Saturday , 12 September 2026

Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Swansea.com Stadium 16,501 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ji-sung Eom 79' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FCChampionship at Swansea.com Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Davies (England)
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2 Bhupinder Gill

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Derby County FC H 1–0 W
29 Mar Leeds United FC A 2–2 D
15 Mar Burnley FC H 0–2 L
12 Mar Watford FC A 0–1 L
08 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Preston North End FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Swansea City AFC A 0–1 L
02 Apr Preston North End FC H 2–0 W
15 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC A 3–2 W
11 Mar Coventry City FC H 2–0 W
08 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC H 2–1 W
01 Mar Middlesbrough FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Swansea City AFC Derby County FC
#2 Position #22
14 Points 4
7 Played 7
4 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 5
11 Scored 6
5 Conceded 13
+6 GD -7
2.00 PPG 0.57
57% Win % 14%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
57% Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
14% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Swansea City AFC are 2nd (14 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Swansea City AFC
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/
61-75
1/2
76+
/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Swansea City AFC
Ji-sung Eom 2 G 2 A
Adam Idah 2 G 1 A
Joseph Opoku 2 G
Derby County FC
Samuel Szmodics 2 G
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A
Bobby Clark 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Swansea.com Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Swansea City AFC are deployed in a 5-3-2 today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's 5-3-2 shape.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Josh Key suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' Swansea City AFC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Ji-sung Eom scoring 1 goals.
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 35' The 25-year-old Goncalo Franco has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 40' Lawrence Vigouroux has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 45' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 50' Swansea City AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • 55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 60' Swansea City AFC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 62' It is a substitution in Swansea City AFC team. Goncalo Franco is replaced by Zan Vipotnik on 62 minute.
  • 67' The referee calls foul for Craig Forsyth. He receives a card.
  • 72' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 77' Joe Allen is replacing Jay Fulton for the Swansea City AFC side.
  • 79' Magnificent from Ji-sung Eom! That is 6 goals in 387 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 82' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Marcus Harness on 82 minutes.
  • 83' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Ebou Adams is replaced by Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on 83 minute.
  • 88' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Lennon Wheeldon comes on to replace Kayden Jackson.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Swansea City AFC and Derby County FC (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.77 Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.59 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Swansea City AFC to win 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Swansea City AFC62% Draw24% Derby County FC14%
Actual: Swansea City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Swansea City AFC or Draw
86%
Draw or Derby County FC
38%
Swansea City AFC or Derby County FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Swansea City AFC44% Draw47% Derby County FC9%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
14.4%
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
8.5%
3 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 1
4.6%
4 – 0
3.7%
1 – 2
2.7%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC

Handicap Swansea City AFC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 20% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 26% 35%
-0.5 65% 35%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 8% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
56%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.