Saturday , 14 November 2026

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 17:00 UTC BMO Field 15,770 HT 45' · FT 45'
Gilberto Flores og 83' 1–0
1–1 90+2' Kenji Mboma

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at BMO Field.

Match Details

  • Referee Ricardo Fierro (USA)
  • Assistant 1 Eric Weisbrod
  • Assistant 2 Jeffrey Greeson
6 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 14.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr FC Cincinnati H 1–1 D
04 Apr Colorado Rapids SC H 3–2 W
21 Mar Columbus Crew SC H 2–1 W
14 Mar New York Red Bulls H 1–1 D
08 Mar FC Cincinnati A 1–0 W
01 Mar Vancouver Whitecaps FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Toronto FC A 1–1 D
04 Apr New York Red Bulls A 2–4 L
22 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 4–3 W
15 Mar New England Revolution A 1–6 L
08 Mar Toronto FC H 0–1 L
28 Feb Minnesota United FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Toronto FC FC Cincinnati
#12 Position #8
39 Points 46
34 Played 34
9 / 12 / 13 W / D / L 12 / 10 / 12
52 Scored 67
67 Conceded 75
-15 GD -8
1.15 PPG 1.35
26% Win % 35%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC
Josh Sargent 10 G 4 A
Daniel Salloi 9 G 6 A
FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 17 G 2 A
Evander 14 G 13 A
Tom Barlow 10 G 4 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Toronto FC launch into their encounter with FC Cincinnati.
  • 5' Toronto FC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's 3-4-1-2 shape.
  • 10' It’s high time Robin Fraser made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' Evander needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jose Cifuentes made 15 appearances and scored 17 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' FC Cincinnati have won 378 goals from 261 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 297 games and scored 393 goals.
  • 35' Toronto FC currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 38' Benjamin Kuscevic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 38.
  • 43' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 45' It’s gonna be a card for Jonathan Osorio.
  • 50' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 55' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 58' Bryan Ramirez was booked on 58.
  • 62' Matt Miazga makes way for Kyle Smith at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
  • 67' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 69' Kevin Denkey is having his name booked by the referee on 69.
  • 70' The referee has no hesitation. Robin Fraser is booked for Toronto FC — card on 70.
  • 71' Kevin Denkey has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 71.
  • 76' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 81' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 82' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Jose Cifuentes is withdrawn and Emilio Aristizabal gets his opportunity.
  • 83' Goal! Gilberto Flores scores his 1 goal in 261 matches.
  • 88' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Bryan Ramirez by Kenji Mboma on 88 minute.
  • 90' Obinna Nwobodo gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Ender Echenique and will look to change the dynamic.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.15 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC47% Draw23% FC Cincinnati30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
69%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
53%
Toronto FC or FC Cincinnati
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC35% Draw38% FC Cincinnati27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.5%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 13% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 18% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 16% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 10% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.