Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 5 Jul 2025 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul Chicago Fire FC H 2–1 W
28 Jun Orlando City SC A 2–1 W
25 Jun Montreal Impact FC A 3–1 W
14 Jun New England Revolution A 1–0 W
31 May D.C. United SC H 1–2 L
28 May FC Dallas H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul FC Cincinnati A 1–2 L
29 Jun Charlotte FC H 3–2 W
26 Jun Philadelphia Union H 0–1 L
15 Jun Nashville SC H 0–2 L
07 Jun D.C. United SC A 7–1 W
31 May Orlando City SC A 3–1 W

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Chicago Fire FC
#8 Position #4
46 Points 55
34 Played 34
12 / 10 / 12 W / D / L 16 / 7 / 11
67 Scored 64
75 Conceded 54
-8 GD +10
1.35 PPG 1.62
35% Win % 47%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
24% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 4th (55 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
9/4
16-30
9/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
10/9
61-75
10/4
76+
6/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 17 G 2 A
Evander 14 G 13 A
Tom Barlow 10 G 4 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A
Chicago Fire FC
Maren Haile-Selassie 13 G 5 A
Hugo Cuypers 12 G
Hugo Cuypers 11 G
Robert Lewandowski 9 G 3 A
Philip Zinckernagel 5 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. FC Cincinnati get us underway at TQL Stadium.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' Chicago Fire FC is showing some good football. However, Chicago Fire FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 19' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Evander makes it 1-0.
  • 24' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 29' Mexico international Brian Gutierrez has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 34' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 39' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 44' Luca Orellano has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 49' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 49 minutes.
  • 50' What a strike from Kevin Denkey! The score is 2-0.
  • 53' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Kei Kamara gets a card.
  • 55' GOAL! Philip Zinckernagel scores on 55. Assisted by Andrew Gutman
  • 60' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past Chicago Fire FC's compact .
  • 65' FC Cincinnati has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 68' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Kei Kamara departs to be replaced by Gerardo Valenzuela.
  • 73' Luca Orellano makes way for Brad Smith at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Jonathan Dean. He replaces Leonardo Barroso on 74 minute.
  • 76' Chicago Fire FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 76.
  • 81' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Chicago Fire FC backline.
  • 83' It’s gonna be a card for Matt Miazga.
  • 83' The Chicago Fire FC manager makes a substitution. Jonathan Bamba departs to be replaced by Omari Glasgow.
  • 88' Jonathan Bamba has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 4 goals this season.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Jack Elliott is booked for Chicago Fire FC — card on 90.
  • 90' Corey Baird has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kevin Denkey on 90 minute.
  • It finishes all square. FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire FC share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.98 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2 Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for: FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC 79% + Over 2.5 goals 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati43% Draw21% Chicago Fire FC36%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes76% 0% No24%
Avg goals/match: 4.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
64%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
57%
FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati29% Draw37% Chicago Fire FC34%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.2%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 3
3.4%
2 – 0
3.1%
0 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Chicago Fire FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 16% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 18% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 13% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.