Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stoke City FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Stoke City FC
1 – 1
Full Time
Luton Town FC
Tue 8 Apr 2025 · 18:45 UTC Bet365 Stadium 21,226 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lewis Baker 74' 1–0
1–1 90+1' Millenic Alli
Y 4' Mark McGuinness
Y 42' Carlton Morris
Junior Tchamadeu 47' Y
Joon-ho Bae 50' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at Bet365 Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Dean Whitestone
  • Assistant 1 James Wilson
  • Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Millwall FC 46 83
4 Southampton FC 46 80
5 Middlesbrough FC 46 80
6 Hull City AFC 46 73
7 Wrexham AFC 46 71
8 Derby County FC 46 69
9 Norwich City FC 46 65
10 Birmingham City FC 46 64
11 Swansea City AFC 46 64
12 Bristol City FC 46 62
13 Sheffield United FC 46 60
14 Preston North End FC 46 60
15 Queens Park Rangers FC 46 58
16 Watford FC 46 57
17 Stoke City FC 46 55
18 Portsmouth FC 46 55
19 Charlton Athletic FC 46 53
20 Blackburn Rovers FC 46 52
21 West Bromwich Albion FC 46 51
22 Oxford United FC 46 47
23 Leicester City FC 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

5
2
3
Stoke City FC 10 games · Avg 2.2 goals Luton Town FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-08 Stoke City FC 1–1 Luton Town FC 2024-12-10 Luton Town FC 2–1 Stoke City FC 2023-02-04 Luton Town FC 1–0 Stoke City FC 2022-11-08 Stoke City FC 2–0 Luton Town FC 2022-02-23 Stoke City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Apr Luton Town FC H 1–1 D
05 Apr Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
29 Mar Queens Park Rangers FC H 3–1 W
15 Mar Millwall FC A 0–1 L
12 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–0 W
08 Mar Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
Luton Town FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Apr Stoke City FC A 1–1 D
05 Apr Leeds United FC H 1–1 D
29 Mar Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
15 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 0–0 D
11 Mar Cardiff City FC A 2–1 W
08 Mar Burnley FC A 0–4 L

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Stoke City FC gets underway.
  • 4' Mark McGuinness is having his name booked by the referee on 4.
  • 9' Supporters expect more eagerness from Wouter Burger, as he is very good at scoring at Bet365 Stadium with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 14' The travelling Luton Town FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 17' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Alfie Doughty by Millenic Alli on 17 minute.
  • 22' It looks like no one’s ball. Stoke City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 27' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 27 minutes.
  • 32' Stoke City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 37' Thelo Aasgaard has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 50 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 42' Carlton Morris is having his name booked by the referee on 42.
  • 47' Stoke City FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 50' The referee shows Stoke City FC player a card on 50.
  • 55' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 60' Lasse Nordas needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 62' Ali Al-Hamadi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Million Manhoef on 62 minute.
  • 67' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 70' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 70 minute. Carlton Morris leaves to be changed by Lasse Nordas.
  • 74' Lewis Baker puts Stoke City FC on the lead.
  • 79' Luton Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 82' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Tahith Chong by Josh Bowler on 82 minute.
  • 86' Lewis Koumas is replacing Sam Gallagher for the Stoke City FC side.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mark Robins

Luton Town FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Matt Bloomfield

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Nick Powell 4
Joe Allen 2
Steven Fletcher 2
Lewis Baker 2
Cameron Jerome 1
Tom Lockyer 1
Pelly Ruddock 1
James McClean 1

Head to Head

2025-04-08 Stoke City FC 1–1 Luton Town FC 2024-12-10 Luton Town FC 2–1 Stoke City FC 2023-02-04 Luton Town FC 1–0 Stoke City FC 2022-11-08 Stoke City FC 2–0 Luton Town FC 2022-02-23 Stoke City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC

Stoke City FC Form

2025-04-08 Stoke City FC 1–1 Luton Town FC D 2025-04-05 Preston North End FC 1–1 Stoke City FC D 2025-03-29 Stoke City FC 3–1 Queens Park Rangers FC W 2025-03-15 Millwall FC 1–0 Stoke City FC L 2025-03-12 Stoke City FC 1–0 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2025-03-08 Coventry City FC 3–2 Stoke City FC L

Luton Town FC Form

2025-04-08 Stoke City FC 1–1 Luton Town FC D 2025-04-05 Luton Town FC 1–1 Leeds United FC D 2025-03-29 Hull City AFC 0–1 Luton Town FC W 2025-03-15 Luton Town FC 0–0 Middlesbrough FC D 2025-03-11 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC W 2025-03-08 Burnley FC 4–0 Luton Town FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.31 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC40% Draw30% Luton Town FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Luton Town FC
60%
Stoke City FC or Luton Town FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC29% Draw50% Luton Town FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.6%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.