FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Chicago Fire FC 17 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul | Chicago Fire FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jun | Orlando City SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jun | Montreal Impact FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Jun | New England Revolution | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 May | D.C. United SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 May | FC Dallas | H | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Jun | Charlotte FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Jun | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Jun | Nashville SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Jun | D.C. United SC | A | 7–1 | W |
| 31 May | Orlando City SC | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Chicago Fire FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #4 |
| 26 | Points | 29 |
| 18 | Played | 17 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 9 / 2 / 6 |
| 45 | Scored | 32 |
| 44 | Conceded | 23 |
| +1 | GD | +9 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.71 |
| 39% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
41%
Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season
Chicago Fire FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 4th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
7/4
31-45
1/5
46-60
2/2
61-75
6/–
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Chicago Fire FC
| Hugo Cuypers | 11 G | |
| Philip Zinckernagel | 5 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! FC Cincinnati welcome Chicago Fire FC for this crunch clash at TQL Stadium.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' Leonardo Barroso has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 15' Jonathan Bamba is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Chicago Fire FC tonight.
- 19' Assisted by Luca Orellano with the perfectly-timed delivery and Evander makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 24' Chicago Fire FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 29' Chicago Fire FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 29.
- 34' Jeffrey Gal needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 39' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matt Miazga, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 44' The 41-year-old Kei Kamara has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 49' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 50' Kevin Denkey makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and FC Cincinnati are in front.
- 53' Controversy at the stadium! Kei Kamara argues furiously but the card stands.
- 55' Philip Zinckernagel is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 5 goals this season for the .
- 60' Over 60 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 65' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 68' Kei Kamara makes way for Gerardo Valenzuela at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 73' The crowd applauds Luca Orellano as he leaves the pitch. Brad Smith steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- 74' Another change for Chicago Fire FC made on 74 minute. Leonardo Barroso leaves to be changed by Jonathan Dean.
- 76' Controversy at the stadium! Jonathan Bamba argues furiously but the card stands.
- 81' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 83' Matt Miazga has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 83.
- 83' The supporters are chanting for Omari Glasgow. He replaces Jonathan Bamba on 83 minute.
- 88' FC Cincinnati are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Chicago Fire FC's shape.
- 90' Chicago Fire FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Kevin Denkey is withdrawn and Corey Baird gets his opportunity.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Evander ↓ Teenage Hadebe 90'
- 91
- 21
- 2
-
85
Kei Kamara ↓ Gerardo Valenzuela 68'
- 20
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Corey Baird 90'
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Brad Smith 73'
- 27
- 18
- 29
Bench
-
11
Corey Baird ↑ 90'
- 13
-
14
Brad Smith ↑ 73'
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 90'
- 25
- 37
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 68'
- 35
- 19
Coach
Pat Noonan
Chicago Fire FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
19
Jonathan Bamba ↓ Omari Glasgow 83'
- 3
- 15
- 22
- 17
- 11
- 9
-
35
Sergio Oregel ↓ Tom Barlow 83'
- 25
- 5
- 2
Bench
-
7
Maren Haile-Selassie ↑ 73'
- 77
-
12
Tom Barlow ↑ 83'
- 34
-
24
Jonathan Dean ↑ 74'
- 31
-
26
Omari Glasgow ↑ 83'
-
47
Samuel Williams ↑ 90'
- 42
Coach
Gregg Berhalter
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Evander | 7 |
| Hugo Cuypers | 5 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Jhon Duran | 3 |
| Brian Gutierrez | 3 |
| Robert Beric | 3 |
| Philip Zinckernagel | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Chicago Fire FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.08
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.35
Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC 79%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.43
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 4.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
64%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
57%
FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.7%
1 – 1
6.6%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
5.3%
1 – 3
5.2%
3 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 3
3.7%
0 – 2
3.4%
2 – 4
3.1%
1 – 4
3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Chicago Fire FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 10% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 15% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 17% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 13% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.