FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Chicago Fire FC 26 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Jul | Charlotte FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 06 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | H | 6–1 | W |
| 03 Jul | D.C. United SC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Jun | FC Dallas | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Jun | New England Revolution | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Jul | New York City FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Jul | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Jul | Philadelphia Union | H | 4–3 | W |
| 30 Jun | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jun | Orlando City SC | A | 2–4 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Chicago Fire FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #5 |
| 33 | Points | 42 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 12 / 6 / 8 |
| 55 | Scored | 46 |
| 64 | Conceded | 38 |
| -9 | GD | +8 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.62 |
| 31% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
31%
Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season
Chicago Fire FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 5th (42 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
7/2
16-30
7/5
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/6
61-75
8/–
76+
3/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Chicago Fire FC
| Hugo Cuypers | 11 G | |
| Maren Haile-Selassie | 8 G | 3 A |
| Philip Zinckernagel | 5 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire FC has kicked off!
- 5' Chicago Fire FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' FC Cincinnati looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Evander scoring 4 goals.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ian Murphy made 252 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 25' The travelling Chicago Fire FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 30' Fabian Herbers has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 23 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 35' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Fabian Herbers on 35 minutes.
- 40' Chicago Fire FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 45' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 46' Sergio Santos is ready to make an impact after coming on for Corey Baird at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 56' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Tobias Salquist has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 58' Hugo Cuypers is having his name booked by the referee on 58.
- 59' A change in the Chicago Fire FC ranks — Jonathan Dean exits the field as Brian Gutierrez enters on 59.
- 61' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Bret Halsey comes on to replace Yamil Asad.
- 66' Chicago Fire FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 69' GOAL! Brian Gutierrez fires home to make it 0-1!
- 74' Maren Haile-Selassie has been relatively quiet despite scoring 20 goals in his last 20 appearances.
- 79' Arnaud Souquet, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 80' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Kipp Keller departs to be replaced by Kevin Kelsy.
- 85' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Cincinnati winning 50% of all matches.
- 87' The crowd applauds Obinna Nwobodo as he leaves the pitch. Aaron Boupendza steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- 88' FC Cincinnati receives a card for a hard tackle on 88.
- 89' Alvas Powell picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' FC Cincinnati receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- 90' Tobias Salquist gets the nod from Chicago Fire FC. He replaces Maren Haile-Selassie and will look to change the dynamic.
- Chicago Fire FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 91
- 7
-
11
Corey Baird ↓ Sergio Santos 46'
-
27
Yamil Asad ↓ Bret Halsey 61'
- 20
- 5
- 23
- 32
- 18
-
14
Kipp Keller ↓ Kevin Kelsy 80'
- 22
Bench
-
9
Aaron Boupendza ↑ 87'
- 36
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 61'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 46'
-
15
Bret Halsey ↑ 61'
-
19
Kevin Kelsy ↑ 80'
- –
- 33
- 34
Coach
Pat Noonan
Chicago Fire FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
-
21
Fabian Herbers ↓ Kellyn Acosta 46'
- 16
- 2
- 30
- 7
- 34
-
8
Chris Mueller ↓ Tom Barlow 59'
- 9
-
24
Jonathan Dean ↓ Brian Gutierrez 59'
- 27
Bench
-
14
Tobias Salquist ↑ 90'
-
23
Kellyn Acosta ↑ 46'
- 18
-
12
Tom Barlow ↑ 59'
- 22
- 37
-
17
Brian Gutierrez ↑ 59'
-
19
Georgios Koutsias ↑ 80'
- 48
Coach
Frank Klopas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evander | 7 |
| Hugo Cuypers | 5 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Robert Beric | 3 |
| Jhon Duran | 3 |
| Brian Gutierrez | 3 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Junior Moreno | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Chicago Fire FC Form
2024-07-17
FC Cincinnati
0–1
Chicago Fire FC
W
2024-07-14
Chicago Fire FC
0–0
New York City FC
D
2024-07-08
San Jose Earthquakes
1–0
Chicago Fire FC
L
2024-07-04
Chicago Fire FC
4–3
Philadelphia Union
W
2024-06-30
Seattle Sounders FC
2–1
Chicago Fire FC
L
2024-06-22
Orlando City SC
4–2
Chicago Fire FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.94
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.04
Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for:
FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Chicago Fire FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.98
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
62%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
62%
FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 3
4.7%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4%
2 – 0
3.6%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Chicago Fire FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 17% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 18% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

