Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 27 Apr 2024 · 11:30 UTC Pride Park Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Max Bird 5' 1–0
James Collins 59' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Carlisle United FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Toner
  • Assistant 1 Steve Durnall (England)
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Jarvis (England)
5 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 10.2 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

2
Derby County FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Carlisle United FC H 2–0 W
20 Apr Cambridge United FC A 1–0 W
13 Apr Leyton Orient FC H 3–0 W
10 Apr Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
02 Apr Portsmouth FC A 2–2 D
29 Mar Blackpool FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Derby County FC A 0–2 L
20 Apr Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–3 L
13 Apr Blackpool FC H 0–1 L
09 Apr Cheltenham Town FC A 1–0 W
06 Apr Northampton Town FC A 0–2 L
01 Apr Lincoln City FC H 1–3 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Derby County FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Max Bird makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Derby County FC are in front.
  • 10' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Carlisle United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' Carlisle United FC is showing some good football. However, Carlisle United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' England international Curtis Nelson has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 397 games and scored 462 goals.
  • 41' Controversy at the stadium! Harrison Neal argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 46' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 56' A quiet spell here at Pride Park Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 59' The deadlock is broken! James Collins gets on the scoresheet on 59 minutes.
  • 64' Jack Armer, a Scotland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 69' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 70' Carlisle United FC ring the changes. Georgie Kelly has done his job and it is now time for Jordan Gibson to step up.
  • 74' Carlisle United FC ring the changes. Dylan McGeouch has done his job and it is now time for Jack Diamond to step up.
  • 79' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 84' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Max Bird departs to be replaced by Thomas Barkhuizen.
  • 89' Derby County FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Sonny Bradley as he leaves the pitch. Corey Blackett-Taylor steps in for Derby County FC.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 64% + Derby County FC to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC63% Draw25% Carlisle United FC12%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
88%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
37%
Derby County FC or Carlisle United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC41% Draw49% Carlisle United FC10%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
17.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8.2%
3 – 0
7.5%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
4.5%
4 – 0
3%
1 – 2
2.8%
2 – 2
2.4%
4 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 19% 66%
-1.5 34% — 66%
-1 34% 27% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
57% ✓
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.