Thursday , 2 July 2026

GD Estoril Praia vs FC Alverca, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
GD Estoril Praia
4 – 1
Full Time
FC Alverca
Sat 27 Dec 2025 · 20:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

GD Estoril Praia vs FC Alverca — Primeira Liga .

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 34 88
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 34 82
3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 34 80
4 Sporting Clube de Braga 34 59
5 FC Famalicão 34 56
6 Gil Vicente FC 34 50
7 Moreirense FC 34 43
8 FC Arouca 34 42
9 Vitória SC 34 42
10 GD Estoril Praia 34 39
11 FC Alverca 34 39
12 Rio Ave FC 34 36
13 CD Santa Clara 34 36
14 CD Nacional 34 34
15 CF Estrela da Amadora 34 30
16 Casa Pia AC 34 30
17 CD Tondela 34 28
18 AVS 34 21

Head-to-Head

1
1
GD Estoril Praia 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals FC Alverca
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-27 GD Estoril Praia 4–1 FC Alverca

Recent Form

GD Estoril Praia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec FC Alverca H 4–1 W
19 Dec Sporting Clube de Braga H 1–0 W
14 Dec FC Famalicão A 0–4 L
07 Dec Moreirense FC H 3–3 D
30 Nov FC Porto A 0–1 L
07 Nov FC Arouca H 4–3 W
FC Alverca
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec GD Estoril Praia A 1–4 L
22 Dec FC Porto H 0–3 L
14 Dec FC Arouca A 0–1 L
07 Dec CD Nacional H 1–0 W
29 Nov Casa Pia AC A 2–0 W
08 Nov Rio Ave FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

GD Estoril Praia FC Alverca
#10 Position #11
39 Points 39
34 Played 34
10 / 9 / 15 W / D / L 10 / 9 / 15
54 Scored 35
57 Conceded 52
-3 GD -17
1.15 PPG 1.15
29% Win % 29%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
GD Estoril Praia this season
18% Clean Sheets
FC Alverca this season

GD Estoril Praia are 10th (39 pts). FC Alverca are 11th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

GD Estoril Praia
0-15
1/6
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Alverca
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

GD Estoril Praia Lineups

FC Alverca Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.64 GD Estoril Praia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 FC Alverca xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
GD Estoril Praia64% Draw20% FC Alverca16%
Actual: GD Estoril Praia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

GD Estoril Praia or Draw
83%
Draw or FC Alverca
36%
GD Estoril Praia or FC Alverca
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
GD Estoril Praia50% Draw36% FC Alverca14%
Actual: GD Estoril Praia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 1
7.6%
3 – 1
7.6%
3 – 0
6.5%
1 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
4 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
4.6%
4 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — GD Estoril Praia

Handicap GD Estoril Praia covers Push FC Alverca covers
-2.5 27% — 73%
-2 27% 19% 54%
-1.5 46% — 54%
-1 46% 20% 33%
-0.5 67% — 33%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 9% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

GD Estoril Praia keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
FC Alverca keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.