Thursday , 2 July 2026

Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Swansea City AFC
1 – 0
Full Time
Derby County FC
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Swansea.com Stadium 16,501 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ji-sung Eom 79' 1–0
Y 67' Craig Forsyth
Y 82' Marcus Harness

Overview

Match Preview

Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Swansea.com Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Davies (England)
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Millwall FC 46 83
4 Southampton FC 46 80
5 Middlesbrough FC 46 80
6 Hull City AFC 46 73
7 Wrexham AFC 46 71
8 Derby County FC 46 69
9 Norwich City FC 46 65
10 Birmingham City FC 46 64
11 Swansea City AFC 46 64
12 Bristol City FC 46 62
13 Sheffield United FC 46 60
14 Preston North End FC 46 60
15 Queens Park Rangers FC 46 58
16 Watford FC 46 57
17 Stoke City FC 46 55
18 Portsmouth FC 46 55
19 Charlton Athletic FC 46 53
20 Blackburn Rovers FC 46 52
21 West Bromwich Albion FC 46 51
22 Oxford United FC 46 47
23 Leicester City FC 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

4
3
5
Swansea City AFC 12 games · Avg 2.3 goals Derby County FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-05 Swansea City AFC 1–0 Derby County FC 2024-11-27 Derby County FC 1–2 Swansea City AFC 2022-04-09 Swansea City AFC 2–1 Derby County FC 2021-10-02 Derby County FC 0–0 Swansea City AFC 2021-05-01 Swansea City AFC 2–1 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Swansea City AFC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Derby County FC H 1–0 W
29 Mar Leeds United FC A 2–2 D
15 Mar Burnley FC H 0–2 L
12 Mar Watford FC A 0–1 L
08 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Swansea City AFC A 0–1 L
02 Apr Preston North End FC H 2–0 W
15 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC A 3–2 W
11 Mar Coventry City FC H 2–0 W
08 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC H 2–1 W
01 Mar Middlesbrough FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Swansea City AFC Derby County FC
#11 Position #8
64 Points 69
46 Played 46
18 / 10 / 18 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17
57 Scored 67
59 Conceded 59
-2 GD +8
1.39 PPG 1.50
39% Win % 43%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Swansea City AFC have kicked off against Derby County FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Harry Darling made 191 appearances and scored 21 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Liam Cullen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' Harrison Armstrong has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 30' Swansea City AFC currently sit 16 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 40' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 45' Swansea City AFC are deployed in a 5-3-2 today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's 5-3-2 shape.
  • 50' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 60' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 62' Time for substitution for Swansea City AFC. Goncalo Franco is replaced by Zan Vipotnik.
  • 67' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 72' Swansea City AFC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 77' Joe Allen gets the nod from Swansea City AFC. He replaces Jay Fulton and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' The deadlock is broken! Ji-sung Eom gets on the scoresheet on 79 minutes.
  • 82' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marcus Harness on 82.
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing. He replaces Ebou Adams on 83 minute.
  • 88' A quiet spell here at Swansea.com Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Kayden Jackson is replaced by Lennon Wheeldon on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Swansea City AFC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Swansea City AFC Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luke Williams

Derby County FC Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach John Eustace

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Tom Lawrence 4
Harry Wilson 2
Joel Piroe 2
Zan Vipotnik 1
Martyn Waghorn 1
Ronald 1
Duane Holmes 1
Ji-sung Eom 1

Head to Head

2025-04-05 Swansea City AFC 1–0 Derby County FC 2024-11-27 Derby County FC 1–2 Swansea City AFC 2022-04-09 Swansea City AFC 2–1 Derby County FC 2021-10-02 Derby County FC 0–0 Swansea City AFC 2021-05-01 Swansea City AFC 2–1 Derby County FC

Swansea City AFC Form

2025-04-05 Swansea City AFC 1–0 Derby County FC W 2025-03-29 Leeds United FC 2–2 Swansea City AFC D 2025-03-15 Swansea City AFC 0–2 Burnley FC L 2025-03-12 Watford FC 1–0 Swansea City AFC L 2025-03-08 Swansea City AFC 1–0 Middlesbrough FC W 2025-03-04 Preston North End FC 0–0 Swansea City AFC D

Derby County FC Form

2025-04-05 Swansea City AFC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2025-04-02 Derby County FC 2–0 Preston North End FC W 2025-03-15 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–3 Derby County FC W 2025-03-11 Derby County FC 2–0 Coventry City FC W 2025-03-08 Derby County FC 2–1 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2025-03-01 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Derby County FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.3 Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Swansea City AFC45% Draw28% Derby County FC27%
Actual: Swansea City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Swansea City AFC or Draw
73%
Draw or Derby County FC
55%
Swansea City AFC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Swansea City AFC28% Draw50% Derby County FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC

Handicap Swansea City AFC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.