Derby County FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Carlisle United FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ben Toner
- Assistant 1 Steve Durnall (England)
- Assistant 2 Daniel Jarvis (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | Carlisle United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Cambridge United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Leyton Orient FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Apr | Wycombe Wanderers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Apr | Portsmouth FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Mar | Blackpool FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr | Derby County FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Apr | Wycombe Wanderers FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Apr | Blackpool FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Apr | Cheltenham Town FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | Northampton Town FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Apr | Lincoln City FC | H | 1–3 | L |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Derby County FC and Carlisle United FC has kicked off!
- 5' Max Bird puts Derby County FC on the lead.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
- 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jon Mellish made 13 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 40' The travelling Carlisle United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 41' A meaty challenge results in booking for Harrison Neal on 41.
- 46' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 59' What a strike from James Collins! The score is 2-0.
- 64' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 69' Supporters expect more eagerness from Curtis Nelson, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 70' Jordan Gibson is replacing Georgie Kelly for the Carlisle United FC side.
- 74' Another change for Carlisle United FC made on 74 minute. Dylan McGeouch leaves to be changed by Jack Diamond.
- 79' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 79 minutes.
- 84' Thomas Barkhuizen is replacing Max Bird for the Derby County FC side.
- 89' It looks surprising Carlisle United FC does not make any changes. Joe Wildsmith has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Corey Blackett-Taylor. He replaces Sonny Bradley on 90 minute.
- Another three points for Derby County FC.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
-
8
Max Bird ↓ Thomas Barkhuizen 84'
- 11
- 2
- 35
- 9
- 5
- 32
- 17
- 6
- 1
Bench
- 14
- 4
-
27
Corey Blackett-Taylor ↑ 90'
- 31
- 20
-
16
Liam Thompson ↑ 84'
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 84'
Coach
Paul Warne
Carlisle United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 35
- 40
- 26
-
21
Dylan McGeouch ↓ Jack Diamond 74'
- 5
-
9
Georgie Kelly ↓ Jordan Gibson 70'
- 10
- 3
- 2
- 33
Bench
-
27
Jack Diamond ↑ 74'
- 32
- 16
- 13
-
7
Jordan Gibson ↑ 70'
- 37
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| James Collins | 3 |
| Max Bird | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
2024-04-27
Derby County FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
W
2024-04-20
Cambridge United FC
0–1
Derby County FC
W
2024-04-13
Derby County FC
3–0
Leyton Orient FC
W
2024-04-10
Wycombe Wanderers FC
0–0
Derby County FC
D
2024-04-02
Portsmouth FC
2–2
Derby County FC
D
2024-03-29
Derby County FC
1–0
Blackpool FC
W
Carlisle United FC Form
2024-04-27
Derby County FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
L
2024-04-20
Carlisle United FC
1–3
Wycombe Wanderers FC
L
2024-04-13
Carlisle United FC
0–1
Blackpool FC
L
2024-04-09
Cheltenham Town FC
0–1
Carlisle United FC
W
2024-04-06
Northampton Town FC
2–0
Carlisle United FC
L
2024-04-01
Carlisle United FC
1–3
Lincoln City FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57
Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 64% + Derby County FC to win 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
88%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
37%
Derby County FC or Carlisle United FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
17.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8.2%
3 – 0
7.5%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
4.5%
4 – 0
3%
1 – 2
2.8%
2 – 2
2.4%
4 – 1
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Carlisle United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 19% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 9% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
57%
✓
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

