporting Kansas City 26 21

Head-to-Head

5
2
9
Toronto FC 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals FC Cincinnati
Last 5 meetings
2026-04-11 Toronto FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2026-03-08 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Toronto FC 2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC 2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Toronto FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr FC Cincinnati H 1–1 D
04 Apr Colorado Rapids SC H 3–2 W
21 Mar Columbus Crew SC H 2–1 W
14 Mar New York Red Bulls H 1–1 D
08 Mar FC Cincinnati A 1–0 W
01 Mar Vancouver Whitecaps FC A 0–3 L
FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Toronto FC A 1–1 D
04 Apr New York Red Bulls A 2–4 L
22 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 4–3 W
15 Mar New England Revolution A 1–6 L
08 Mar Toronto FC H 0–1 L
28 Feb Minnesota United FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC FC Cincinnati
#13 Position #9
29 Points 33
27 Played 26
6 / 11 / 10 W / D / L 8 / 9 / 9
39 Scored 55
51 Conceded 64
-12 GD -9
1.07 PPG 1.27
22% Win % 31%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A
FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 14 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 7 G 2 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Toronto FC get us underway at BMO Field.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Toronto FC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 15' Obinna Nwobodo, a Nigeria , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 20' Gilberto Flores has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 5 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' Daniel Salloi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 25 appearances with only 4 goals this season.
  • 30' Toronto FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 35' Pavel Bucha is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toronto FC so far.
  • 38' Controversy at the stadium! Benjamin Kuscevic argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 43' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 45' Jonathan Osorio picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 50' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toronto FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 55' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 58' Controversy at the stadium! Bryan Ramirez argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 62' Kyle Smith gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Matt Miazga and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 67' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 69' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Kevin Denkey gets a card.
  • 70' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Robin Fraser on 70 minutes.
  • 71' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a card on 71.
  • 76' Toronto FC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's 3-4-1-2 shape.
  • 81' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 82' Toronto FC make a change. Jose Cifuentes trudges off to be replaced by Emilio Aristizabal on 82 minutes.
  • 83' What a moment for Gilberto Flores! That strike on 83 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 88' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Bryan Ramirez by Kenji Mboma on 88 minute.
  • 90' Obinna Nwobodo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ender Echenique on 90 minute.
  • It finishes all square. Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Robin Fraser

FC Cincinnati Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luciano Acosta 5
Ian Murphy 2
Marky Delgado 2
Jonathan Osorio 2
Patrick Mullins 2
Allan Cruz 2
Brandon Vazquez 2
Luca Orellano 2

Head to Head

2026-04-11 Toronto FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2026-03-08 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Toronto FC 2025-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati 2025-03-09 FC Cincinnati 2–0 Toronto FC 2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati

Toronto FC Form

2026-04-11 Toronto FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2026-04-04 Toronto FC 3–2 Colorado Rapids SC W 2026-03-21 Toronto FC 2–1 Columbus Crew SC W 2026-03-14 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2026-03-08 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Toronto FC W 2026-03-01 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 3–0 Toronto FC L

FC Cincinnati Form

2026-04-11 Toronto FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D 2026-04-04 New York Red Bulls 4–2 FC Cincinnati L 2026-03-22 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Montreal Impact FC W 2026-03-15 New England Revolution 6–1 FC Cincinnati L 2026-03-08 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Toronto FC L 2026-02-28 Minnesota United FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.22 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC47% Draw22% FC Cincinnati31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.11
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 58%
42%
± 4.5 39%
61%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
69%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
53%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC35% Draw37% FC Cincinnati28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.4%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.1%
1 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.3%
3 – 3
3.2%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 18% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 15% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 10% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.