Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ben Toner
- Assistant 1 Hugh Gilroy (England)
- Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Nov | Preston North End FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Nov | Coventry City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | Stoke City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | Hull City AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov | Derby County FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Nov | Leeds United FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 10 Nov | Burnley FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Nov | Watford FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | Oxford United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #11 |
| 69 | Points | 64 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 20 / 9 / 17 | W / D / L | 18 / 10 / 18 |
| 67 | Scored | 57 |
| 59 | Conceded | 59 |
| +8 | GD | -2 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 43% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Pride Park Stadium that hosts another battle between Derby County FC and Swansea City AFC.
- 2' Zan Vipotnik does the damage! The net is bulging and Swansea City AFC surge ahead!
- 7' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 12' Marcus Harness has been relatively quiet despite scoring 50 goals in his last 372 appearances.
- 14' Brilliant from the ! Ronald makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 14.
- 19' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luke Williams might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 24' It looks like no one’s ball. Swansea City AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 29' With 0 assists to his name this season, Azeem Abdulai is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Swansea City AFC.
- 34' Poor challenge from Callum Elder. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 39' Over 39 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 44' The travelling Swansea City AFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 49' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 54' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Swansea City AFC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 59' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lawrence Vigouroux, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 60' Time for substitution for Swansea City AFC. Harry Darling is replaced by Cyrus Christie.
- 62' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Thomas Barkhuizen on, Corey Blackett-Taylor off on 62 minutes.
- 65' What a moment for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing! That strike on 65 puts his side firmly in control.
- 66' A tactical swap from Swansea City AFC — Josh Key on, Kyle Naughton off on 66 minutes.
- 71' Matt Grimes has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 73' Controversy at the stadium! Myles Peart-Harris argues furiously but the card stands.
- 78' The 33-year-old Curtis Nelson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 79' Derby County FC ring the changes. Marcus Harness has done his job and it is now time for Dajaune Brown to step up.
- 84' The supporters are chanting for Jay Fulton. He replaces Goncalo Franco on 84 minute.
- 88' Curtis Nelson picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' A moment of madness from Liam Thompson on 90 minutes earns him a card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
- Full Time. Swansea City AFC beats Derby County FC
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Liam Thompson 62'
-
18
Marcus Harness ↓ Dajaune Brown 79'
- 11
-
19
Kayden Jackson ↓ James Collins 79'
- 27
- 2
- 35
- 32
-
20
Callum Elder ↓ Craig Forsyth 62'
- 6
- 1
Bench
- 8
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 62'
- 31
-
9
James Collins ↑ 79'
- 5
- 12
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 62'
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 62'
-
39
Dajaune Brown ↑ 79'
Coach
Paul Warne
Swansea City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
26
Kyle Naughton ↓ Josh Key 66'
- 20
- 22
-
6
Harry Darling ↓ Cyrus Christie 60'
- 5
- 14
-
17
Goncalo Franco ↓ Jay Fulton 84'
- 25
- 9
- 35
Bench
- 7
-
4
Jay Fulton ↑ 84'
- 33
-
23
Cyrus Christie ↑ 60'
-
2
Josh Key ↑ 66'
- 21
- 32
-
19
Florian Bianchini ↑ 66'
-
47
Azeem Abdulai ↑ 84'
Coach
Luke Williams
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Lawrence | 4 |
| Harry Wilson | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Kamil Jozwiak | 1 |
| Fikayo Tomori | 1 |
| Connor Roberts | 1 |
| Morgan Whittaker | 1 |
| Richard Keogh | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
Swansea City AFC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.35
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Derby County FC or Swansea City AFC 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Swansea City AFC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
64%
Derby County FC or Swansea City AFC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Swansea City AFC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 19% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.