Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Swansea.com Stadium.
- Swansea City AFC 7 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 7 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Andy Davies (England)
- Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
- Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham United FC | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Swansea City AFC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough FC | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 7 | 12 |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic FC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Birmingham City FC | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Stoke City FC | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Bristol City FC | 6 | 10 |
| 11 | Norwich City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 12 | Millwall FC | 6 | 9 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 6 | 9 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 5 | 8 |
| 15 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Lincoln City FC | 6 | 8 |
| 17 | Watford FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 6 | 7 |
| 19 | Wrexham AFC | 7 | 7 |
| 20 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 7 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 7 | 4 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 7 | 3 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 7 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | Derby County FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | Leeds United FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Mar | Burnley FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Mar | Watford FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Mar | Preston North End FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Apr | Preston North End FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Swansea City AFC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #22 |
| 14 | Points | 4 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 4 / 2 / 1 | W / D / L | 1 / 1 / 5 |
| 11 | Scored | 6 |
| 5 | Conceded | 13 |
| +6 | GD | -7 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 0.57 |
| 57% | Win % | 14% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
57%
Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
Swansea City AFC this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Swansea City AFC are 2nd (14 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (4 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Swansea City AFC
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Swansea City AFC
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 G | 2 A |
| Adam Idah | 2 G | 1 A |
| Joseph Opoku | 2 G |
Derby County FC
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
| Bobby Clark | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Swansea.com Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' Swansea City AFC are deployed in a 5-3-2 today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's 5-3-2 shape.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Josh Key suffering a number of foals already.
- 25' Swansea City AFC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Ji-sung Eom scoring 1 goals.
- 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 35' The 25-year-old Goncalo Franco has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 40' Lawrence Vigouroux has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 45' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 50' Swansea City AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
- 55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 60' Swansea City AFC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 62' It is a substitution in Swansea City AFC team. Goncalo Franco is replaced by Zan Vipotnik on 62 minute.
- 67' The referee calls foul for Craig Forsyth. He receives a card.
- 72' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 77' Joe Allen is replacing Jay Fulton for the Swansea City AFC side.
- 79' Magnificent from Ji-sung Eom! That is 6 goals in 387 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 82' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Marcus Harness on 82 minutes.
- 83' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Ebou Adams is replaced by Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on 83 minute.
- 88' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 90' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Lennon Wheeldon comes on to replace Kayden Jackson.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for Swansea City AFC and Derby County FC (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
Swansea City AFC Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
-
4
Jay Fulton ↓ Joe Allen 77'
- 20
- 8
- 22
- 2
- 6
-
28
Hannes Delcroix ↓ Ji-sung Eom 62'
- 5
- 14
-
17
Goncalo Franco ↓ Zan Vipotnik 62'
-
35
Ronald ↓ Cyrus Christie 90'
Bench
-
7
Joe Allen ↑ 77'
- 26
- 33
-
23
Cyrus Christie ↑ 90'
- 19
- 31
-
9
Zan Vipotnik ↑ 62'
- 41
-
10
Ji-sung Eom ↑ 62'
Coach
Luke Williams
Derby County FC Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 25
- 3
- 18
- 19
- 2
- 32
- 12
- 16
- 1
-
6
Sondre Langas ↓ Kenzo Goudmijn 83'
- 28
Bench
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↑ 83'
- 29
- 33
-
11
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing ↑ 83'
- 31
- 21
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 83'
-
48
Lennon Wheeldon ↑ 90'
- 36
Coach
John Eustace
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Lawrence | 4 |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 |
| Harry Wilson | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Ronald | 2 |
| Duane Holmes | 1 |
| Kyle Naughton | 1 |
| Joseph Opoku | 1 |
Head to Head
Swansea City AFC Form
Derby County FC Form
2025-04-05
Swansea City AFC
1–0
Derby County FC
L
2025-04-02
Derby County FC
2–0
Preston North End FC
W
2025-03-15
Plymouth Argyle FC
2–3
Derby County FC
W
2025-03-11
Derby County FC
2–0
Coventry City FC
W
2025-03-08
Derby County FC
2–1
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
2025-03-01
Middlesbrough FC
1–0
Derby County FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.77
Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.59
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Swansea City AFC to win 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Swansea City AFC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Swansea City AFC or Draw
86%
Draw or Derby County FC
38%
Swansea City AFC or Derby County FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
14.4%
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
8.5%
3 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 1
4.6%
4 – 0
3.7%
1 – 2
2.7%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 1
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC
| Handicap | Swansea City AFC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 20% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 26% | 35% |
| -0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
56%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

