FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Chicago Fire FC 34 games · 55 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul | Chicago Fire FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jun | Orlando City SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jun | Montreal Impact FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Jun | New England Revolution | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 May | D.C. United SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 May | FC Dallas | H | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Jun | Charlotte FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Jun | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Jun | Nashville SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Jun | D.C. United SC | A | 7–1 | W |
| 31 May | Orlando City SC | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Chicago Fire FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #4 |
| 46 | Points | 55 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 16 / 7 / 11 |
| 67 | Scored | 64 |
| 75 | Conceded | 54 |
| -8 | GD | +10 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.62 |
| 35% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season
Chicago Fire FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 4th (55 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
9/4
16-30
9/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
10/9
61-75
10/4
76+
6/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Chicago Fire FC
| Maren Haile-Selassie | 13 G | 5 A |
| Hugo Cuypers | 12 G | |
| Hugo Cuypers | 11 G | |
| Robert Lewandowski | 9 G | 3 A |
| Philip Zinckernagel | 5 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. FC Cincinnati get us underway at TQL Stadium.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' Chicago Fire FC is showing some good football. However, Chicago Fire FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 19' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Evander makes it 1-0.
- 24' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 29' Mexico international Brian Gutierrez has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 34' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 39' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 44' Luca Orellano has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 49' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 49 minutes.
- 50' What a strike from Kevin Denkey! The score is 2-0.
- 53' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Kei Kamara gets a card.
- 55' GOAL! Philip Zinckernagel scores on 55. Assisted by Andrew Gutman
- 60' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past Chicago Fire FC's compact .
- 65' FC Cincinnati has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 68' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Kei Kamara departs to be replaced by Gerardo Valenzuela.
- 73' Luca Orellano makes way for Brad Smith at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 74' The supporters are chanting for Jonathan Dean. He replaces Leonardo Barroso on 74 minute.
- 76' Chicago Fire FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 76.
- 81' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Chicago Fire FC backline.
- 83' It’s gonna be a card for Matt Miazga.
- 83' The Chicago Fire FC manager makes a substitution. Jonathan Bamba departs to be replaced by Omari Glasgow.
- 88' Jonathan Bamba has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 4 goals this season.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Jack Elliott is booked for Chicago Fire FC — card on 90.
- 90' Corey Baird has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kevin Denkey on 90 minute.
- It finishes all square. FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire FC share the spoils 2-1.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Evander ↓ Teenage Hadebe 90'
- 91
- 21
- 2
-
85
Kei Kamara ↓ Gerardo Valenzuela 68'
- 20
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Corey Baird 90'
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Brad Smith 73'
- 27
- 18
- 29
Bench
-
11
Corey Baird ↑ 90'
- 13
-
14
Brad Smith ↑ 73'
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 90'
- 25
- 37
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 68'
- 35
- 19
Coach
Pat Noonan
Chicago Fire FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
19
Jonathan Bamba ↓ Omari Glasgow 83'
- 3
- 15
- 22
- 17
- 11
- 9
-
35
Sergio Oregel ↓ Tom Barlow 83'
- 25
- 5
- 2
Bench
-
7
Maren Haile-Selassie ↑ 73'
- 77
-
12
Tom Barlow ↑ 83'
- 34
-
24
Jonathan Dean ↑ 74'
- 31
-
26
Omari Glasgow ↑ 83'
-
47
Samuel Williams ↑ 90'
- 42
Coach
Gregg Berhalter
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evander | 7 |
| Hugo Cuypers | 5 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Brian Gutierrez | 3 |
| Robert Beric | 3 |
| Jhon Duran | 3 |
| Rafael Czichos | 2 |
| Ignacio Aliseda | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Chicago Fire FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.98
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2
Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for:
FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC 79% + Over 2.5 goals 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.18
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
64%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
57%
FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.2%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 3
3.4%
2 – 0
3.1%
0 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Chicago Fire FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 16% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 18% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 13% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

