Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stoke City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2020-21
Sat 20 Mar 2021 · 15:00 UTC Bet365 Stadium HT 45+2' · FT 45+8'

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Derby County FCChampionship at Bet365 Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
  • Referee Richard Wild
  • Referee Leigh Doughty
  • Referee Philip Dermott

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Mar Derby County FC H 1–0 W
16 Mar Cardiff City FC A 0–0 D
13 Mar Middlesbrough FC A 0–3 L
06 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC H 2–0 W
03 Mar Swansea City AFC H 1–2 L
27 Feb Brentford FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Mar Stoke City FC A 0–1 L
16 Mar Brentford FC H 2–2 D
13 Mar Millwall FC H 0–1 L
10 Mar Barnsley FC A 0–0 D
06 Mar Coventry City FC A 0–1 L
02 Mar Cardiff City FC A 0–4 L

Season Stats

Stoke City FC Derby County FC
#17 Position #8
55 Points 69
46 Played 46
15 / 10 / 21 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17
51 Scored 67
56 Conceded 59
-5 GD +8
1.20 PPG 1.50
33% Win % 43%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Derby County FC gets underway.
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Stoke City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' It looks surprising Stoke City FC does not make any changes. Louie Watson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' Louie Sibley needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 21' Controversy at the stadium! Tommy Smith argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 26' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 31' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tommy Smith is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Stoke City FC.
  • 36' Supporters expect more eagerness from Adam Davies, as he is very good at scoring at Bet365 Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 41' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 46' Joe Allen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
  • 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 56' Derby County FC have won 452 goals from 385 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 61' Danny Batth, a England , has 29 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 63' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Louie Sibley departs to be replaced by Max Bird.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Colin Kazim-Richards as he leaves the pitch. Tom Lawrence steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 69' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 74' Jacob Brown has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 74 minutes.
  • 79' Another substitution for Stoke City FC to replace Joe Allen by Sam Vokes on 79 minute.
  • 82' Fresh legs for Stoke City FC! Jack Clarke comes on to replace Nick Powell.
  • 87' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 88' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Cameron Cresswell gets a Yellow card.
  • 90' Jacob Brown makes way for Josh Tymon at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Stoke City FC.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.16 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC44% Draw30% Derby County FC26%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Derby County FC
56%
Stoke City FC or Derby County FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC26% Draw53% Derby County FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
14.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 22% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
38%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.