Tuesday , 15 September 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munchen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern MunchenBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
3 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 6.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb FC Bayern Munchen H 2–3 L
25 Feb Atalanta BC A 1–4 L
21 Feb RB Leipzig A 2–2 D
17 Feb Atalanta BC H 2–0 W
13 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W
07 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 3–2 W
21 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–2 W
14 Feb SV Werder Bremen A 3–0 W
11 Feb RB Leipzig H 2–0 W
08 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 5–1 W
31 Jan Hamburger SV A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund FC Bayern Munchen
#2 Position #4
9 Points 7
3 Played 3
3 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 0
8 Scored 7
2 Conceded 2
+6 GD +5
3.00 PPG 2.33
100% Win % 67%

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
67% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
33% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (9 pts). FC Bayern Munchen are 4th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/
16-30
/
31-45
1/1
46-60
/1
61-75
2/
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
/
16-30
2/
31-45
/
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 2 G
Fabio Silva 2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G
FC Bayern Munchen
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G
Michael Olise 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

FC Bayern Munchen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund or FC Bayern Munchen 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund37% Draw28% FC Bayern Munchen35%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
65%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
63%
Borussia Dortmund or FC Bayern Munchen
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund28% Draw46% FC Bayern Munchen26%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 0
7.6%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
26%
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.