Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Alverca vs FC Famalicão, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sun 4 Jan 2026 · 20:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Alverca vs FC FamalicãoPrimeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Diogo Rosa (Portugal)
5 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 5.6 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
FC Alverca 2 games · Avg 1.0 goals FC Famalicão

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan FC Famalicão H 1–0 W
27 Dec GD Estoril Praia A 1–4 L
22 Dec FC Porto H 0–3 L
14 Dec FC Arouca A 0–1 L
07 Dec CD Nacional H 1–0 W
29 Nov Casa Pia AC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan FC Alverca A 0–1 L
27 Dec CF Estrela da Amadora H 2–3 L
22 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–1 L
14 Dec GD Estoril Praia H 4–0 W
06 Dec Sporting Clube de Braga H 1–2 L
29 Nov Moreirense FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

FC Alverca FC Famalicão
#11 Position #5
39 Points 56
34 Played 34
10 / 9 / 15 W / D / L 15 / 11 / 8
35 Scored 42
52 Conceded 29
-17 GD +13
1.15 PPG 1.65
29% Win % 44%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
FC Alverca this season
50% Clean Sheets
FC Famalicão this season

FC Alverca are 11th (39 pts). FC Famalicão are 5th (56 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Alverca
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/
31-45
/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Famalicão
0-15
/3
16-30
/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/
61-75
3/
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Alverca Lineups

FC Famalicão Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.88 FC Alverca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 FC Famalicão xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + FC Alverca or Draw 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Alverca39% Draw32% FC Famalicão29%
Actual: FC Alverca win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.78
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 53%
47%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

FC Alverca or Draw
71%
Draw or FC Famalicão
61%
FC Alverca or FC Famalicão
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Alverca21% Draw58% FC Famalicão21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
19.4%
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
2.8%
0 – 3
1.9%
1 – 3
1.8%
3 – 0
1.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Alverca

Handicap FC Alverca covers Push FC Famalicão covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 20% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 21% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

FC Alverca keeps clean sheet
41%
FC Famalicão keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.