Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.
- Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jarred Gillett
- Referee Richard Wild
- Referee Leigh Doughty
- Referee Philip Dermott
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar | Derby County FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Cardiff City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 06 Mar | Wycombe Wanderers FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Mar | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Feb | Brentford FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar | Stoke City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Mar | Brentford FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Mar | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Mar | Barnsley FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Mar | Coventry City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Mar | Cardiff City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Stoke City FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #8 |
| 55 | Points | 69 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 15 / 10 / 21 | W / D / L | 20 / 9 / 17 |
| 51 | Scored | 67 |
| 56 | Conceded | 59 |
| -5 | GD | +8 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 33% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Derby County FC gets underway.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Stoke City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' It looks surprising Stoke City FC does not make any changes. Louie Watson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 20' Louie Sibley needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 21' Controversy at the stadium! Tommy Smith argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 26' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 31' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tommy Smith is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Stoke City FC.
- 36' Supporters expect more eagerness from Adam Davies, as he is very good at scoring at Bet365 Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 41' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 46' Joe Allen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
- 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 56' Derby County FC have won 452 goals from 385 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 61' Danny Batth, a England , has 29 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 63' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Louie Sibley departs to be replaced by Max Bird.
- 64' The crowd applauds Colin Kazim-Richards as he leaves the pitch. Tom Lawrence steps in for Derby County FC.
- 69' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 74' Jacob Brown has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 74 minutes.
- 79' Another substitution for Stoke City FC to replace Joe Allen by Sam Vokes on 79 minute.
- 82' Fresh legs for Stoke City FC! Jack Clarke comes on to replace Nick Powell.
- 87' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 88' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Cameron Cresswell gets a Yellow card.
- 90' Jacob Brown makes way for Josh Tymon at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Stoke City FC.
- The final score is 1-0.
Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 46
- 14
- 4
- 36
- 16
-
18
Jacob Brown ↓ Josh Tymon 90'
- 6
- 12
- 34
-
25
Nick Powell ↓ Jack Clarke 82'
- 13
Bench
-
9
Sam Vokes ↑ 79'
- 1
-
47
Jack Clarke ↑ 82'
-
35
Josh Tymon ↑ 90'
- 49
- 37
- 44
- 43
- 48
Coach
Michael O'Neill
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 21
- 2
- 12
-
23
Patrick Roberts ↓ Kamil Jozwiak 64'
-
4
Graeme Shinnie ↓ Louie Watson 82'
- 13
- 26
- 38
-
17
Louie Sibley ↓ Max Bird 63'
- 15
Bench
- 34
- 3
-
8
Max Bird ↑ 63'
-
10
Tom Lawrence ↑ 64'
- 1
- 6
-
7
Kamil Jozwiak ↑ 64'
-
40
Louie Watson ↑ 82'
-
35
Cameron Cresswell ↑ 82'
Coach
Wayne Rooney
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Ince | 3 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 3 |
| Scott Hogan | 1 |
| Carlton Morris | 1 |
| Jayden Bogle | 1 |
| Jaydon Banel | 1 |
| Chris Martin | 1 |
| Wayne Rooney | 1 |
Head to Head
Stoke City FC Form
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.16
Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Stoke City FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Stoke City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.13
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Stoke City FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Derby County FC
56%
Stoke City FC or Derby County FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
14.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC
| Handicap | Stoke City FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 22% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 18% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

