Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 15 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ben Toner
- Assistant 1 Hugh Gilroy (England)
- Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson
5 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 10.2 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Nov | Preston North End FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Nov | Coventry City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | Stoke City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | Hull City AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov | Derby County FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Nov | Leeds United FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 10 Nov | Burnley FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Nov | Watford FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | Oxford United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Position | #6 |
| 10 | Points | 26 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 2 / 4 / 9 | W / D / L | 8 / 2 / 5 |
| 14 | Scored | 22 |
| 30 | Conceded | 18 |
| -16 | GD | +4 |
| 0.67 | PPG | 1.73 |
| 13% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
40%
Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
Swansea City AFC this season
Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts). Swansea City AFC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Swansea City AFC
0-15
4/5
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/5
46-60
6/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Swansea City AFC
| Adam Idah | 4 G | 1 A |
| Joseph Opoku | 3 G | 2 A |
| Moussa Kounfolo Yeo | 3 G | |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Pride Park Stadium. Derby County FC are looking to make home advantage count against Swansea City AFC.
- 2' What composure from Zan Vipotnik! The Slovenia international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 7' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 12' Swansea City AFC come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 14' A stunning finish from Ronald — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 19' Swansea City AFC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 24' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luke Williams might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 29' Ireland international Cyrus Christie has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 34' A meaty challenge results in booking for Callum Elder on 34.
- 39' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 44' The travelling Swansea City AFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 49' Corey Blackett-Taylor needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 6 Yellow cards this season.
- 54' Derby County FC currently sit 14 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 59' Over 59 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 60' The crowd applauds Harry Darling as he leaves the pitch. Cyrus Christie steps in for Swansea City AFC.
- 62' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Corey Blackett-Taylor is replaced by Thomas Barkhuizen on 62 minute.
- 65' The Guatemala forward Nathaniel Mendez-Laing breaks the deadlock on 65 minutes. 1-2!
- 66' Another substitution for Swansea City AFC to replace Kyle Naughton by Josh Key on 66 minute.
- 71' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 73' That is a card for Swansea City AFC. Myles Peart-Harris will be fuming at that decision.
- 78' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 79' The whistle greets Marcus Harness as he departs to be replaced by Dajaune Brown.
- 84' The Swansea City AFC bench stirs into life. Goncalo Franco is withdrawn and Jay Fulton gets his opportunity.
- 88' Curtis Nelson catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 88.
- 90' Liam Thompson is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- Derby County FC will have plenty to reflect on. Swansea City AFC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Liam Thompson 62'
-
18
Marcus Harness ↓ Dajaune Brown 79'
- 11
-
19
Kayden Jackson ↓ James Collins 79'
- 27
- 2
- 35
- 32
-
20
Callum Elder ↓ Craig Forsyth 62'
- 6
- 1
Bench
- 8
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 62'
- 31
-
9
James Collins ↑ 79'
- 5
- 12
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 62'
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 62'
-
39
Dajaune Brown ↑ 79'
Coach
Paul Warne
Swansea City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
26
Kyle Naughton ↓ Josh Key 66'
- 20
- 22
-
6
Harry Darling ↓ Cyrus Christie 60'
- 5
- 14
-
17
Goncalo Franco ↓ Jay Fulton 84'
- 25
- 9
- 35
Bench
- 7
-
4
Jay Fulton ↑ 84'
- 33
-
23
Cyrus Christie ↑ 60'
-
2
Josh Key ↑ 66'
- 21
- 32
-
19
Florian Bianchini ↑ 66'
-
47
Azeem Abdulai ↑ 84'
Coach
Luke Williams
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Lawrence | 4 |
| Harry Wilson | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Ronald | 2 |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 |
| Colin Kazim-Richards | 1 |
| Kamil Jozwiak | 1 |
| Fikayo Tomori | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
Swansea City AFC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.96
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Swansea City AFC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
53%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
75%
Derby County FC or Swansea City AFC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Swansea City AFC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 1
11.3%
0 – 2
9.8%
0 – 0
9.4%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 3
5.3%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 13% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 24% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

