Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 8 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ben Toner
- Assistant 1 Hugh Gilroy (England)
- Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson
4 games this season
🟨 5.5/game
⚽ 12.5 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Nov | Preston North End FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Nov | Coventry City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | Stoke City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | Hull City AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov | Derby County FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Nov | Leeds United FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 10 Nov | Burnley FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Nov | Watford FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | Oxford United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #1 |
| 5 | Points | 17 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 1 / 2 / 5 | W / D / L | 5 / 2 / 1 |
| 7 | Scored | 13 |
| 14 | Conceded | 6 |
| -7 | GD | +7 |
| 0.63 | PPG | 2.13 |
| 13% | Win % | 63% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
Swansea City AFC this season
Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Swansea City AFC are 1st (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Swansea City AFC
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Swansea City AFC
| Adam Idah | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 G | 2 A |
| Joseph Opoku | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Derby County FC get us underway at Pride Park Stadium.
- 2' Assisted by Myles Peart-Harris with the perfectly-timed delivery and Zan Vipotnik makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 7' A quiet spell here at Pride Park Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 12' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luke Williams will be considering his options from the bench.
- 14' Brilliant from the ! Ronald makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 14.
- 19' Swansea City AFC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 24' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 29' England international Kayden Jackson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 34' The referee calls foul for Callum Elder. He receives a card.
- 39' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 44' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Swansea City AFC backline.
- 49' Derby County FC currently sit 14 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 54' Swansea City AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 59' Swansea City AFC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 60' Cyrus Christie is ready to make an impact after coming on for Harry Darling at the 60 minute mark.
- 62' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Corey Blackett-Taylor departs to be replaced by Thomas Barkhuizen.
- 65' Goal! Nathaniel Mendez-Laing scores his 29 goal in 376 matches.
- 66' Josh Key is replacing Kyle Naughton for the Swansea City AFC side.
- 71' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 71 minutes.
- 73' A meaty challenge results in booking for Myles Peart-Harris on 73.
- 78' Curtis Nelson, a England , has 31 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 79' The crowd applauds Marcus Harness as he leaves the pitch. Dajaune Brown steps in for Derby County FC.
- 84' Swansea City AFC ring the changes. Goncalo Franco has done his job and it is now time for Jay Fulton to step up.
- 88' Controversy at the stadium! Curtis Nelson argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Liam Thompson.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-2.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Liam Thompson 62'
-
18
Marcus Harness ↓ Dajaune Brown 79'
- 11
-
19
Kayden Jackson ↓ James Collins 79'
- 27
- 2
- 35
- 32
-
20
Callum Elder ↓ Craig Forsyth 62'
- 6
- 1
Bench
- 8
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 62'
- 31
-
9
James Collins ↑ 79'
- 5
- 12
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 62'
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 62'
-
39
Dajaune Brown ↑ 79'
Coach
Paul Warne
Swansea City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
26
Kyle Naughton ↓ Josh Key 66'
- 20
- 22
-
6
Harry Darling ↓ Cyrus Christie 60'
- 5
- 14
-
17
Goncalo Franco ↓ Jay Fulton 84'
- 25
- 9
- 35
Bench
- 7
-
4
Jay Fulton ↑ 84'
- 33
-
23
Cyrus Christie ↑ 60'
-
2
Josh Key ↑ 66'
- 21
- 32
-
19
Florian Bianchini ↑ 66'
-
47
Azeem Abdulai ↑ 84'
Coach
Luke Williams
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Lawrence | 4 |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 |
| Harry Wilson | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Ronald | 2 |
| Kyle Naughton | 1 |
| Joseph Opoku | 1 |
| Yan Dhanda | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
Swansea City AFC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.78
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Swansea City AFC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
50%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
78%
Derby County FC or Swansea City AFC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Swansea City AFC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.8%
1 – 1
12.2%
0 – 2
11.6%
0 – 0
11.1%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 3
6.2%
1 – 0
6%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.6%
2 – 0
2.6%
0 – 4
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +1 | 44% | 25% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
46%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

