Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
FC Cincinnati
2 – 1
Full Time
Chicago Fire FC
Sat 5 Jul 2025 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Kei Kamara 53' Y
Y 76' Jonathan Bamba
Matt Miazga 83' Y
Y 90' Jack Elliott

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 14 33
2 Internacional CF Miami 15 31
3 Chicago Fire FC 14 26
4 New England Revolution 14 25
5 New York Red Bulls 15 22
6 Charlotte FC 15 21
7 FC Cincinnati 15 20
8 New York City FC 15 19
9 D.C. United SC 15 18
10 Columbus Crew SC 15 16
11 Toronto FC 14 14
12 Montreal Impact FC 14 14
13 Orlando City SC 15 14
14 Atlanta United FC 14 11
15 Philadelphia Union 15 7
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 14 32
17 San Jose Earthquakes 15 32
18 Real Salt Lake 14 26
19 FC Dallas 15 25
20 Los Angeles FC 15 24
21 Seattle Sounders FC 13 24
22 Houston Dynamo 14 22
23 Minnesota United FC 15 22
24 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 20
25 San Diego FC 15 17
26 Colorado Rapids SC 15 16
27 St. Louis City 14 16
28 Portland Timbers 14 14
29 Austin FC 15 14
30 Sporting Kansas City 14 11

Head-to-Head

8
4
4
FC Cincinnati 16 games · Avg 3.3 goals Chicago Fire FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-07-05 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Chicago Fire FC 2025-04-20 Chicago Fire FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati 2024-07-17 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Chicago Fire FC 2024-03-03 Chicago Fire FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-06-03 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Chicago Fire FC

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul Chicago Fire FC H 2–1 W
28 Jun Orlando City SC A 2–1 W
25 Jun Montreal Impact FC A 3–1 W
14 Jun New England Revolution A 1–0 W
31 May D.C. United SC H 1–2 L
28 May FC Dallas H 3–3 D
Chicago Fire FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul FC Cincinnati A 1–2 L
29 Jun Charlotte FC H 3–2 W
26 Jun Philadelphia Union H 0–1 L
15 Jun Nashville SC H 0–2 L
07 Jun D.C. United SC A 7–1 W
31 May Orlando City SC A 3–1 W

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Chicago Fire FC
#7 Position #3
20 Points 26
15 Played 14
5 / 5 / 5 W / D / L 8 / 2 / 4
36 Scored 27
37 Conceded 16
-1 GD +11
1.33 PPG 1.86
33% Win % 57%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
50% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 3rd (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/–
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire FC is underway.
  • 5' With 1 assists to his name this season, Jack Elliott is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Chicago Fire FC.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sam Rogers, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 19' Evander does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Cincinnati surge ahead!
  • 24' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 29' A quiet spell here at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 34' USA international Jonathan Dean has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 39' Chicago Fire FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 44' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 49' Philip Zinckernagel needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
  • 50' Magnificent from Kevin Denkey! That is 77 goals in 190 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 53' Kei Kamara has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 53.
  • 55' Philip Zinckernagel adds to his 5 season tally! Chicago Fire FC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 60' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 65' Chicago Fire FC is showing some good football. However, Chicago Fire FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 68' Gerardo Valenzuela gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Kei Kamara and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Luca Orellano is replaced by Brad Smith on 73 minute.
  • 74' Jonathan Dean is ready to make an impact after coming on for Leonardo Barroso at the 74 minute mark.
  • 76' Chicago Fire FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 81' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Maren Haile-Selassie suffering a number of foals already.
  • 83' FC Cincinnati player sees a card in front of him.
  • 83' Omari Glasgow gets the nod from Chicago Fire FC. He replaces Jonathan Bamba and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' Omari Glasgow has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jack Elliott on 90 minutes.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Corey Baird. He replaces Kevin Denkey on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

Chicago Fire FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gregg Berhalter

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Evander 7
Hugo Cuypers 5
Luciano Acosta 4
Jhon Duran 3
Brian Gutierrez 3
Robert Beric 3
Junior Moreno 2
Philip Zinckernagel 2

Head to Head

2025-07-05 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Chicago Fire FC 2025-04-20 Chicago Fire FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati 2024-07-17 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Chicago Fire FC 2024-03-03 Chicago Fire FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-06-03 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Chicago Fire FC

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-07-05 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Chicago Fire FC W 2025-06-28 Orlando City SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2025-06-25 Montreal Impact FC 1–3 FC Cincinnati W 2025-06-14 New England Revolution 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2025-05-31 FC Cincinnati 1–2 D.C. United SC L 2025-05-28 FC Cincinnati 3–3 FC Dallas D

Chicago Fire FC Form

2025-07-05 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Chicago Fire FC L 2025-06-29 Chicago Fire FC 3–2 Charlotte FC W 2025-06-26 Chicago Fire FC 0–1 Philadelphia Union L 2025-06-15 Chicago Fire FC 0–2 Nashville SC L 2025-06-07 D.C. United SC 1–7 Chicago Fire FC W 2025-05-31 Orlando City SC 1–3 Chicago Fire FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.83 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.36 Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for: FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC 79% + Over 2.5 goals 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati40% Draw21% Chicago Fire FC39%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
60%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
60%
FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati25% Draw37% Chicago Fire FC38%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7.6%
1 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 3
5.3%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 4
3.5%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Chicago Fire FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 9% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 14% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 19% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 15% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.