Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 27 Apr 2024 · 11:30 UTC Pride Park Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Max Bird 5' 1–0
James Collins 59' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Carlisle United FCLeague One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Toner
  • Assistant 1 Steve Durnall (England)
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Jarvis (England)

Head-to-Head

2
Derby County FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Carlisle United FC H 2–0 W
20 Apr Cambridge United FC A 1–0 W
13 Apr Leyton Orient FC H 3–0 W
10 Apr Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
02 Apr Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D
29 Mar Blackpool FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Derby County FC A 0–2 L
20 Apr Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–3 L
13 Apr Blackpool FC H 0–1 L
09 Apr Cheltenham Town FC A 1–0 W
06 Apr Northampton Town FC A 0–2 L
01 Apr Lincoln City FC H 1–3 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Derby County FC and Carlisle United FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Max Bird puts Derby County FC on the lead.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jon Mellish made 13 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 40' The travelling Carlisle United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 41' A meaty challenge results in booking for Harrison Neal on 41.
  • 46' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 59' What a strike from James Collins! The score is 2-0.
  • 64' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 69' Supporters expect more eagerness from Curtis Nelson, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 70' Jordan Gibson is replacing Georgie Kelly for the Carlisle United FC side.
  • 74' Another change for Carlisle United FC made on 74 minute. Dylan McGeouch leaves to be changed by Jack Diamond.
  • 79' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 79 minutes.
  • 84' Thomas Barkhuizen is replacing Max Bird for the Derby County FC side.
  • 89' It looks surprising Carlisle United FC does not make any changes. Joe Wildsmith has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Corey Blackett-Taylor. He replaces Sonny Bradley on 90 minute.
  • Another three points for Derby County FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 64% + Derby County FC to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC63% Draw25% Carlisle United FC12%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
88%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
37%
Derby County FC or Carlisle United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC41% Draw49% Carlisle United FC10%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
17.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8.2%
3 – 0
7.5%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
4.5%
4 – 0
3%
1 – 2
2.8%
2 – 2
2.4%
4 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 19% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 27% 39%
-0.5 61% 39%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
57%
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.