Wednesday , 30 September 2026

GD Estoril Praia vs FC Alverca, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
GD Estoril Praia
4 – 1
Full Time
FC Alverca
Sat 27 Dec 2025 · 20:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

GD Estoril Praia vs FC Alverca — Primeira Liga .

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 7 21
2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 7 16
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 7 15
4 CD Santa Clara 7 15
5 FC Arouca 7 11
6 Sporting Clube de Braga 6 11
7 Académico de Viseu FC 7 11
8 CF Estrela da Amadora 7 10
9 Moreirense FC 7 8
10 Gil Vicente FC 6 8
11 CS Marítimo 7 8
12 FC Alverca 7 8
13 FC Famalicão 7 7
14 Vitória SC 7 5
15 CD Nacional 7 4
16 Rio Ave FC 7 4
17 Casa Pia AC 7 4
18 GD Estoril Praia 7 2

Head-to-Head

1
1
GD Estoril Praia 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals FC Alverca
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-27 GD Estoril Praia 4–1 FC Alverca

Recent Form

GD Estoril Praia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec FC Alverca H 4–1 W
19 Dec Sporting Clube de Braga H 1–0 W
14 Dec FC Famalicão A 0–4 L
07 Dec Moreirense FC H 3–3 D
30 Nov FC Porto A 0–1 L
07 Nov FC Arouca H 4–3 W
FC Alverca
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec GD Estoril Praia A 1–4 L
22 Dec FC Porto H 0–3 L
14 Dec FC Arouca A 0–1 L
07 Dec CD Nacional H 1–0 W
29 Nov Casa Pia AC A 2–0 W
08 Nov Rio Ave FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

GD Estoril Praia FC Alverca
#18 Position #12
2 Points 8
7 Played 7
0 / 2 / 5 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 3
3 Scored 9
10 Conceded 11
-7 GD -2
0.29 PPG 1.14
0% Win % 29%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
GD Estoril Praia this season
14% Clean Sheets
FC Alverca this season

GD Estoril Praia are 18th (2 pts). FC Alverca are 12th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

GD Estoril Praia
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Alverca
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
2/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

GD Estoril Praia
Yanis Begraoui 2 G
FC Alverca
Dawda Camara 3 G
Vivaldo Semedo 2 G
Lucas Figueiredo 1 G
Ian Luccas 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

GD Estoril Praia Lineups

FC Alverca Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.88 GD Estoril Praia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 FC Alverca xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
GD Estoril Praia53% Draw24% FC Alverca23%
Actual: GD Estoril Praia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

GD Estoril Praia or Draw
77%
Draw or FC Alverca
47%
GD Estoril Praia or FC Alverca
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
GD Estoril Praia38% Draw43% FC Alverca19%
Actual: GD Estoril Praia win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 0
7.7%
0 – 0
6.1%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — GD Estoril Praia

Handicap GD Estoril Praia covers Push FC Alverca covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 22% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

GD Estoril Praia keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
FC Alverca keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.