FC Red Bull Salzburg vs Club Atletico de Madrid, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

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UEFA Champions League · 2024-25

FC Red Bull Salzburg

1 – 4

Full Time

Club Atletico de Madrid

Wed 29 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Red Bull Arena 23,389 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 5' Giuliano Simeone

0–2 13' Antoine Griezmann

0–3 45+1' Antoine Griezmann

0–4 63' Marcos Llorente

Adam Daghim 90+1' 1–4

Nicolas Capaldo 57' Y

Hendry Blank 66' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Red Bull Salzburg vs Club Atletico de Madrid — Champions League at Red Bull Arena.

FC Red Bull Salzburg 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Club Atletico de Madrid 8 games · 13 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Anthony Taylor
Assistant 1 Gary Beswick
Assistant 2 Adam Nunn

19 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 8.9 goals/game 🟥 5 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Arsenal FC	8	24
2	FC Bayern München	8	21
3	Liverpool FC	8	18
4	Tottenham Hotspur FC	8	17
5	FC Barcelona	8	16
6	Chelsea FC	8	16
7	Sporting Clube de Portugal	8	16
8	Manchester City FC	8	16
9	Real Madrid CF	8	15
10	FC Internazionale Milano	8	15
11	Paris Saint-Germain FC	8	14
12	Newcastle United FC	8	14
13	Juventus FC	8	13
14	Club Atletico de Madrid	8	13
15	Atalanta BC	8	13
16	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	8	12
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11
18	PAE Olympiakos SFP	8	11
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10
20	Galatasaray SK	8	10
21	AS Monaco FC	8	10
22	Qarabag Agdam FK	8	10
23	FK Bodø/Glimt	8	9
24	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	8	9
25	Olympique de Marseille	8	9
26	Paphos FC	8	9
27	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	8	9
28	PSV	8	8
29	Athletic Club	8	8
30	SSC Napoli	8	8
31	FC København	8	8
32	AFC Ajax	8	6
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4
34	SK Slavia Praha	8	3
35	Villarreal CF	8	1
36	FK Kairat	8	1

Head-to-Head

FC Red Bull Salzburg 5 games · Avg 3.4 goals Club Atletico de Madrid

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-29 FC Red Bull Salzburg 1–4 Club Atletico de Madrid 2020-12-09 FC Red Bull Salzburg 0–2 Club Atletico de Madrid 2020-10-27 Club Atletico de Madrid 3–2 FC Red Bull Salzburg 2016-02-13 Club Atletico de Madrid 0–1 FC Red Bull Salzburg 2015-09-25 FC Red Bull Salzburg 3–1 Club Atletico de Madrid

Recent Form

FC Red Bull Salzburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Jan	Club Atletico de Madrid	H	1–4	L
22 Jan	Real Madrid CF	A	1–5	L
10 Dec	Paris Saint-Germain FC	H	0–3	L
26 Nov	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	0–5	L
06 Nov	Feyenoord Rotterdam	A	3–1	W
23 Oct	GNK Dinamo Zagreb	H	0–2	L

Club Atletico de Madrid

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Jan	FC Red Bull Salzburg	A	4–1	W
25 Jan	Villarreal CF	H	1–1	D
21 Jan	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	2–1	W
18 Jan	CD Leganes	A	0–1	L
12 Jan	CA Osasuna	H	1–0	W
21 Dec	FC Barcelona	A	2–1	W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

6% Clean Sheets
Club Atletico de Madrid this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Club Atletico de Madrid

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

2/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Red Bull Salzburg and Club Atletico de Madrid is underway.
5' Club Atletico de Madrid is taking the lead after the goal scored by Giuliano Simeone on 5.
10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nicolas Capaldo made 175 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
13' GOAL! Antoine Griezmann scores on 13. Assisted by Giuliano Simeone
18' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
23' It looks surprising FC Red Bull Salzburg does not make any changes. Julian Alvarez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
28' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 28 minutes.
33' Club Atletico de Madrid started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 33.
38' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marcos Llorente, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
46' What a strike from Antoine Griezmann! The score is 0-3.
51' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Red Bull Salzburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
56' The travelling Club Atletico de Madrid supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
57' Nicolas Capaldo was booked on 57.
58' It is a substitution in FC Red Bull Salzburg team. Nene Dorgeles is replaced by Bobby Clark on 58 minute.
59' The supporters are chanting for Alexander Sorloth. He replaces Julian Alvarez on 59 minute.
63' Goal! Marcos Llorente scores his 30 goal in 545 matches.
66' FC Red Bull Salzburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 66.
67' The supporters are chanting for Petar Ratkov. He replaces Moussa Kounfolo Yeo on 67 minute.
72' It’s high time Diego Simeone made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
77' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nene Dorgeles suffering a number of foals already.
81' Thomas Lemar has so much to prove this time. He replaces Samuel Lino on 81 minute.
85' FC Red Bull Salzburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Stefan Bajcetic is hanging Nicolas Capaldo on the field on 85 minute.
90' FC Red Bull Salzburg is showing some good football. However, FC Red Bull Salzburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
The final score is 1-4.

