Sunday , 16 August 2026

Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Swansea.com Stadium 16,501 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ji-sung Eom 79' 1–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Derby County FC H 1–0 W
29 Mar Leeds United FC A 2–2 D
15 Mar Burnley FC H 0–2 L
12 Mar Watford FC A 0–1 L
08 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Swansea City AFC A 0–1 L
02 Apr Preston North End FC H 2–0 W
15 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC A 3–2 W
11 Mar Coventry City FC H 2–0 W
08 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC H 2–1 W
01 Mar Middlesbrough FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Swansea City AFC Derby County FC
#11 Position #23
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Swansea City AFC are 11th (0 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Swansea City AFC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Swansea City AFC and Derby County FC is underway.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Swansea.com Stadium. Swansea City AFC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Harrison Armstrong, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' Liam Cullen has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' Swansea City AFC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 30' Swansea City AFC have won 472 goals from 383 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 40' Goncalo Franco is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Swansea City AFC tonight.
  • 45' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kayden Jackson, as he is very good at scoring at Swansea.com Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 50' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Swansea City AFC that had 383 games and scored 472 goals.
  • 55' Swansea City AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • 60' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 62' Swansea City AFC make a change. Goncalo Franco trudges off to be replaced by Zan Vipotnik on 62 minutes.
  • 67' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 72' Both keepers have barely been tested. Swansea City AFC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 77' Swansea City AFC make a change. Jay Fulton trudges off to be replaced by Joe Allen on 77 minutes.
  • 79' Ji-sung Eom doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 82' Marcus Harness has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 82.
  • 83' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Nathaniel Mendez-Laing comes on to replace Ebou Adams.
  • 88' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ebou Adams made 12 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 90' Kayden Jackson makes way for Lennon Wheeldon at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Derby County FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.6 Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.38 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 91% + Under — clean sheet likely 83%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Swansea City AFC40% Draw42% Derby County FC18%
Actual: Swansea City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes17% 0% No83%
Avg goals/match: 0.98
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 60%
40%
± 1.5 27%
73%
± 2.5 9%
91%
± 3.5 2%
98%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Swansea City AFC or Draw
82%
Draw or Derby County FC
60%
Swansea City AFC or Derby County FC
58%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Swansea City AFC17% Draw73% Derby County FC10%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
40.1%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
12.3%
1 – 1
10%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 1
3%
0 – 2
2.3%
1 – 2
1.8%
3 – 0
1.2%
2 – 2
0.7%
3 – 1
0.6%
0 – 3
0.3%

Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC

Handicap Swansea City AFC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 24% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 14% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
68%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
55%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.