Thursday , 2 July 2026

Blackpool FC vs Carlisle United FC, FA Cup 2025-26 ROUND 2

FA Cup · 2025-26
Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Blackpool FC vs Carlisle United FCFA Cup .

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Reeves
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 5.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Carlisle United FC H 4–1 W
29 Nov Reading FC H 0–3 L
22 Nov Leyton Orient FC A 1–1 D
15 Nov Burton Albion FC A 0–1 L
08 Nov Cardiff City FC H 3–1 W
01 Nov Scunthorpe United FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Blackpool FC A 1–4 L
01 Nov Reading FC A 3–2 W
02 Nov Wigan Athletic FC H 0–2 L
27 Apr Derby County FC A 0–2 L
20 Apr Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–3 L
13 Apr Blackpool FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Blackpool FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Carlisle United FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Blackpool FC
Ashley Fletcher 4 G
Carlisle United FC
Regan Linney 3 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Blackpool FC Lineups

Carlisle United FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.97 Blackpool FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Blackpool FC to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Blackpool FC59% Draw23% Carlisle United FC18%
Actual: Blackpool FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Blackpool FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
41%
Blackpool FC or Carlisle United FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Blackpool FC41% Draw43% Carlisle United FC16%
Actual: Blackpool FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
6%
1 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — Blackpool FC

Handicap Blackpool FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 18% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 23% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Blackpool FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.