Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 17:00 UTC BMO Field 15,770 HT 45' · FT 45'
Gilberto Flores og 83' 1–0
1–1 90+2' Kenji Mboma

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs FC CincinnatiMLS at BMO Field.

Match Details

  • Referee Ricardo Fierro (USA)
  • Assistant 1 Eric Weisbrod
  • Assistant 2 Jeffrey Greeson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr FC Cincinnati H 1–1 D
04 Apr Colorado Rapids SC H 3–2 W
21 Mar Columbus Crew SC H 2–1 W
14 Mar New York Red Bulls H 1–1 D
08 Mar FC Cincinnati A 1–0 W
01 Mar Vancouver Whitecaps FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Toronto FC A 1–1 D
04 Apr New York Red Bulls A 2–4 L
22 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 4–3 W
15 Mar New England Revolution A 1–6 L
08 Mar Toronto FC H 0–1 L
28 Feb Minnesota United FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC FC Cincinnati
#11 Position #7
14 Points 20
14 Played 15
3 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 5 / 5 / 5
22 Scored 36
29 Conceded 37
-7 GD -1
1.00 PPG 1.33
21% Win % 33%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds BMO Field will turn into a battlefield for Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gilberto Flores, as he is very good at scoring at BMO Field with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 15' FC Cincinnati seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 25' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Cincinnati needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 38' That looks like a foul for a card for Benjamin Kuscevic.
  • 43' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jonathan Osorio on 45.
  • 50' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 280 games and scored 369 goals.
  • 55' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Matt Miazga made 426 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 58' A meaty challenge results in booking for Bryan Ramirez on 58.
  • 62' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Matt Miazga departs to be replaced by Kyle Smith.
  • 67' It’s high time Pat Noonan made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 69' Kevin Denkey was booked on 69.
  • 70' It’s a booking for Toronto FC player. Robin Fraser gets a card.
  • 71' The referee calls foul for Kevin Denkey. He receives a card.
  • 76' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 81' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Bryan Ramirez suffering a number of foals already.
  • 82' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Emilio Aristizabal is hanging Jose Cifuentes on the field on 82 minute.
  • 83' GOAL! Gilberto Flores scores on 83.
  • 88' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kenji Mboma is hanging Bryan Ramirez on the field on 88 minute.
  • 90' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 90 minute. Ender Echenique leaves to be changed by Obinna Nwobodo.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.3 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.15 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC45% Draw22% FC Cincinnati33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 64%
36%
± 4.5 45%
55%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
67%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
55%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC34% Draw36% FC Cincinnati30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
4.9%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.2%
4 – 2
3%
4 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 13% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 17% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 16% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 11% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
13%
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.