Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Swansea.com Stadium.
- Swansea City AFC 15 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Andy Davies (England)
- Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
- Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | Derby County FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | Leeds United FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Mar | Burnley FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Mar | Watford FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Mar | Preston North End FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Apr | Preston North End FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Swansea City AFC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #23 |
| 26 | Points | 10 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 8 / 2 / 5 | W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 9 |
| 22 | Scored | 14 |
| 18 | Conceded | 30 |
| +4 | GD | -16 |
| 1.73 | PPG | 0.67 |
| 53% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
Swansea City AFC this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Swansea City AFC are 6th (26 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Swansea City AFC
0-15
4/5
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/5
46-60
6/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Swansea City AFC
| Adam Idah | 4 G | 1 A |
| Joseph Opoku | 3 G | 2 A |
| Moussa Kounfolo Yeo | 3 G | |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 G | 2 A |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Swansea.com Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Swansea City AFC and Derby County FC.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Swansea City AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Swansea City AFC winning 100% of all matches.
- 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Swansea City AFC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 35' Jay Fulton, a Scotland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 40' The home supporters are growing impatient. Swansea City AFC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kenzo Goudmijn made 315 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 50' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luke Williams will be considering his options from the bench.
- 55' Swansea City AFC have won 493 goals from 398 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 60' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 62' A change in the Swansea City AFC ranks — Goncalo Franco exits the field as Zan Vipotnik enters on 62.
- 67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Craig Forsyth on 67.
- 72' Norway international Sondre Langas has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 77' Swansea City AFC make a change. Jay Fulton trudges off to be replaced by Joe Allen on 77 minutes.
- 79' Ji-sung Eom is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
- 82' Poor challenge from Marcus Harness. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 83' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Ebou Adams departs to be replaced by Nathaniel Mendez-Laing.
- 88' Derby County FC come into this ranked 20 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 90' Derby County FC make a change. Kayden Jackson trudges off to be replaced by Lennon Wheeldon on 90 minutes.
- 1-0 the final result. Derby County FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Swansea City AFC Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
-
4
Jay Fulton ↓ Joe Allen 77'
- 20
- 8
- 22
- 2
- 6
-
28
Hannes Delcroix ↓ Ji-sung Eom 62'
- 5
- 14
-
17
Goncalo Franco ↓ Zan Vipotnik 62'
-
35
Ronald ↓ Cyrus Christie 90'
Bench
-
7
Joe Allen ↑ 77'
- 26
- 33
-
23
Cyrus Christie ↑ 90'
- 19
- 31
-
9
Zan Vipotnik ↑ 62'
- 41
-
10
Ji-sung Eom ↑ 62'
Coach
Luke Williams
Derby County FC Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 25
- 3
- 18
- 19
- 2
- 32
- 12
- 16
- 1
-
6
Sondre Langas ↓ Kenzo Goudmijn 83'
- 28
Bench
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↑ 83'
- 29
- 33
-
11
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing ↑ 83'
- 31
- 21
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 83'
-
48
Lennon Wheeldon ↑ 90'
- 36
Coach
John Eustace
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Lawrence | 4 |
| Harry Wilson | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Ronald | 2 |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 |
| Colin Kazim-Richards | 1 |
| Kamil Jozwiak | 1 |
| Fikayo Tomori | 1 |
Head to Head
Swansea City AFC Form
Derby County FC Form
2025-04-05
Swansea City AFC
1–0
Derby County FC
L
2025-04-02
Derby County FC
2–0
Preston North End FC
W
2025-03-15
Plymouth Argyle FC
2–3
Derby County FC
W
2025-03-11
Derby County FC
2–0
Coventry City FC
W
2025-03-08
Derby County FC
2–1
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
2025-03-01
Middlesbrough FC
1–0
Derby County FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.75
Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Swansea City AFC to win 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Swansea City AFC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Swansea City AFC or Draw
84%
Draw or Derby County FC
41%
Swansea City AFC or Derby County FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
12.3%
1 – 1
11.5%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
7%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
3.1%
4 – 1
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC
| Handicap | Swansea City AFC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 19% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 25% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

