Thursday , 2 July 2026

Reading FC vs Carlisle United FC, FA Cup 2025-26 ROUND 1

FA Cup · 2025-26
Reading FC
2 – 3
Full Time
Carlisle United FC
Sat 1 Nov 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Reading FC vs Carlisle United FC — FA Cup .

Match Details

  • Referee Ruebyn Ricardo (England)

Head-to-Head

2
1
Reading FC 3 games · Avg 5.0 goals Carlisle United FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-11-01 Reading FC 2–3 Carlisle United FC 2024-03-02 Carlisle United FC 1–3 Reading FC 2023-11-28 Reading FC 5–1 Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

Reading FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Carlisle United FC H 2–3 L
25 Oct Doncaster Rovers FC H 1–1 D
21 Oct Northampton Town FC H 1–0 W
18 Oct Cardiff City FC A 1–2 L
11 Oct Exeter City FC A 1–1 D
04 Oct Mansfield Town FC H 1–1 D
Carlisle United FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Reading FC A 3–2 W
02 Nov Wigan Athletic FC H 0–2 L
27 Apr Derby County FC A 0–2 L
20 Apr Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–3 L
13 Apr Blackpool FC H 0–1 L
09 Apr Cheltenham Town FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Reading FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Carlisle United FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Carlisle United FC
Regan Linney 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • Another three points for Carlisle United FC.

Lineups

Reading FC Lineups

Carlisle United FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Harvey Knibbs 4
Lewis Wing 1
Femi Azeez 1
Luke Plange 1
Sam Smith 1
Jon Mellish 1

Head to Head

2025-11-01 Reading FC 2–3 Carlisle United FC 2024-03-02 Carlisle United FC 1–3 Reading FC 2023-11-28 Reading FC 5–1 Carlisle United FC

Reading FC Form

2025-11-01 Reading FC 2–3 Carlisle United FC L 2025-10-25 Reading FC 1–1 Doncaster Rovers FC D 2025-10-21 Reading FC 1–0 Northampton Town FC W 2025-10-18 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Reading FC L 2025-10-11 Exeter City FC 1–1 Reading FC D 2025-10-04 Reading FC 1–1 Mansfield Town FC D

Carlisle United FC Form

2025-11-01 Reading FC 2–3 Carlisle United FC W 2024-11-02 Carlisle United FC 0–2 Wigan Athletic FC L 2024-04-27 Derby County FC 2–0 Carlisle United FC L 2024-04-20 Carlisle United FC 1–3 Wycombe Wanderers FC L 2024-04-13 Carlisle United FC 0–1 Blackpool FC L 2024-04-09 Cheltenham Town FC 0–1 Carlisle United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.78 Reading FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Reading FC46% Draw26% Carlisle United FC28%
Actual: Carlisle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Reading FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
54%
Reading FC or Carlisle United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Reading FC34% Draw43% Carlisle United FC23%
Actual: Reading FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.3%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Reading FC

Handicap Reading FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 21% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Reading FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.