Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 27 Nov 2024 · 20:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 25,141 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 2' Zan Vipotnik
0–2 14' Ronald
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing pen 65' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Toner
  • Assistant 1 Hugh Gilroy (England)
  • Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson
4 games this season 🟨 5.5/game ⚽ 12.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Nov Swansea City AFC H 1–2 L
23 Nov Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
09 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D
06 Nov Coventry City FC A 2–1 W
02 Nov Stoke City FC A 1–2 L
26 Oct Hull City AFC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Nov Derby County FC A 2–1 W
24 Nov Leeds United FC H 3–4 L
10 Nov Burnley FC A 0–1 L
05 Nov Watford FC H 1–0 W
02 Nov Oxford United FC A 2–1 W
26 Oct Millwall FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Derby County FC Swansea City AFC
#22 Position #1
5 Points 17
8 Played 8
1 / 2 / 5 W / D / L 5 / 2 / 1
7 Scored 13
14 Conceded 6
-7 GD +7
0.63 PPG 2.13
13% Win % 63%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season

Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Swansea City AFC are 1st (17 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Swansea City AFC
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A
Swansea City AFC
Adam Idah 3 G 1 A
Ji-sung Eom 2 G 2 A
Joseph Opoku 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Derby County FC get us underway at Pride Park Stadium.
  • 2' Assisted by Myles Peart-Harris with the perfectly-timed delivery and Zan Vipotnik makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 7' A quiet spell here at Pride Park Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 12' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luke Williams will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 14' Brilliant from the ! Ronald makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 14.
  • 19' Swansea City AFC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 24' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 29' England international Kayden Jackson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 34' The referee calls foul for Callum Elder. He receives a card.
  • 39' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 44' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Swansea City AFC backline.
  • 49' Derby County FC currently sit 14 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 54' Swansea City AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 59' Swansea City AFC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 60' Cyrus Christie is ready to make an impact after coming on for Harry Darling at the 60 minute mark.
  • 62' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Corey Blackett-Taylor departs to be replaced by Thomas Barkhuizen.
  • 65' Goal! Nathaniel Mendez-Laing scores his 29 goal in 376 matches.
  • 66' Josh Key is replacing Kyle Naughton for the Swansea City AFC side.
  • 71' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 71 minutes.
  • 73' A meaty challenge results in booking for Myles Peart-Harris on 73.
  • 78' Curtis Nelson, a England , has 31 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Marcus Harness as he leaves the pitch. Dajaune Brown steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 84' Swansea City AFC ring the changes. Goncalo Franco has done his job and it is now time for Jay Fulton to step up.
  • 88' Controversy at the stadium! Curtis Nelson argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Liam Thompson.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.78 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC22% Draw28% Swansea City AFC50%
Actual: Swansea City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
50%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
78%
Derby County FC or Swansea City AFC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC13% Draw48% Swansea City AFC39%
Actual: Swansea City AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.8%
1 – 1
12.2%
0 – 2
11.6%
0 – 0
11.1%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 3
6.2%
1 – 0
6%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.6%
2 – 0
2.6%
0 – 4
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 11% 84%
-0.5 16% — 84%
+0.5 44% — 56%
+1 44% 25% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 18% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
46% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.