Saturday , 14 November 2026

Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Swansea.com Stadium 16,501 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ji-sung Eom 79' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Swansea.com Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Davies (England)
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Derby County FC H 1–0 W
29 Mar Leeds United FC A 2–2 D
15 Mar Burnley FC H 0–2 L
12 Mar Watford FC A 0–1 L
08 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Swansea City AFC A 0–1 L
02 Apr Preston North End FC H 2–0 W
15 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC A 3–2 W
11 Mar Coventry City FC H 2–0 W
08 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC H 2–1 W
01 Mar Middlesbrough FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Swansea City AFC Derby County FC
#6 Position #23
26 Points 10
15 Played 15
8 / 2 / 5 W / D / L 2 / 4 / 9
22 Scored 14
18 Conceded 30
+4 GD -16
1.73 PPG 0.67
53% Win % 13%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Swansea City AFC are 6th (26 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Swansea City AFC
0-15
4/5
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/5
46-60
6/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Swansea City AFC
Adam Idah 4 G 1 A
Joseph Opoku 3 G 2 A
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo 3 G
Ji-sung Eom 2 G 2 A
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Swansea.com Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Swansea City AFC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Swansea City AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Swansea City AFC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Swansea City AFC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 35' Jay Fulton, a Scotland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 40' The home supporters are growing impatient. Swansea City AFC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kenzo Goudmijn made 315 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 50' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luke Williams will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 55' Swansea City AFC have won 493 goals from 398 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 60' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 62' A change in the Swansea City AFC ranks — Goncalo Franco exits the field as Zan Vipotnik enters on 62.
  • 67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Craig Forsyth on 67.
  • 72' Norway international Sondre Langas has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 77' Swansea City AFC make a change. Jay Fulton trudges off to be replaced by Joe Allen on 77 minutes.
  • 79' Ji-sung Eom is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
  • 82' Poor challenge from Marcus Harness. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 83' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Ebou Adams departs to be replaced by Nathaniel Mendez-Laing.
  • 88' Derby County FC come into this ranked 20 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 90' Derby County FC make a change. Kayden Jackson trudges off to be replaced by Lennon Wheeldon on 90 minutes.
  • 1-0 the final result. Derby County FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.75 Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Swansea City AFC to win 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Swansea City AFC59% Draw25% Derby County FC16%
Actual: Swansea City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Swansea City AFC or Draw
84%
Draw or Derby County FC
41%
Swansea City AFC or Derby County FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Swansea City AFC41% Draw47% Derby County FC12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
12.3%
1 – 1
11.5%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
7%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
3.1%
4 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC

Handicap Swansea City AFC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 19% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 25% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 10% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
48% ✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.