Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2020-21
Sat 20 Mar 2021 · 15:00 UTC Bet365 Stadium HT 45+2' · FT 45+8'

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
  • Referee Richard Wild
  • Referee Leigh Doughty
  • Referee Philip Dermott
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 8.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Mar Derby County FC H 1–0 W
16 Mar Cardiff City FC A 0–0 D
13 Mar Middlesbrough FC A 0–3 L
06 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC H 2–0 W
03 Mar Swansea City AFC H 1–2 L
27 Feb Brentford FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Mar Stoke City FC A 0–1 L
16 Mar Brentford FC H 2–2 D
13 Mar Millwall FC H 0–1 L
10 Mar Barnsley FC A 0–0 D
06 Mar Coventry City FC A 0–1 L
02 Mar Cardiff City FC A 0–4 L

Season Stats

Stoke City FC Derby County FC
#7 Position #22
13 Points 5
8 Played 8
4 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 5
13 Scored 7
12 Conceded 14
+1 GD -7
1.63 PPG 0.63
50% Win % 13%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 1 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Bet365 Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Stoke City FC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' Stoke City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rhys Norrington-Davies, as he is very good at scoring at Bet365 Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 21' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Tommy Smith.
  • 26' Stoke City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 31' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 390 games and scored 457 goals.
  • 36' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 36.
  • 41' A quiet spell here at Bet365 Stadium. Stoke City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 46' It is a cagey affair so far. Stoke City FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
  • 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael O'Neill will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 56' It’s high time Michael O'Neill made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 61' The home supporters are growing impatient. Stoke City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 63' Max Bird is replacing Louie Sibley for the Derby County FC side.
  • 64' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Colin Kazim-Richards exits the field as Tom Lawrence enters on 64.
  • 69' Kamil Jozwiak needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 74' A goal from the Scotland international Jacob Brown! He fires home on 74 to make it 1-0!
  • 79' Sam Vokes has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joe Allen on 79 minute.
  • 82' Stoke City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jack Clarke is hanging Nick Powell on the field on 82 minute.
  • 87' Louie Sibley, a England midfielder, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 88' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Cameron Cresswell.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Stoke City FC — Josh Tymon on, Jacob Brown off on 90 minutes.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.66 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Stoke City FC to win 57% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC57% Draw26% Derby County FC17%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Derby County FC
43%
Stoke City FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC39% Draw48% Derby County FC13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12%
2 – 0
12%
0 – 0
11%
2 – 1
9%
3 – 0
6.5%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.4%
4 – 0
2.7%
0 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 18% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 25% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
48% ✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.