Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Stieler
5 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 3.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Feb | PAE Olympiakos SFP | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Feb | PAE Olympiakos SFP | A | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Feb | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 4–0 | W |
| 07 Feb | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Feb | Hamburger SV | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Feb | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–4 | L |
| 07 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Jan | RB Leipzig | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #10 |
| 59 | Points | 40 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 17 / 8 / 9 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 |
| 68 | Scored | 44 |
| 47 | Conceded | 53 |
| +21 | GD | -9 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 50% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. 1. FSV Mainz 05 kicks off things out of here…
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.
Lineups
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Patrik Schick | 5 |
| Lucas Alario | 4 |
| Kai Havertz | 2 |
| Julian Brandt | 2 |
| Alejandro Grimaldo | 2 |
| Aaron Martin | 2 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Jeremie Frimpong | 2 |
Head to Head
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2026-02-28
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2026-02-24
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–0
PAE Olympiakos SFP
D
2026-02-21
1. FC Union Berlin
1–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2026-02-18
PAE Olympiakos SFP
0–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2026-02-14
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
4–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2026-02-07
Borussia Monchengladbach
1–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.04
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 58% + Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
80%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
43%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FSV Mainz 05
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
8.9%
3 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
6.4%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
| Handicap | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 18% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 23% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

