Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
FC Cincinnati
2 – 1
Full Time
Chicago Fire FC
Sat 5 Jul 2025 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Kei Kamara 53' Y
Y 76' Jonathan Bamba
Matt Miazga 83' Y
Y 90' Jack Elliott

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 60
2 Internacional CF Miami 27 46
3 New England Revolution 27 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 43
5 Chicago Fire FC 26 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 39
7 Orlando City SC 27 34
8 New York City FC 27 33
9 FC Cincinnati 26 33
10 New York Red Bulls 26 33
11 D.C. United SC 26 30
12 Columbus Crew SC 27 29
13 Toronto FC 27 29
14 Atlanta United FC 27 27
15 Montreal Impact FC 27 24
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 26 50
17 FC Dallas 27 47
18 San Jose Earthquakes 27 45
19 St. Louis City 26 44
20 Houston Dynamo 27 44
21 Los Angeles FC 28 41
22 Colorado Rapids SC 27 36
23 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 36
24 Seattle Sounders FC 26 35
25 San Diego FC 27 32
26 Portland Timbers 27 32
27 Real Salt Lake 27 32
28 Austin FC 27 31
29 Minnesota United FC 27 29
30 Sporting Kansas City 26 21

Head-to-Head

8
4
4
FC Cincinnati 16 games · Avg 3.3 goals Chicago Fire FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-07-05 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Chicago Fire FC 2025-04-20 Chicago Fire FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati 2024-07-17 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Chicago Fire FC 2024-03-03 Chicago Fire FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-06-03 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Chicago Fire FC

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul Chicago Fire FC H 2–1 W
28 Jun Orlando City SC A 2–1 W
25 Jun Montreal Impact FC A 3–1 W
14 Jun New England Revolution A 1–0 W
31 May D.C. United SC H 1–2 L
28 May FC Dallas H 3–3 D
Chicago Fire FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul FC Cincinnati A 1–2 L
29 Jun Charlotte FC H 3–2 W
26 Jun Philadelphia Union H 0–1 L
15 Jun Nashville SC H 0–2 L
07 Jun D.C. United SC A 7–1 W
31 May Orlando City SC A 3–1 W

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Chicago Fire FC
#9 Position #5
33 Points 42
26 Played 26
8 / 9 / 9 W / D / L 12 / 6 / 8
55 Scored 46
64 Conceded 38
-9 GD +8
1.27 PPG 1.62
31% Win % 46%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
31% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Chicago Fire FC are 5th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chicago Fire FC
0-15
7/2
16-30
7/5
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/6
61-75
8/–
76+
3/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 14 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 7 G 2 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A
Chicago Fire FC
Hugo Cuypers 11 G
Maren Haile-Selassie 8 G 3 A
Philip Zinckernagel 5 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. FC Cincinnati kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 19' Brilliant from the ! Evander makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 19.
  • 24' Chicago Fire FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 29' Chicago Fire FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 29.
  • 34' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Cincinnati winning 50% of all matches.
  • 44' Tom Barlow, a USA , has 13 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 49' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Pavel Bucha made 166 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 50' Kevin Denkey is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 7 goals this season for the .
  • 53' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Kei Kamara gets a card.
  • 55' Magnificent from Philip Zinckernagel! That is 52 goals in 63 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 60' The 32-year-old Alvas Powell has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 65' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 68' Kei Kamara makes way for Gerardo Valenzuela at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
  • 73' Brad Smith is replacing Luca Orellano for the FC Cincinnati side.
  • 74' The whistle greets Leonardo Barroso as he departs to be replaced by Jonathan Dean.
  • 76' Jonathan Bamba catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 76.
  • 81' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 83' Matt Miazga was booked on 83.
  • 83' The crowd applauds Jonathan Bamba as he leaves the pitch. Omari Glasgow steps in for Chicago Fire FC.
  • 88' FC Cincinnati has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 90' Jack Elliott catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • 90' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Corey Baird comes on to replace Kevin Denkey.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

Chicago Fire FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gregg Berhalter

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Evander 7
Hugo Cuypers 5
Luciano Acosta 4
Brian Gutierrez 3
Robert Beric 3
Jhon Duran 3
Rafael Czichos 2
Ignacio Aliseda 2

Head to Head

2025-07-05 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Chicago Fire FC 2025-04-20 Chicago Fire FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati 2024-07-17 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Chicago Fire FC 2024-03-03 Chicago Fire FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-06-03 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Chicago Fire FC

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-07-05 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Chicago Fire FC W 2025-06-28 Orlando City SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2025-06-25 Montreal Impact FC 1–3 FC Cincinnati W 2025-06-14 New England Revolution 0–1 FC Cincinnati W 2025-05-31 FC Cincinnati 1–2 D.C. United SC L 2025-05-28 FC Cincinnati 3–3 FC Dallas D

Chicago Fire FC Form

2025-07-05 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Chicago Fire FC L 2025-06-29 Chicago Fire FC 3–2 Charlotte FC W 2025-06-26 Chicago Fire FC 0–1 Philadelphia Union L 2025-06-15 Chicago Fire FC 0–2 Nashville SC L 2025-06-07 D.C. United SC 1–7 Chicago Fire FC W 2025-05-31 Orlando City SC 1–3 Chicago Fire FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.98 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.27 Chicago Fire FC xG
I would bet for: FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC 79% + Over 2.5 goals 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati43% Draw21% Chicago Fire FC36%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
63%
Draw or Chicago Fire FC
57%
FC Cincinnati or Chicago Fire FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati28% Draw37% Chicago Fire FC35%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 3
5.2%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 3
3.4%
1 – 4
3%
2 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Chicago Fire FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 10% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 16% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 18% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 13% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.