Lineups

FC Red Bull Salzburg Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

3
Aleksa Terzic ↓ Leandro Morgalla 85'
24
Alexander Schlager
7
Nicolas Capaldo ↓ Stefan Bajcetic 85'
70
Amar Dedic
15
Mamady Diambou ↓ Takumu Kawamura 58'
28
Adam Daghim
45
Nene Dorgeles ↓ Bobby Clark 58'
6
Samson Baidoo
49
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo ↓ Petar Ratkov 67'
30
Oscar Gloukh
4
Hendry Blank

Bench

1
Janis Blaswich
16
Takumu Kawamura ↑ 58'
39
Leandro Morgalla ↑ 85'
8
Stefan Bajcetic ↑ 85'
10
Bobby Clark ↑ 58'
21
Petar Ratkov ↑ 67'
92
Salko Hamzic
36
John Mellberg

Coach Thomas Letsch

Club Atletico de Madrid Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

3
Azpilicueta
6
Koke
7
Antoine Griezmann ↓ Rodrigo Riquelme 67'
13
Jan Oblak
15
Clement Lenglet
14
Marcos Llorente
5
Rodrigo de Paul ↓ Conor Gallagher 67'
19
Julian Alvarez ↓ Alexander Sorloth 59'
24
Robin Le Normand
22
Giuliano Simeone ↓ Nahuel Molina 59'
12
Samuel Lino ↓ Thomas Lemar 81'

Bench

Coach Diego Simeone

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Joao Felix	2
Antoine Griezmann	2
Marcos Llorente	2
Mario Hermoso	1
Yannick Carrasco	1
Adam Daghim	1
Giuliano Simeone	1
Mergim Berisha	1

Head to Head

FC Red Bull Salzburg Form

2025-01-29 FC Red Bull Salzburg 1–4 Club Atletico de Madrid L 2025-01-22 Real Madrid CF 5–1 FC Red Bull Salzburg L 2024-12-10 FC Red Bull Salzburg 0–3 Paris Saint-Germain FC L 2024-11-26 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–0 FC Red Bull Salzburg L 2024-11-06 Feyenoord Rotterdam 1–3 FC Red Bull Salzburg W 2024-10-23 FC Red Bull Salzburg 0–2 GNK Dinamo Zagreb L

Club Atletico de Madrid Form

2025-01-29 FC Red Bull Salzburg 1–4 Club Atletico de Madrid W 2025-01-25 Club Atletico de Madrid 1–1 Villarreal CF D 2025-01-21 Club Atletico de Madrid 2–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2025-01-18 CD Leganes 1–0 Club Atletico de Madrid L 2025-01-12 Club Atletico de Madrid 1–0 CA Osasuna W 2024-12-21 FC Barcelona 1–2 Club Atletico de Madrid W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.16 FC Red Bull Salzburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.82 Club Atletico de Madrid xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Red Bull Salzburg25% Draw26% Club Atletico de Madrid49%

Actual: Club Atletico de Madrid win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.98

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

FC Red Bull Salzburg or Draw

51%

Draw or Club Atletico de Madrid

75%

FC Red Bull Salzburg or Club Atletico de Madrid

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Red Bull Salzburg19% Draw44% Club Atletico de Madrid37%

Actual: Club Atletico de Madrid win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted

1 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

11.6%

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 1

8.5%

0 – 2

8.3%

0 – 0

6.8%

2 – 1

1 – 3

5.7%

2 – 2

5.4%

1 – 0

5.1%

0 – 3

4.9%

2 – 0

3.4%

2 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Red Bull Salzburg

Handicap	FC Red Bull Salzburg covers	Push	Club Atletico de Madrid covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	6%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	14%	77%
-0.5	23%	—	77%
+0.5	49%	—	51%
+1	49%	22%	29%
+1.5	71%	—	29%
+2	71%	16%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

FC Red Bull Salzburg keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Club Atletico de Madrid keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.