Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
19 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–0 W
14 Feb Hamburger SV A 2–3 L
06 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
31 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–3 L
24 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 0–3 L
18 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
18 Feb PAE Olympiakos SFP A 2–0 W
14 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 4–0 W
07 Feb Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–1 D
03 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 3–0 W
31 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–1 W

Season Stats

1. FC Union Berlin Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#11 Position #6
39 Points 59
34 Played 34
10 / 9 / 15 W / D / L 17 / 8 / 9
44 Scored 68
58 Conceded 47
-14 GD +21
1.15 PPG 1.74
29% Win % 50%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.95 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin27% Draw28% Bayer 04 Leverkusen45%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
55%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
73%
1. FC Union Berlin or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin17% Draw48% Bayer 04 Leverkusen35%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
11.6%
0 – 0
10%
0 – 2
9.7%
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
5%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 14% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 24% 27%
+1.5 73% 27%
+2 73% 16% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
21%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.