Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 27 Nov 2024 · 20:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 25,141 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 2' Zan Vipotnik
0–2 14' Ronald
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing pen 65' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Toner
  • Assistant 1 Hugh Gilroy (England)
  • Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson
5 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 10.2 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Nov Swansea City AFC H 1–2 L
23 Nov Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
09 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D
06 Nov Coventry City FC A 2–1 W
02 Nov Stoke City FC A 1–2 L
26 Oct Hull City AFC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Nov Derby County FC A 2–1 W
24 Nov Leeds United FC H 3–4 L
10 Nov Burnley FC A 0–1 L
05 Nov Watford FC H 1–0 W
02 Nov Oxford United FC A 2–1 W
26 Oct Millwall FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Derby County FC Swansea City AFC
#23 Position #6
10 Points 26
15 Played 15
2 / 4 / 9 W / D / L 8 / 2 / 5
14 Scored 22
30 Conceded 18
-16 GD +4
0.67 PPG 1.73
13% Win % 53%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
40% Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts). Swansea City AFC are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Swansea City AFC
0-15
4/5
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/5
46-60
6/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A
Swansea City AFC
Adam Idah 4 G 1 A
Joseph Opoku 3 G 2 A
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo 3 G
Ji-sung Eom 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Pride Park Stadium. Derby County FC are looking to make home advantage count against Swansea City AFC.
  • 2' What composure from Zan Vipotnik! The Slovenia international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 7' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 12' Swansea City AFC come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 14' A stunning finish from Ronald — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 19' Swansea City AFC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 24' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luke Williams might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 29' Ireland international Cyrus Christie has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 34' A meaty challenge results in booking for Callum Elder on 34.
  • 39' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 44' The travelling Swansea City AFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 49' Corey Blackett-Taylor needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 6 Yellow cards this season.
  • 54' Derby County FC currently sit 14 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 59' Over 59 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 60' The crowd applauds Harry Darling as he leaves the pitch. Cyrus Christie steps in for Swansea City AFC.
  • 62' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Corey Blackett-Taylor is replaced by Thomas Barkhuizen on 62 minute.
  • 65' The Guatemala forward Nathaniel Mendez-Laing breaks the deadlock on 65 minutes. 1-2!
  • 66' Another substitution for Swansea City AFC to replace Kyle Naughton by Josh Key on 66 minute.
  • 71' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 73' That is a card for Swansea City AFC. Myles Peart-Harris will be fuming at that decision.
  • 78' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 79' The whistle greets Marcus Harness as he departs to be replaced by Dajaune Brown.
  • 84' The Swansea City AFC bench stirs into life. Goncalo Franco is withdrawn and Jay Fulton gets his opportunity.
  • 88' Curtis Nelson catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 88.
  • 90' Liam Thompson is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • Derby County FC will have plenty to reflect on. Swansea City AFC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.96 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC25% Draw28% Swansea City AFC47%
Actual: Swansea City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
53%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
75%
Derby County FC or Swansea City AFC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC17% Draw47% Swansea City AFC36%
Actual: Swansea City AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 1
11.3%
0 – 2
9.8%
0 – 0
9.4%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 3
5.3%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 24% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
39% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.