Austin FC vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Austin FC vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at Q2 Stadium.
- Austin FC 15 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
- Minnesota United FC 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | Minnesota United FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Houston Dynamo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 05 Apr | Portland Timbers | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Mar | St. Louis City | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | Austin FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Apr | FC Dallas | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Apr | New York City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | Real Salt Lake | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Austin FC | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #29 | Position | #23 |
| 14 | Points | 22 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 3 / 5 / 7 | W / D / L | 6 / 4 / 5 |
| 19 | Scored | 18 |
| 31 | Conceded | 22 |
| -12 | GD | -4 |
| 0.93 | PPG | 1.47 |
| 20% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
46%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Austin FC this season
Austin FC this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
Austin FC are 29th (14 pts). Minnesota United FC are 23rd (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Austin FC
0-15
4/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
4/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Q2 Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Julian Gressel, as he is very good at scoring at Q2 Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' Austin FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Minnesota United FC backline.
- 15' Austin FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 22' The deadlock is broken! Ilie Sanchez gets on the scoresheet on 22 minutes.
- 27' Minnesota United FC have won 414 goals from 282 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 32' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 35' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Anthony Markanich makes it 1-1.
- 40' With 1 assists to his name this season, Joseph Rosales is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Minnesota United FC.
- 45' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Austin FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 50' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 55' Minnesota United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 55.
- 60' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 61' The Austin FC bench stirs into life. Myrto Uzuni is withdrawn and Robert Taylor gets his opportunity.
- 64' Julian Gressel is ready to make an impact after coming on for Carlos Harvey at the 64 minute mark.
- 69' Brendan Hines-Ike picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 71' A change in the Austin FC ranks — Besard Sabovic exits the field as CJ Fodrey enters on 71.
- 76' Owen Wolff needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 12 Yellow cards this season.
- 78' The crowd applauds Guilherme Biro as he leaves the pitch. Zan Kolmanic steps in for Austin FC.
- 80' Morris Duggan gets the nod from Minnesota United FC. He replaces Robin Lod and will look to change the dynamic.
- 85' Minnesota United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 89' A tactical swap from Minnesota United FC — Sang-bin Jeong on, Bongokuhle Hlongwane off on 89 minutes.
- The points are shared — Austin FC 0-3 Minnesota United FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Austin FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 1
- 9
- 4
-
11
Osman Bukari ↓ Diego Rubio 61'
- 5
-
14
Besard Sabovic ↓ CJ Fodrey 71'
-
10
Myrto Uzuni ↓ Robert Taylor 61'
-
17
Jon Gallagher ↓ Jader Obrian 71'
-
29
Guilherme Biro ↓ Zan Kolmanic 78'
- 33
Bench
-
21
Diego Rubio ↑ 61'
- 18
- 30
-
23
Zan Kolmanic ↑ 78'
-
16
Robert Taylor ↑ 61'
-
7
Jader Obrian ↑ 71'
-
19
CJ Fodrey ↑ 71'
- 20
- 2
Coach
Nico Estevez
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
17
Robin Lod ↓ Morris Duggan 80'
- 26
- 20
- 15
-
67
Carlos Harvey ↓ Julian Gressel 64'
- 97
- 5
- 13
- 21
- 14
- 28
Bench
-
–
Julian Gressel ↑ 64'
- 27
-
8
Joseph Rosales ↑ 64'
- 24
- 1
-
7
Sang-bin Jeong ↑ 89'
-
23
Morris Duggan ↑ 80'
- 19
- 22
- 98
Coach
Eric Ramsay
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sebastian Driussi | 4 |
| Franco Fragapane | 4 |
| Diego Fagundez | 2 |
| Emanuel Reynoso | 1 |
| Ilie Sanchez | 1 |
| Michael Boxall | 1 |
| Joseph Rosales | 1 |
| Zan Kolmanic | 1 |
Head to Head
Austin FC Form
Minnesota United FC Form
2025-05-04
Austin FC
0–3
Minnesota United FC
W
2025-04-27
Minnesota United FC
1–3
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
L
2025-04-20
Minnesota United FC
0–0
FC Dallas
D
2025-04-12
Toronto FC
0–0
Minnesota United FC
D
2025-04-06
New York City FC
1–2
Minnesota United FC
W
2025-03-30
Minnesota United FC
2–0
Real Salt Lake
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.06
Austin FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51
Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for:
Austin FC or Minnesota United FC 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Minnesota United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Austin FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
71%
Austin FC or Minnesota United FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Minnesota United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
10.6%
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Austin FC
| Handicap | Austin FC covers | Push | Minnesota United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 22% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Austin FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

